CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
42-46 Wayne Pl Triplex
C- Composite 51.2
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.9/30.0
  • Appreciation +8.2/10.0
  • DSCR +5.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$1,850,000

42-46 Wayne Pl · San Francisco, CA 94133
None bd · None ba · 3,104 sqft · MultiFamily · 44 Days on market
Built 1913 1,398 sqft lot $596/sqft · 28% above area Est $1451k · 28% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

42-46 Wayne Place is a well-maintained three-flat apartment building located in the heart of North Beach / Chinatown. The property consists of 2 two-bedroom flats and 1 three-bedroom flat. Flats have been lightly renovated and feature modern kitchens. The property benefits from low operating expenses, with separately metered gas and electrical systems. Additional features include a small ground-floor storage or office space and on-site coin-operated laundry. Located just one block from the cable car line, the property offers strong rental income, and upside from future renovations and ADU development.

Key facts

  • Modern kitchens
  • Ground-floor storage
  • Strong rental income

Tags

THREE-FLAT APARTMENT BUILDINGMODERN KITCHENSGROUND-FLOOR STORAGEON-SITE COIN-OPERATED LAUNDRYSTRONG RENTAL INCOMEUPSIDE FROM FUTURE RENOVATIONS

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No association fee

Exterior

  • Home design: Residential income property (Triplex); Built in 1913
  • Construction: Building area approximately 3,104 sq ft
  • Exterior features: Lot approximately 1,398 sq ft

Interior

  • Interior features: Three-unit building; Two units are flats

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2×2bd/1ba + 1×3bd/1ba units multifamily listed at $1.85M.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive. Per door: $401/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.77M (4.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $1.77M (4.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 2.1% in San Francisco — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in CA, #3,143 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • San Francisco Unified (urban): math 50% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #322 of 1,400 in CA (top 23%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Lilienthal (Claire) Elementary (669 students, 19% FRL); Giannini (A.P.) Middle (1,192 students, 34% FRL); Lowell High (2,632 students, 37% FRL) — zoned schools average 30% FRL vs 49% district-wide (19 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+16.9%/yr); 61 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 750 units permitted in San Francisco County in 2024 (688 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $17,707/mo this rent would consume 244% of the median local household income ($87k/yr) (locally 2027% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $132k of equity ($13k loan paydown + $119k appreciation (6.4% local appreciation)).
  • San Francisco County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (6.4% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $518k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$211k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($1.79M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1913 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $1,770,700 (4.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 4% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1913 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.96%
Cap rate
7.07%
Cash-on-cash
2.79%
DSCR
1.12
GRM
8.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$1,450,743
List price
$1,850,000
Delta
27.52%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1312-1314 Powell St 0.06mi 6/3.0 3,215 (+4%) 4mo $1,650,000 $513 88
82-86 Valparaiso St 0.35mi 5/3.0 3,000 (-3%) 1mo $1,425,000 $475 77
1100 Clay St 0.23mi 3/— 3,390 (+9%) 1mo $2,040,000 $602 74
7 Varennes St 0.31mi 5/— 2,940 (-5%) 6mo $1,050,000 $357 71
117-119 Trenton St 0.11mi 4/4.0 2,640 (-15%) 2mo $930,000 $352 68
1162-1164 Vallejo St 0.31mi 6/— 2,890 (-7%) 9mo $2,750,000 $952 66
17-19 Card Aly 0.16mi 6/3.0 2,649 (-15%) 4mo $2,500,000 $944 65
33 - 37 Glover St 0.28mi 5/1.0 2,678 (-14%) 1mo $1,950,000 $728 63
822-824 Union St 0.25mi 6/4.0 2,767 (-11%) 9mo $3,500,000 $1,265 63
301 Green St 0.41mi 6/4.0 2,908 (-6%) 12mo $1,796,850 $618 61
168-170 Bernard St 0.30mi 7/3.0 2,724 (-12%) 9mo $1,800,000 $661 58
1358-1360 Union St 0.61mi 5/— 3,333 (+7%) 9mo $3,550,000 $1,065 52

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

6.44% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.9%
Equity multiple
2.45×
Total profit
$753,384
Equity at exit
$1,214,842
10-year hold
IRR
21.8%
Equity multiple
5.59×
Total profit
$2,377,084
Equity at exit
$2,249,266

Cash invested: $518,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City San Francisco
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+57
SF Rent Ordinance + Eviction Protections; relocation $10k+; one of strictest in US.

ZIP-level market 94133

Home prices YoY
4.0%
Rents YoY
16.9%
Active inventory
61
Price-to-rent
27.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$17,707 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$9,702
Tax est. 1.5%
$2,312 /mo · $27,750/yr
Insurance
$771
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$3,718
Net cashflow
$1,204

Break-even live

Break-even rent $16,183
Max offer price $1,850,000
Occupancy floor 88%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $2,482 -5% $1,843 +0% $1,204 +5% $564 +10% $-75
Rent -10% $-195 -5% $504 +0% $1,204 +5% $1,903 +10% $2,602
Rate -1.0pp $2,135 -0.5pp $1,674 base $1,204 +0.5pp $724 +1.0pp $237

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
1× unit 3 1 $6,305
Total (3 units) $17,707

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$462,500
Closing costs
$55,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1107 Broadway Unit 1309749P San Francisco, CA 3.0 1.5 2142 $17,588 $8.21 25d 1 0.24mi
39 Tehama St San Francisco, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1291 $20,493 $15.87 0d 13 1.05mi

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $1,850,000 Active 44 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $1,850,000 Active 41 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $1,850,000 Active 40 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $1,850,000 Active 39 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $1,850,000 Active 38 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $1,850,000 Active 36 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $1,850,000 Active 35 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $1,850,000 Active 32 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $1,850,000 Active 31 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $1,850,000 Active 30 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $1,850,000 Active 27 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $1,850,000 Active 26 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $1,850,000 Active 25 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $1,850,000 Active 24 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $1,850,000 Active 23 DOM
  16. 2026-05-08
    listed $1,850,000 Active 608-char remark
  17. 2016-06-24
    soldstatus $1,795,000 251-char remark
  18. 2016-06-24
    soldstatus $1,795,000 Sold
  19. 2016-06-10
    status Pending (Do Not Show)
  20. 2016-05-20
    historical Contingent
  21. 2016-04-08
    listed $1,950,000 Active
  22. 2016-04-08
    listed $1,950,000 251-char remark
  23. 2016-02-08
    historical
  24. 2015-10-01
    listed $1,998,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥79°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 8/10 Severe 15 unhealthy d/yr today · 15 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$212,484
− Mortgage interest
−$103,629
− Property taxes
−$27,750
− Insurance
−$9,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$16,999
− Management
−$16,999
− Depreciation
−$53,818
Taxable loss
−$15,960
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,830
After-tax cash flow
$18,274/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
San Francisco Unified
NCES district ID
0634410
Math proficiency
50% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$81,249
Composite
50.14/100
National rank
#4088
State rank
#322 of 1400 in CA

Livability — San Francisco

Score
76/100
State rank
#90
US rank
#3143

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A+ Housing B- Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
San Francisco, CA
County
San Francisco County · 827,552 people
City population
827,552
Metro
San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
Population (ZIP)
23,804
Household income
$87,191
Rent vs Own
83.5% rent · 16.5% own
Severe rent burden
2027.0

Population outlook (San Francisco County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,030,936 people
By 2030
1,110,409 · +7.7%
By 2040
1,270,010 · +23.2%
By 2050
1,435,001 · +39.2%
By 2075
1,779,074 · +72.6%
By 2100
1,966,767 · +90.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
Asian 48% White 34% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 9% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
40% · China, Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
53% English-only · Chinese 34% Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 3%

Political lean MEDSL · San Francisco

2024 margin
Solid D (+64.8) · D 80.3% · R 15.5% · Other 4.1%
2008→2024 swing
-5.7pp toward R · 2008: 70.5pp · 2024: 64.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+64.8 2020: D+72.5 2016: D+76.1 2012: D+70.2 2008: D+70.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 6.44%
Current HPI
168.565
Rent YoY
▲ 16.95%
Metro
San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $1,850,000 San Francisco MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…