2683 Klein Rd · Yorktown, TX
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.9/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.4/10.0
- DSCR +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.8/10.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$118,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Double wide 4/3 Converted to a 2/3. It& apos; s a house now. It& apos; s . 65 of one acre! Possibly trade or sell large down. Took away office and one bedroom to make 900 soft living area Email for info pics videos info [email protected] There& apos; s a 2/2 with add ons below
Key facts
- Built 1984
- Listed 10 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath manufactured listed at $118k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-8 ($-91/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $117k (1.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $92k (21.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $92k (21.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#382 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Yorktown ISD (rural): math 31% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #620 of 826 in TX (top 75%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP; 9 units permitted in DeWitt County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($816 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (2.7% local appreciation)).
- DeWitt County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (2.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.78% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.27%
- DSCR
- 0.99
- GRM
- 10.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.73% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.36×
- Total profit
- $11,999
- Equity at exit
- $51,249
- IRR
- 9.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.38×
- Total profit
- $45,499
- Equity at exit
- $77,602
Cash invested: $33,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78164
- Home prices YoY
- 2.0%
- Active inventory
- 17
- Price-to-rent
- 10.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $925 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$619
- Tax from tax record
- −$70 /mo · $842/yr
- Insurance
- −$49
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$194
- Net cashflow
- $-8
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $59 | -5% $26 | +0% $-8 | +5% $-41 | +10% $-74 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-81 | -5% $-44 | +0% $-8 | +5% $29 | +10% $65 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $52 | -0.5pp $22 | base $-8 | +0.5pp $-38 | +1.0pp $-69 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,500
- Closing costs
- $3,540
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $118,000 Active 10 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $118,000 Active 8 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $118,000 Active 7 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $118,000 Active 6 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $118,000 Active 5 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $118,000 Active 4 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $118,000 Active 3 DOM
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2026-06-12remarks 284-char remark
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2026-06-12$118,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $842 · $70/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,159 · $180/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,317/yr (+$110/mo · 156.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,097
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,610
- − Property taxes
- −$842
- − Insurance
- −$590
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$888
- − Management
- −$888
- − Depreciation
- −$3,433
- Taxable loss
- −$2,153
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$517
- After-tax cash flow
- $426/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Yorktown ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4846650
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,937
- Composite
- 25.74/100
- National rank
- #7377
- State rank
- #620 of 826 in TX
Livability — Yorktown
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #382
- US rank
- #8009
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 3,418
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,418
Population outlook (DeWitt County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 22,271 people
- By 2030
- 22,953 · +3.1%
- By 2040
- 24,396 · +9.5%
- By 2050
- 25,921 · +16.4%
- By 2075
- 29,672 · +33.2%
- By 2100
- 29,516 · +32.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (61%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 61% Hispanic / Latino 34% Two or more races 9% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 31%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 14% German/W. Germanic 3%
Political lean MEDSL · DeWitt
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+67.0) · D 16.2% · R 83.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.2pp toward R · 2008: -47.9pp · 2024: -67.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+67.0 2020: R+62.5 2016: R+63.8 2012: R+55.1 2008: R+47.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.73%
- Current HPI
- 140.3037
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Listed $118,000 FSBO.com
- 2011-07-25 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+8.4%/yrLatest (2025): $842 · +12.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…