42198 Jasper Ln · Madisonville, LA
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.67%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.0/30.0
- ARV discount +13.6/15.0
- DSCR +6.7/10.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$210,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Some homes are just houses. This one feels like it was waiting for you. Offered for the very first time by its original owner, this 2019-built DSLD home in the coveted Silver Home subdivision has been quietly enjoyed and carefully kept. From the moment you step inside the open Dayton III A floor plan, you'll notice the difference that thoughtful upgrades make. Slab granite countertops stretch across every surface, birch cabinetry frames the home, and Frigidaire appliances stand ready in a kitchen so pristine the dishwasher has genuinely never been used. Every bedroom has its own spacious closet, and every window and exterior door has an upgraded blinds package. The practical details are just as impressive. A tankless water heater, ceramic tile in all wet areas, and a two-car garage that flows directly into the laundry room make daily life feel effortless. For added peace of mind, the home sits in an X flood zone. Step outside and the possibilities multiply. An extra five feet of depth give this backyard a generous, open feel that's ready for summer barbecues, birthday parties, and lazy afternoons with plenty of room to run and play. A double gate makes lawn maintenance a breeze and opens the door to potential rear yard access. The neighborhood wraps it all together with a pond, sidewalks, and street lamps that cast a warm glow over the kind of neighborhood you'll be proud to come home to. The HOA keeps the common areas beautifully maintained, and a private owners-only Facebook group means you're not just buying a home, you're joining a community. First time on the market. Original owner. Move-in ready. 3D tour: https://my.matterport.com/show/?m=EGR9bni9dpG&mls=1 Schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- 8,712 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 2019
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $210k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $297 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $206k (1.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $204k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 4.6% in Madisonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#5 in LA, #2,302 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Tangipahoa Parish (rural): math 18% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #63 of 98 in LA (top 64%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 526 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,085 units permitted in Tangipahoa Parish in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($72k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tangipahoa County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($204k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $156k; 35% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.99%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.06%
- DSCR
- 1.27
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $243,025
- List price
- $210,000
- Delta
- -13.59%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42174 Dothan Pl | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,397 (-1%) | 1mo | $225,500 | $161 | 93 |
| 42165 Millbrook Way | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,424 (+1%) | 0mo | $260,000 | $183 | 91 |
| 42159 Atmore Pl | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,394 (-2%) | 3mo | $215,000 | $154 | 91 |
| 42151 Jasper Ln | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,424 (+1%) | 8mo | $239,900 | $168 | 88 |
| 42190 Blakely Pl | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,445 (+2%) | 3mo | $235,000 | $163 | 88 |
| 42125 Dothan Pl | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,394 (-2%) | 5mo | $219,500 | $157 | 85 |
| 42178 Blakely Pl | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,394 (-2%) | 8mo | $220,000 | $158 | 84 |
| 42086 Dothan Pl | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,459 (+3%) | 1mo | $242,000 | $166 | 84 |
| 41519 Dothan Pl | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,510 (+7%) | 3mo | $235,000 | $156 | 75 |
| 42195 Millbrook Way | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,593 (+12%) | 0mo | $234,400 | $147 | 72 |
| 26384 April Ln | 0.45mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,458 (+3%) | 3mo | $249,000 | $171 | 66 |
| 42171 Millbrook Way | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,564 (+10%) | 11mo | $240,000 | $153 | 66 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.66% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.66×
- Total profit
- $-19,901
- Equity at exit
- $31,312
- IRR
- -3.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.80×
- Total profit
- $-11,709
- Equity at exit
- $18,157
Cash invested: $58,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70454
- Rents YoY
- 0.7%
- Active inventory
- 526
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,059 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,101
- Tax from tax record
- −$120 /mo · $1,444/yr
- Insurance
- −$88
- HOA
- −$21
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$432
- Net cashflow
- $297
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $52,500
- Closing costs
- $6,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42293 Atmore Pl Ponchatoula, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1820 | $2,150 | $1.18 | 43d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 42290 Blue Bay Dr Ponchatoula, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1858 | $2,150 | $1.16 | 43d | 1 | 0.73mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $21 · $252/yr
- Likely covers
- water
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $210,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $210,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $210,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $210,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $210,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $210,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $210,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $210,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $210,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $210,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $210,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $210,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $210,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $210,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $210,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $210,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $210,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-05-01$210,000 Active 1723-char remark
Show marketing remark (1723 chars)
Some homes are just houses. This one feels like it was waiting for you. Offered for the very first time by its original owner, this 2019-built DSLD home in the coveted Silver Home subdivision has been quietly enjoyed and carefully kept. From the moment you step inside the open Dayton III A floor plan, you'll notice the difference that thoughtful upgrades make. Slab granite countertops stretch across every surface, birch cabinetry frames the home, and Frigidaire appliances stand ready in a kitchen so pristine the dishwasher has genuinely never been used. Every bedroom has its own spacious closet, and every window and exterior door has an upgraded blinds package. The practical details are just as impressive. A tankless water heater, ceramic tile in all wet areas, and a two-car garage that flows directly into the laundry room make daily life feel effortless. For added peace of mind, the home sits in an X flood zone. Step outside and the possibilities multiply. An extra five feet of depth give this backyard a generous, open feel that's ready for summer barbecues, birthday parties, and lazy afternoons with plenty of room to run and play. A double gate makes lawn maintenance a breeze and opens the door to potential rear yard access. The neighborhood wraps it all together with a pond, sidewalks, and street lamps that cast a warm glow over the kind of neighborhood you'll be proud to come home to. The HOA keeps the common areas beautifully maintained, and a private owners-only Facebook group means you're not just buying a home, you're joining a community. First time on the market. Original owner. Move-in ready. 3D tour: https://my.matterport.com/show/?m=EGR9bni9dpG&mls=1 Schedule your showing today!
-
2019-05-01status Active 372-char remark
Show marketing remark (372 chars)
Brand NEW Construction! DSLD HOMES DAYTON III A has an open floor plan that includes upgraded blinds for windows & exterior doors package. Special plan features include slab granite counters throughout, beautiful birch cabinets, Frigidaire appliance package, walk-in closets in all bedrooms, ceramic tile in wet areas, tankless water heater, sod, landscape and more!
-
2019-05-01soldstatus $155,970 Closed 372-char remark
Show marketing remark (372 chars)
Brand NEW Construction! DSLD HOMES DAYTON III A has an open floor plan that includes upgraded blinds for windows & exterior doors package. Special plan features include slab granite counters throughout, beautiful birch cabinets, Frigidaire appliance package, walk-in closets in all bedrooms, ceramic tile in wet areas, tankless water heater, sod, landscape and more!
-
2019-04-15status Pending 372-char remark
Show marketing remark (372 chars)
Brand NEW Construction! DSLD HOMES DAYTON III A has an open floor plan that includes upgraded blinds for windows & exterior doors package. Special plan features include slab granite counters throughout, beautiful birch cabinets, Frigidaire appliance package, walk-in closets in all bedrooms, ceramic tile in wet areas, tankless water heater, sod, landscape and more!
-
2019-04-15price $155,970 372-char remark
Show marketing remark (372 chars)
Brand NEW Construction! DSLD HOMES DAYTON III A has an open floor plan that includes upgraded blinds for windows & exterior doors package. Special plan features include slab granite counters throughout, beautiful birch cabinets, Frigidaire appliance package, walk-in closets in all bedrooms, ceramic tile in wet areas, tankless water heater, sod, landscape and more!
-
2019-04-15$155,790 Active 372-char remark
Show marketing remark (372 chars)
Brand NEW Construction! DSLD HOMES DAYTON III A has an open floor plan that includes upgraded blinds for windows & exterior doors package. Special plan features include slab granite counters throughout, beautiful birch cabinets, Frigidaire appliance package, walk-in closets in all bedrooms, ceramic tile in wet areas, tankless water heater, sod, landscape and more!
-
2019-04-15$155,970
Show marketing remark (372 chars)
Brand NEW Construction! DSLD HOMES DAYTON III A has an open floor plan that includes upgraded blinds for windows & exterior doors package. Special plan features include slab granite counters throughout, beautiful birch cabinets, Frigidaire appliance package, walk-in closets in all bedrooms, ceramic tile in wet areas, tankless water heater, sod, landscape and more!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,444 · $120/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,444 · $120/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 67% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,713
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,763
- − Property taxes
- −$1,444
- − Insurance
- −$1,050
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,977
- − Management
- −$1,977
- − HOA
- −$252
- − Depreciation
- −$6,109
- Taxable income
- $141
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$34
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,529/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tangipahoa Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201680
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -32.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -31.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,283
- Composite
- 19.94/100
- National rank
- #8676
- State rank
- #63 of 98 in LA
Livability — Madisonville
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #5
- US rank
- #2302
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Tangipahoa Parish · 85,958 people
- City population
- 17,897
- Metro
- Hammond, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,564
- Household income
- $71,611
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 479.0
Population outlook (Tangipahoa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 144,204 people
- By 2030
- 151,413 · +5.0%
- By 2040
- 164,374 · +14.0%
- By 2050
- 175,427 · +21.7%
- By 2075
- 195,165 · +35.3%
- By 2100
- 201,641 · +39.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Black 16% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 15% Slovak 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Tangipahoa
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.4) · D 30.6% · R 68.0% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.5pp toward R · 2008: -30.9pp · 2024: -37.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.4 2020: R+32.8 2016: R+32.6 2012: R+27.7 2008: R+30.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -83.55%
- Current HPI
- 129.6069
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.66%
- Metro
- Hammond, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
||
| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
||
Price history
+34.6% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Listed $210,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2019-05-01 Relisted — GSREIN
- 2019-05-01 Sold (MLS) $155,970 GSREIN
- 2019-04-15 Pending — GSREIN
- 2019-04-15 Listed $155,970 AcadianaMLS
- 2019-04-15 Listed $155,790 GSREIN
- 2019-04-15 Price Changed $155,970 GSREIN
Property tax history
+22.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,444 · +1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…