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8225 Arevee Dr 🌊 Lakefront
D Composite 44.48
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.8/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$32,900

8225 Arevee Dr · New Port Richey East, FL 34653
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,500 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 217 Days on market
Built 1987 99 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Located in the beautiful community of Orchid Lake RV Resort. Call or text for more pictures!!! LOW LOT RENT!! This spacious 1 bed, 1 bath mobile home is just immaculate. This beautiful and clean home has a double carport, all appliances, plus washer and dryer, pantry, storage room, air conditioning (installed in the wall so you don't lose a window) and private back patio. The kitchen, living, dining has an open concept and feels spacious!! The floor is leveled and beautifully finished with the addition so it does not feel like an add-on. This home is located in a beautiful well maintained park with low lot rent. Lots of amenities: pool, fitness center, pickleball courts, putt putt, lake for

Key facts

  • Fitness center
  • Open concept
  • Well maintained park

Tags

DOUBLE CARPORTPRIVATE BACK PATIOOPEN CONCEPTWELL MAINTAINED PARKPOOLFITNESS CENTER

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Home design: House
  • Construction: 720 living area (units not specified)
  • Exterior features: Lot size approximately 99 (units not specified)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $33k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $33k).
  • Recommended offer: $29k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 45.7% vs local median 4.3% in New Port Richey East — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#499 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Pasco (suburban): math 50% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #32 of 73 in FL (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Calusa Elementary School (math 26% / reading 27%, grade F, #2,009 of 2,144 statewide, top 94%, 473 students, 85% FRL); Chasco Middle School (math 32% / reading 31%, grade F, #453 of 571 statewide, top 81%, 688 students, 84% FRL) — zoned schools average 85% FRL vs 48% district-wide (36 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 29% at this address vs 51% district-wide (-22 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Pasco average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.9%/yr); 308 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,765 units permitted in Pasco County in 2024 (1,250 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($50k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $227 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $987 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pasco County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $9k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 217 days — a 12% lower offer ($29k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $28,952 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 217 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
  7. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
  8. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
5.03%
Cap rate
45.66%
Cash-on-cash
140.60%
DSCR
7.26
GRM
1.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$279,450
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
7823 Radcliffe Cir 0.57mi 2/2.0 (+1) 1,446 (-4%) 0mo $150,000 $104 58
7631 Summertree Ln 0.67mi 2/2.0 (+1) 1,510 (+1%) 4mo $264,000 $175 55
7916 Radcliffe Cir 0.60mi 2/2.0 (+1) 1,446 (-4%) 4mo $170,000 $118 54
7837 Edinburgh Dr 0.34mi 2/2.0 (+1) 1,314 (-12%) 9mo $290,000 $221 47
7601 Cayuga Dr 0.68mi 2/2.0 (+1) 1,510 (+1%) 18mo $290,000 $192 43
7717 Radcliffe Cir 0.47mi 2/2.0 (+1) 1,326 (-12%) 13mo $145,000 $109 39
7933 Radcliffe Cir 0.61mi 2/2.0 (+1) 1,326 (-12%) 7mo $137,000 $103 38
7822 Radcliffe Cir 0.55mi 2/2.0 (+1) 1,338 (-11%) 14mo $184,000 $138 36
7947 Radcliffe Cir 0.60mi 2/2.0 (+1) 1,326 (-12%) 10mo $163,000 $123 35
7819 Cayuga Dr 0.49mi 2/2.0 (+1) 1,325 (-12%) 21mo $270,000 $204 31
7931 Radcliffe Cir 0.61mi 2/2.0 (+1) 1,326 (-12%) 18mo $173,000 $130 28
7352 Sequoia Dr 0.71mi 2/2.0 (+1) 1,304 (-13%) 12mo $199,900 $153 26

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
7.36×
Total profit
$58,591
Equity at exit
$4,905
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
14.12×
Total profit
$120,907
Equity at exit
$2,845

Cash invested: $9,212 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34653

Home prices YoY
-18.4%
Rents YoY
-2.9%
Active inventory
308
Price-to-rent
1.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,654 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$173
Tax est. 1.5%
$41 /mo · $494/yr
Insurance
$14
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$347
Net cashflow
$1,079

Break-even live

Break-even rent $288
Max offer price $32,900
Occupancy floor 30%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,102 -5% $1,091 +0% $1,079 +5% $1,068 +10% $1,057
Rent -10% $949 -5% $1,014 +0% $1,079 +5% $1,145 +10% $1,210
Rate -1.0pp $1,096 -0.5pp $1,088 base $1,079 +0.5pp $1,071 +1.0pp $1,062

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$8,225
Closing costs
$987
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8228 Chasco Woods Blvd Port Richey, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 966 $995 $1.03 1d 22 0.50mi
7810 Cayuga Dr New Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.0 1838 $1,973 $1.07 7d 1 0.53mi
8910 Elm Leaf Ct Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.0 1248 $1,650 $1.32 7d 1 0.88mi
9100 Hunt Club Ln Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.0 1365 $1,850 $1.36 24d 1 1.04mi
7212 Carlton Arms Dr New Port Richey, FL 2.0 1.0–2.0 877 $1,222 $1.39 26d 1 1.04mi
7435 San Miguel Dr Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.0 1136 $1,500 $1.32 22d 1 1.09mi
7125 Sandalwood Dr Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.0 1324 $1,681 $1.27 7d 1 1.13mi
9130 Chatam Ln Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.0 1212 $1,623 $1.34 24d 1 1.20mi
7318 Vienna Ln Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.0 1530 $1,841 $1.20 22d 1 1.31mi
6692 Homebound Way New Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.0 1630 $2,600 $1.60 26d 1 1.43mi
6692 Homebound Way New Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.0 1613 $2,595 $1.61 1d 1 1.43mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-15
    days on market $32,900 Active 217 DOM
  2. 2026-06-13
    days on market $32,900 Active 215 DOM
  3. 2026-06-09
    days on market $32,900 Active 211 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    days on market $32,900 Active 210 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    days on market $32,900 Active 209 DOM
  6. 2026-06-04
    days on market $32,900 Active 206 DOM
  7. 2026-06-03
    days on market $32,900 Active 205 DOM
  8. 2026-06-02
    days on market $32,900 Active 204 DOM
  9. 2026-06-01
    days on market $32,900 Active 203 DOM
  10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $32,900 Active 202 DOM
  11. 2025-11-10
    listed $32,900 Active
  12. 2015-06-24
    historical
  13. 2015-03-16
    price $14,000
  14. 2015-03-02
    listed $17,000 Active
  15. 2006-01-11
    soldstatus $6,000,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,849
− Mortgage interest
−$1,843
− Property taxes
−$494
− Insurance
−$164
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,588
− Management
−$1,588
− Depreciation
−$957
Taxable income
$13,215
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,172
After-tax cash flow
$9,781/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pasco
NCES district ID
1201530
Math proficiency
50% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$45,039
Composite
43.14/100
National rank
#3074
State rank
#32 of 73 in FL

Livability — New Port Richey East

Score
68/100
State rank
#499
US rank
#9203

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New Port Richey East, FL
County
Pasco County · 524,098 people
City population
36,086
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
Population (ZIP)
35,945
Household income
$49,563
Rent vs Own
34.6% rent · 65.4% own
Severe rent burden
1439.0

Population outlook (Pasco County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
570,045 people
By 2030
605,844 · +6.3%
By 2040
674,806 · +18.4%
By 2050
736,022 · +29.1%
By 2075
862,900 · +51.4%
By 2100
906,364 · +59.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 9% Black 6% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Pasco

2024 margin
Strong R (+25.2) · D 36.9% · R 62.1% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-21.6pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -25.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+25.2 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+6.7 2008: R+3.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -73.10%
Current HPI
324.6519
Rent YoY
▼ -2.92%
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-99.5% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2025-11-10 Listed $32,900 ForSaleByOwner.com
  • 2015-06-24 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-03-16 Price Changed $14,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-03-02 Listed $17,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-01-11 Sold (Public Records) $6,000,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+9.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $183,329 · +4.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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