1150 11th St · Sheldon, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.6/30.0
- ARV discount +12.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.1/10.0
- 1% rule +7.4/10.0
- Schools +6.4/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$112,200
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Nice 3 Bedroom home with 2 Baths and a one stall garage. The Master bedroom has a 3/4 bath and walk in closet. Hud homes are sold AS IS. All offers to be submitted on www. HUDHomestore. gov. Case # 161-382697
Key facts
- 7,500 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1930
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; Concrete parking; 1 garage space
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Porch; Shingle roof
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 three-quarter bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Partially finished basement; Basement present
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $112k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $300 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $112k).
- Recommended offer: $111k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 3.6% in Sheldon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#23 in IA, #688 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
- Sheldon Community School District (town): math 74% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #63 of 289 in IA (top 22%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Zoned schools: Sheldon Middle School (math 70% / reading 78%, grade A, #83 of 246 statewide, top 34%, 320 students, 47% FRL); Sheldon High School (math 73% / reading 81%, grade A-, #60 of 336 statewide, top 21%, 342 students, 39% FRL).
- Market conditions: 49 active listings in the ZIP; 13 units permitted in O'Brien County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $776 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- O'Brien County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($111k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $56k; list at $112k implies a 101% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.24% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.50%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.45%
- DSCR
- 1.51
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $124,539
- List price
- $112,200
- Delta
- 5.99%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1144 11th St | 0.02mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,744 (-1%) | 3mo | $187,000 | $107 | 86 |
| 1301 14th St | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,704 (-4%) | 3mo | $115,500 | $68 | 78 |
| 1140 14th St | 0.15mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,805 (+2%) | 2mo | $187,500 | $104 | 75 |
| 703 9th Ave | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,736 (-2%) | 0mo | $217,000 | $125 | 69 |
| 905 6th St | 0.51mi | 4/2.0 | 1,720 (-3%) | 3mo | $193,000 | $112 | 65 |
| 1024 7th St | 0.35mi | 4/2.0 | 1,950 (+10%) | 1mo | $269,900 | $138 | 62 |
| 823 8th | 0.39mi | 4/2.0 | 1,592 (-10%) | 3mo | $83,000 | $52 | 59 |
| 702 7th St | 0.51mi | 4/1.5 | 1,880 (+6%) | 0mo | $239,000 | $127 | 59 |
| 716 4th St | 0.69mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,720 (-3%) | 3mo | $155,000 | $90 | 52 |
| 515 8th Ave | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,627 (-8%) | 1mo | $162,000 | $100 | 47 |
| 1309 Iselin Ave | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,616 (-8%) | 1mo | $84,000 | $52 | 45 |
| 902 6th Street St | 0.49mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,520 (-14%) | 6mo | $180,000 | $118 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.03×
- Total profit
- $948
- Equity at exit
- $16,729
- IRR
- 10.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.81×
- Total profit
- $25,564
- Equity at exit
- $9,701
Cash invested: $31,416 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 51201
- Home prices YoY
- -25.9%
- Active inventory
- 49
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,396 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$588
- Tax from tax record
- −$168 /mo · $2,020/yr
- Insurance
- −$47
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$293
- Net cashflow
- $300
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,050
- Closing costs
- $3,366
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $112,200 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $112,200 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $112,200 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $112,200 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $112,200 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $112,200 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $112,200 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $112,200 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $112,200 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $112,200 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-04status $112,200 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-05-13status Pending 208-char remark
-
2026-05-11$112,200 Active 208-char remark
-
2026-03-26$132,000 Active
-
2012-03-26soldstatus $55,720
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,020 · $168/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,020 · $168/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,758
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,285
- − Property taxes
- −$2,020
- − Insurance
- −$561
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,341
- − Management
- −$1,341
- − Depreciation
- −$3,264
- Taxable income
- $1,947
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$467
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,130/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sheldon Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1925980
- Math proficiency
- 74% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 78% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,644
- Composite
- 64.39/100
- National rank
- #545
- State rank
- #63 of 289 in IA
Livability — Sheldon
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #23
- US rank
- #688
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sheldon, IA
- City population
- 6,226
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,226
Population outlook (O'Brien County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 13,353 people
- By 2030
- 13,040 · -2.3%
- By 2040
- 12,422 · -7.0%
- By 2050
- 11,887 · -11.0%
- By 2075
- 11,132 · -16.6%
- By 2100
- 10,176 · -23.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 8% Black 2% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 24% Portuguese 6% Ukrainian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 10% Arabic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · O'Brien
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+60.9) · D 19.0% · R 80.0% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.1pp toward R · 2008: -34.9pp · 2024: -60.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+60.9 2020: R+56.8 2016: R+60.2 2012: R+45.2 2008: R+34.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -75.15%
- Current HPI
- 214.5955
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
+101.4% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Listed $112,200 NWIA
- 2026-05-13 Pending — NWIA
- 2026-05-11 Listed $112,200 NWIA
- 2026-03-26 Listed $132,000 NWIA
- 2012-03-26 Sold (Public Records) $55,720 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,020 · +2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…