2317 35th Ave N · Texas City, TX
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$69,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investor-friendly opportunity with strong upside. Best configured as a 3/1 with an easy conversion, this property features hardwood floors, a roof approximately 10 years old, and additional loft-style space not included in the square footage adding to its value potential. Ideal for a straightforward value-add project, this property offers multiple exit strategies including a flip as a 3/1 or a rental play as a three-bedroom, making it a versatile addition to any portfolio.
Key facts
- Hardwood floors
- 5,000 sq ft lot
- Parking
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Seller disclosure available
- Financial info: Lease not considered
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport; Carport with 1 space
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential property; Built in 1975; Pillar/Post/Pier foundation
- Construction: Composition roof; Pillar/Post/Pier foundation; Built in 1975
- Exterior features: Composition roof; Lot includes Other features
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen (first level)
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (first level); Bedroom (first level)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central air conditioning (gas)
- Interior features: Living room; Total of 4 rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $283 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
- Cap rate 12.3% vs local median 4.3% in Texas City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#907 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Texas City ISD (suburban): math 28% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #655 of 826 in TX (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Blocker Middle (math 33% / reading 36%, grade F, #858 of 1,662 statewide, top 54%, 865 students, 80% FRL); Texas City H S (math 32% / reading 36%, grade F, #1,002 of 1,632 statewide, top 62%, 1,718 students, 72% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 292 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,258 units permitted in Galveston County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Galveston County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (22%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.7% of price; flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.74% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.42%
- DSCR
- 1.95
- GRM
- 4.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $103,902
- List price
- $69,900
- Delta
- -32.73%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 10 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2317 35th Ave N | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (0%) | 1mo | $69,900 | $97 | 99 |
| 2314 34th Ave N | 0.02mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (0%) | 5mo | $101,640 | $141 | 94 |
| 2412 28th Ave N | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (-7%) | 2mo | $95,000 | $141 | 71 |
| 2411 37th Ave N | 0.15mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 690 (-4%) | 12mo | $71,000 | $103 | 71 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.91% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.47×
- Total profit
- $9,203
- Equity at exit
- $10,422
- IRR
- 22.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.14×
- Total profit
- $41,914
- Equity at exit
- $6,044
Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77590
- Home prices YoY
- -19.3%
- Rents YoY
- 4.9%
- Active inventory
- 292
- Price-to-rent
- 4.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,214 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$214 /mo · $2,571/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$255
- Net cashflow
- $283
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $322 | -5% $303 | +0% $283 | +5% $263 | +10% $243 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $187 | -5% $235 | +0% $283 | +5% $331 | +10% $379 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $318 | -0.5pp $301 | base $283 | +0.5pp $265 | +1.0pp $246 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,475
- Closing costs
- $2,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2602 21st St N Texas City, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 768 | $1,175 | $1.53 | 2d | 44 | 0.35mi |
| 1919 13th Ave N Texas City, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 950 | $1,239 | $1.30 | 2d | 6 | 1.31mi |
| 2701 13th Ave N Unit F-F7 Texas City, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 656 | $1,060 | $1.62 | 21d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 2701 13th Ave N Unit D-D16 Texas City, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 656 | $999 | $1.52 | 18d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 2701 13th Ave N Unit K-K8 Texas City, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 656 | $985 | $1.50 | 21d | 1 | 1.33mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-05-08status Pending 477-char remark
-
2026-05-07price $69,900 477-char remark
-
2026-05-01price $79,900 477-char remark
-
2026-04-29$89,900 Active 477-char remark
-
2026-01-19historical
-
2025-09-09status Active
-
2025-08-14status Pending
-
2025-07-26$98,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,571 · $214/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,571 · $214/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,571
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,915
- − Property taxes
- −$2,571
- − Insurance
- −$1,147
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,166
- − Management
- −$1,166
- − Depreciation
- −$2,033
- Taxable income
- $2,573
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$617
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,777/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Texas City ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4842510
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,875
- Composite
- 24.47/100
- National rank
- #7664
- State rank
- #655 of 826 in TX
Livability — Texas City
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #907
- US rank
- #16268
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Texas City, TX
- County
- Galveston County · 357,330 people
- City population
- 49,936
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,642
- Household income
- $65,801
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1821.0
Population outlook (Galveston County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 390,640 people
- By 2030
- 425,226 · +8.9%
- By 2040
- 493,765 · +26.4%
- By 2050
- 559,698 · +43.3%
- By 2075
- 719,260 · +84.1%
- By 2100
- 819,628 · +109.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 41% Hispanic / Latino 38% Two or more races 20% Black 17% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 33% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 72% English-only · Spanish 26% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Galveston
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.4) · D 35.7% · R 63.1% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: -19.5pp · 2024: -27.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.4 2020: R+22.6 2016: R+22.6 2012: R+26.9 2008: R+19.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -58.35%
- Current HPI
- 244.5809
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.91%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-28.7% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2026-05-22 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2026-05-08 Pending — HARMLS
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $69,900 HARMLS
- 2026-05-01 Price Changed $79,900 HARMLS
- 2026-04-29 Listed $89,900 HARMLS
- 2026-01-19 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2025-09-09 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2025-08-14 Pending — HARMLS
- 2025-07-26 Listed $98,000 HARMLS
Property tax history
+13.7%/yrLatest (2025): $2,571 · +11.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…