1111 Barry Ln · Sauk Village, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$76,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
MODERN SLAB RANCH WITH DETACHED 2 CAR GARAGE.
Key facts
- 9,583 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1982
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Possession is negotiable; School bus service and commuter bus access noted
- Financial info: Special service area: No
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; 2 garage spaces (2 total parking spaces)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; Single-story; Fee simple ownership; Living area reported by landlord/tenant/seller
- Construction: Vinyl siding exterior; Asphalt roof; Estimated age: 41–50 years
- Exterior features: Outdoor grill; 50 x 100 lot dimensions; Standard Chicago lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (10 x 8)
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main level (12 x 15) with full bath access; Second bedroom on main level (12 x 13); Additional bedroom(s) listed (two other bedrooms noted)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: 6 total rooms; Outdoor grill (exterior but commonly noted as an amenity listed)
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room (3 x 3)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $76k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $802 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $76k).
- Recommended offer: $71k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 19.0% vs local median 8.2% in Sauk Village — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#546 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, health & safety D+, commute D.
- Bloom Twp Hsd 206 (suburban): math 8% / reading 9% proficiency, ranked #591 of 620 in IL (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.5%/yr); 222 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $525 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.5% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($71k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $50k; list at $76k implies a 52% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.96%
- Cash-on-cash
- 45.25%
- DSCR
- 3.01
- GRM
- 4.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $147,840
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1111 Barry Ln | 0.00mi | 2/1.5 | 960 (0%) | 1mo | $65,000 | $68 | 97 |
| 2247 Astor St | 0.05mi | 2/2.0 | 972 (+1%) | 5mo | $65,000 | $67 | 92 |
| 2235 Astor St | 0.07mi | 2/2.0 | 1,089 (+13%) | 21mo | $70,000 | $64 | 56 |
| 2264 Rush St | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,073 (+12%) | 22mo | $165,000 | $154 | 55 |
| 2133 216th St | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 913 (-5%) | 1mo | $152,000 | $166 | 48 |
| 2059 216th St | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 913 (-5%) | 4mo | $167,000 | $183 | 45 |
| 825 W 195 th St | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 | 845 (-12%) | 9mo | $165,600 | $196 | 37 |
| 21563 Orion Ave | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,050 (+9%) | 9mo | $180,000 | $171 | 34 |
| 2122 215th Pl | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,088 (+13%) | 13mo | $159,000 | $146 | 25 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.48% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 46.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.09×
- Total profit
- $44,564
- Equity at exit
- $11,332
- IRR
- 53.3%
- Equity multiple
- 7.11×
- Total profit
- $130,059
- Equity at exit
- $6,571
Cash invested: $21,280 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60411
- Home prices YoY
- -33.9%
- Rents YoY
- 6.5%
- Active inventory
- 222
- Price-to-rent
- 4.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,597 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$399
- Tax from tax record
- −$29 /mo · $347/yr
- Insurance
- −$32
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$335
- Net cashflow
- $802
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $845 | -5% $824 | +0% $802 | +5% $781 | +10% $759 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $676 | -5% $739 | +0% $802 | +5% $866 | +10% $929 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $841 | -0.5pp $822 | base $802 | +0.5pp $783 | +1.0pp $763 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,000
- Closing costs
- $2,280
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2241 Astor St Unit Labs Sauk Village, IL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,650 | $1.65 | 2d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 1154 Barry Ln Sauk Village, IL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,550 | $1.61 | 2d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 21538 Gailine Ave Chicago Heights, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1031 | $1,600 | $1.55 | 3d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 2236 220th St Sauk Village, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,800 | $1.79 | 25d | 1 | 1.22mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-03-19$76,000 Active
-
2025-02-27historical
-
2025-01-22soldstatus $50,000
-
2025-01-20Active
-
2024-04-24historical
-
2024-02-27price
-
2024-01-20price
-
2024-01-18Active
-
1994-03-15soldstatus $47,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $347 · $29/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,036 · $86/mo
- Expected delta
- +$689/yr (+$57/mo · 198.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,163
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,257
- − Property taxes
- −$347
- − Insurance
- −$380
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,533
- − Management
- −$1,533
- − Depreciation
- −$2,211
- Taxable income
- $8,902
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,137
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,493/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bloom Twp Hsd 206
- NCES district ID
- 1706420
- Math proficiency
- 8% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 9% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,795
- Composite
- 7.4/100
- National rank
- #9952
- State rank
- #591 of 620 in IL
Livability — Sauk Village
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #546
- US rank
- #11370
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sauk Village, IL
- County
- Cook County · 4,486,803 people
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 52,175
- Household income
- $62,073
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1714.0
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 49% Hispanic / Latino 26% White 19% Two or more races 11%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 22% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Portuguese 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 21% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -108.75%
- Current HPI
- 212.4058
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.48%
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
+61.7% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-19 Listed $76,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-02-27 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-01-22 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 2025-01-20 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-04-24 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-02-27 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-01-20 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-01-18 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1994-03-15 Sold (Public Records) $47,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-9.9%/yrLatest (2023): $347 · -47.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…