🌊 Lakefront
8305 SW 152nd Ave Unit A-201 · Kendall West, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 32 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.4/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- DSCR +3.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,999
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
2/1 in well maintained building in West Kendall. Cash only. Buyer must assumme two different special assessments already in place.
Key facts
- Gated community
- Fitness center
- Community pool
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Annual tax information available
- Financial info: Pets allowed with size limit (maximum 20 lbs)
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee ($492); Association covers common areas, structure maintenance, sewer, trash and water; Community amenities include clubhouse, elevators and pool
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned parking; Guest parking; One assigned space
- Security: Complex fenced
- Utilities: Water service included in association fee; Sewer service included in association fee; Trash service included in association fee
- Home design: Attached property; 5-story building; Entry located on level 2; Entry level: 2
- Construction: Block construction; Resale property
- Exterior features: Balcony; Screened balcony/porch; Fence; Complex is fenced; Association pool
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Disposal; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: Bedroom located on the main level
- Flooring: Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: First-floor entry; Bedroom on main level; Ceramic tile flooring
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-83 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $185k (7.4% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
- Recommended offer: $185k (7.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 3.6% in Kendall West — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#255 in FL, #4,028 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, crime A-; Watch: schools C-, amenities F.
- Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.7%/yr); 183 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($78k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 85 days — a 6% lower offer ($188k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $48k; list at $200k implies a 317% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 22% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→32/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 85 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 7% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
- What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
- Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 5.79%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.79%
- DSCR
- 0.92
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -23.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.21×
- Total profit
- $-44,046
- Equity at exit
- $29,821
- IRR
- -37.7%
- Equity multiple
- -0.24×
- Total profit
- $-69,573
- Equity at exit
- $17,292
Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33193
- Home prices YoY
- -23.0%
- Rents YoY
- -0.7%
- Active inventory
- 183
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,275 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,049
- Tax from tax record
- −$256 /mo · $3,075/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$492
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$478
- Net cashflow
- $-83
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $50,000
- Closing costs
- $6,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8205 SW 152nd Ave Unit F403 Miami, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 796 | $1,950 | $2.45 | 22d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 8255 SW 152nd Ave Miami, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 846 | $2,150 | $2.54 | 3d | 2 | 0.02mi |
| 8305 SW 152nd Ave Miami, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 976 | $2,100 | $2.15 | 24d | 2 | 0.03mi |
| 8365 SW 152nd Ave Unit C311 Miami, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1074 | $2,050 | $1.91 | 17d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 8335 SW 152nd Ave Miami, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1210 | $2,300 | $1.90 | 3d | 2 | 0.05mi |
| 8255 SW 152nd Ave Unit E109 Miami, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $2,150 | $2.40 | 4d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 8255 SW 152nd Ave Unit E215 Miami, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 828 | $1,995 | $2.41 | 24d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 8275 SW 152nd Ave Miami, FL | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 985 | $2,212 | $2.25 | 22d | 3 | 0.07mi |
| 8275 SW 152nd Ave Miami, FL | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 985 | $2,200 | $2.23 | 7d | 2 | 0.07mi |
| 8485 Hammocks Blvd Miami, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1035 | $2,710 | $2.62 | 2d | 16 | 0.12mi |
| 8394 SW 152nd Ave #34 Miami, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1120 | $2,500 | $2.23 | 18d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 8394 SW 152nd Ave #34 Miami, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1120 | $2,500 | $2.23 | 7d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 8394 SW 152nd Ave #34 Miami, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1120 | $2,500 | $2.23 | 24d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 8260 SW 149th Ct Unit 9-203 Miami, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1030 | $1,950 | $1.89 | 24d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 15006 SW 80th Ter #913 Miami, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1097 | $2,400 | $2.19 | 20d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 15006 SW 80th Ter #913 Miami, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1097 | $2,400 | $2.19 | 3d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 14961 SW 82nd Ln Unit 21-104 Miami, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 912 | $2,100 | $2.30 | 18d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 14961 SW 82nd Ln Unit 21-202 Miami, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 912 | $2,000 | $2.19 | 7d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 14951 SW 82nd Ln Unit 17-504 Miami, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 912 | $2,000 | $2.19 | 24d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 14951 SW 82nd Ln Unit 17-405 Miami, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 912 | $2,150 | $2.36 | 11d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 14931 SW 82nd Ln Unit 18-403 Miami, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 912 | $2,250 | $2.47 | 5d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 15231 SW 80th St #602 Miami, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 987 | $2,400 | $2.43 | 2d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 15231 SW 80th St Miami, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 937 | $2,300 | $2.45 | 15d | 3 | 0.24mi |
| 14930 SW 82nd Ter Unit 16-405 Miami, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 912 | $2,300 | $2.52 | 14d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 14930 SW 82nd Ter Unit 16-203 Miami, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 912 | $2,000 | $2.19 | 5d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 14902 SW 82nd Ter Unit 13-102 Miami, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 944 | $2,249 | $2.38 | 15d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 15250 SW 80th St #9 Miami, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $2,350 | $3.26 | 7d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 15250 SW 80th St #9 Miami, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $2,400 | $3.33 | 17d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 8002 SW 149th Ave Miami, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 846 | $2,275 | $2.69 | 24d | 2 | 0.26mi |
| 14910 SW 82nd Ter Unit 15-103 Miami, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 944 | $2,300 | $2.44 | 24d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 8480 SW 154th Circle Ct #922 Miami, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $2,200 | $2.10 | 24d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 15201 SW 80th St #205 Miami, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 676 | $1,850 | $2.74 | 20d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 7921 SW 152nd Ave Unit 1 Miami, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 780 | $2,500 | $3.21 | 24d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 8000 SW 149th Ave Miami, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 774 | $2,400 | $3.10 | 2d | 2 | 0.28mi |
| 8002 SW 149th Ave Unit B304 Miami, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 827 | $2,400 | $2.90 | 22d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 8004 SW 149th Ave Unit C418 Miami, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 721 | $2,250 | $3.12 | 24d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 7971 SW 152nd Ave #1505 Miami, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 780 | $2,550 | $3.27 | 24d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 15401 SW 81st Circle Ln #16 Miami, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1096 | $2,200 | $2.01 | 15d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 15241 SW 80th St Miami, FL | 3.0–4.0 | 2.0 | 1134 | $2,500 | $2.20 | 7d | 2 | 0.29mi |
| 15241 SW 80th St Miami, FL | 3.0–4.0 | 2.0 | 1134 | $2,770 | $2.44 | 24d | 2 | 0.29mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $492 · $5,904/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $199,999 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $199,999 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $199,999 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $199,999 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $199,999 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $199,999 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $199,999 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $199,999 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $199,999 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $199,999 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $199,999 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $199,999 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $199,999 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-03-24$199,999 Active
-
2021-01-19historical
-
2020-09-01$169,000 Active
-
2013-05-28soldstatus $48,000
-
2013-05-22soldstatus $48,000 Sold 130-char remark
Show marketing remark (130 chars)
2/1 in well maintained building in West Kendall. Cash only. Buyer must assumme two different special assessments already in place.
-
2004-09-01soldstatus $48,024,700
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,075 · $256/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,075 · $256/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 32 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,297
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,203
- − Property taxes
- −$3,075
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,184
- − Management
- −$2,184
- − HOA
- −$5,904
- − Depreciation
- −$5,818
- Taxable loss
- −$4,071
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$977
- After-tax cash flow
- $-24/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Miami-Dade
- NCES district ID
- 1200390
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,928
- Composite
- 41.76/100
- National rank
- #3397
- State rank
- #40 of 73 in FL
Livability — Kendall West
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #255
- US rank
- #4028
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kendall West, FL
- County
- Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 47,494
- Household income
- $77,839
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2065.0
Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,126,439 people
- By 2030
- 3,325,765 · +6.4%
- By 2040
- 3,697,561 · +18.3%
- By 2050
- 4,012,134 · +28.3%
- By 2075
- 4,605,612 · +47.3%
- By 2100
- 4,866,598 · +55.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 88% Two or more races 52% White 7% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 50% Dominican 3%
- Foreign-born
- 65% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 11% English-only · Spanish 86% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -124.85%
- Current HPI
- 418.2591
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.73%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
-99.6% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-24 Listed $199,999 MARMLS
- 2021-01-19 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2020-09-01 Listed $169,000 MARMLS
- 2013-05-28 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records
- 2013-05-22 Sold (MLS) $48,000 MARMLS
- 2004-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $48,024,700 Public Records
Property tax history
+16.5%/yrLatest (2025): $3,075 · +5.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…