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6304 Pennell St
D+ Composite 47.01
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +11.9/30.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • DSCR +3.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$329,000

6304 Pennell St · Englewood, FL 34224
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,806 sqft · SingleFamily · 638 Days on market
Built 2024 Est $408k · 19% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • Open concept kitchen
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 2024

Tags

OPEN CONCEPT KITCHENENERGY-SMART FEATURES

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 total parking spaces; 2-car garage
  • Home design: Single-family property; Living area approximately 1806
  • Exterior features: Property located at 6304 Pennell St, Englewood, FL 34224

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Interior features: Spec-built Royal plan

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $329k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-85 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $317k (3.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $277k (15.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $277k (15.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.8% in Englewood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#321 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A, health & safety A; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Charlotte (suburban): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #22 of 73 in FL (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Myakka River Elementary School (math 65% / reading 60%, grade B, #601 of 2,144 statewide, top 28%, 608 students, 51% FRL); L. A. Ainger Middle School (math 65% / reading 53%, grade B, #144 of 571 statewide, top 26%, 720 students, 40% FRL); Lemon Bay High School (math 50% / reading 56%, grade C-, #148 of 667 statewide, top 23%, 1,360 students, 28% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.1%/yr); 737 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,585 units permitted in Charlotte County in 2024 (703 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,771/mo this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($57k/yr) (locally 329% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Charlotte County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 638 days — a 12% lower offer ($290k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $277,098 (15.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 638 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.84%
Cap rate
5.98%
Cash-on-cash
-1.10%
DSCR
0.95
GRM
9.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$408,156
Comps found
8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6312 Pennell St 0.02mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,637 (-9%) 6mo $349,897 $214 74
9302 Gulfstream Blvd 0.71mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,690 (-6%) 5mo $395,000 $234 48
9363 Steubenville Ave 0.58mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,985 (+10%) 6mo $475,000 $239 47
7027 Mineola Rd 0.64mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,632 (-10%) 14mo $449,000 $275 37
6392 Grayson St 0.58mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,550 (-14%) 12mo $295,000 $190 34
9341 Boca Grande Ave 0.52mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,564 (-13%) 20mo $350,000 $224 32
7028 Denmark St 0.67mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,619 (-10%) 19mo $366,000 $226 31
7062 Spinnaker Blvd 0.71mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,057 (+14%) 18mo $340,000 $165 24

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-21.5%
Equity multiple
0.28×
Total profit
$-66,777
Equity at exit
$49,055
10-year hold
IRR
-24.5%
Equity multiple
-0.05×
Total profit
$-96,298
Equity at exit
$28,446

Cash invested: $92,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34224

Home prices YoY
-18.9%
Rents YoY
-0.1%
Active inventory
737
Price-to-rent
9.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,771 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,725
Tax est. 1.5%
$411 /mo · $4,935/yr
Insurance
$137
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$582
Net cashflow
$-85

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,878
Max offer price $316,762
Occupancy floor 98%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $143 -5% $29 +0% $-85 +5% $-198 +10% $-312
Rent -10% $-303 -5% $-194 +0% $-85 +5% $25 +10% $134
Rate -1.0pp $81 -0.5pp $-1 base $-85 +0.5pp $-170 +1.0pp $-257

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$82,250
Closing costs
$9,870
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
6320 Brookridge St Englewood, FL 3.0 2.0 1445 $5,550 $3.84 22d 1 0.44mi
10136 Willmington Blvd Englewood, FL 3.0 2.0 1598 $2,000 $1.25 22d 1 0.70mi
9400 New Martinsville Ave Englewood, FL 3.0 2.0 1879 $3,300 $1.76 22d 1 0.72mi
7160 Carlsbad Ter Englewood, FL 3.0 2.0 2061 $4,500 $2.18 22d 1 0.83mi
10123 Bay Ave Englewood, FL 3.0 2.0 2010 $2,150 $1.07 22d 1 1.02mi
7344 Brookhaven Ter Englewood, FL 3.0 2.0 1594 $2,095 $1.31 22d 1 1.13mi
6305 Shaw St Englewood, FL 3.0 2.0 1525 $2,100 $1.38 22d 1 1.29mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $329,000 Active 638 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $329,000 Active 635 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $329,000 Active 634 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $329,000 Active 633 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $329,000 Active 632 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $329,000 Active 630 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $329,000 Active 629 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $329,000 Active 627 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $329,000 Active 626 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $329,000 Active 625 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $329,000 Active 621 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $329,000 Active 619 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $329,000 Active 618 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $329,000 Active 617 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $329,000 Active 616 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 26% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$33,252
− Mortgage interest
−$18,429
− Property taxes
−$4,935
− Insurance
−$1,645
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,660
− Management
−$2,660
− Depreciation
−$9,571
Taxable loss
−$6,649
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,596
After-tax cash flow
$581/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Charlotte
NCES district ID
1200240
Math proficiency
54% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$44,864
Composite
45.62/100
National rank
#2586
State rank
#22 of 73 in FL

Livability — Englewood

Score
73/100
State rank
#321
US rank
#5655

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime A- Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Charlotte County · 196,994 people
City population
35,420
Metro
Punta Gorda, FL
Population (ZIP)
15,536
Household income
$57,281
Rent vs Own
17.8% rent · 82.2% own
Severe rent burden
329.0

Population outlook (Charlotte County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
198,646 people
By 2030
210,507 · +6.0%
By 2040
230,857 · +16.2%
By 2050
247,148 · +24.4%
By 2075
281,777 · +41.8%
By 2100
293,609 · +47.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Slovak 4% Lithuanian 4%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Charlotte

2024 margin
Solid R (+34.0) · D 32.7% · R 66.7%
2008→2024 swing
-26.7pp toward R · 2008: -7.2pp · 2024: -34.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+34.0 2020: R+26.6 2016: R+27.8 2012: R+14.3 2008: R+7.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -75.76%
Current HPI
325.0345
Rent YoY
▼ -0.11%
Metro
Punta Gorda, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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