668 Tara Dr · Winslow, NJ
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- A
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,009 – $1,996
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 63.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.8/10.0
- 1% rule +7.7/10.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$185,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Fix-N-Save. If you're handy with your hands, this house can be a great money-maker. 2 bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms in an established neighborhood, with vinyl siding and a wonderful yard. Yours for a rock-bottom price. Perfect for the wise investor. Call to see it today! Cash sale investor's special. Property being sold as is. Bring a flashlight. Seller may or may not clean out property prior to settlement. Buyer responsible for any CO or resale requirements, if applicable. Seller requests that buyer use seller's title company. Motivated seller. Buyer pays all transfer tax.
Key facts
- Built 1983
- Listed 17 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $185k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $438 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $185k).
- Recommended offer: $182k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Winslow Township School District (suburban): math 11% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #387 of 472 in NJ (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 329 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,018 units permitted in Camden County in 2024 (509 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Camden County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.4% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($182k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $36k; list at $185k implies a 414% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wind risk, 63% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.95%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.05%
- DSCR
- 1.58
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $268,583
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Cobblestone Ct | 0.21mi | 2/1.5 | 1,138 (+10%) | 10mo | $295,000 | $259 | 65 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.41% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.98×
- Total profit
- $-995
- Equity at exit
- $27,584
- IRR
- 9.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.76×
- Total profit
- $39,560
- Equity at exit
- $15,995
Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08081
- Rents YoY
- 3.4%
- Active inventory
- 329
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,348 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$970
- Tax from tax record
- −$244 /mo · $2,932/yr
- Insurance
- −$77
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$493
- Net cashflow
- $438
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,250
- Closing costs
- $5,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 483 Old Erial Rd Sicklerville, NJ | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1226 | $2,575 | $2.10 | 7d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 41 Hampton Gate Dr Sicklerville, NJ | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1272 | $2,100 | $1.65 | 18d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 55 Hampton Gate Dr Sicklerville, NJ | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1272 | $2,000 | $1.57 | 44d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 190 Kenwood Dr Sicklerville, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,800 | $1.97 | 44d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 540 Kali Rd Sicklerville, NJ | 2.0–3.0 | 2.5 | 1575 | $2,700 | $1.71 | 1d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 343 Brookdale Blvd Williamstown, NJ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1438 | $2,500 | $1.74 | 1d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 110 High Meadows Dr Sicklerville, NJ | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1408 | $2,400 | $1.70 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-03-31status Pending
-
2026-03-15$185,000 Active
-
2026-03-05historical $2,075
-
2026-01-16price $2,075
-
2026-01-05$2,150
-
2017-02-17soldstatus $36,000 Sold 590-char remark
Show marketing remark (578 chars)
Fix-N-Save. If you're handy with your hands, this house can be a great money-maker. 2 bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms in an established neighborhood, with vinyl siding and a wonderful yard. Yours for a rock-bottom price. Perfect for the wise investor. Call to see it today! Cash sale investor's special. Property being sold as is. Bring a flashlight. Seller may or may not clean out property prior to settlement. Buyer responsible for any CO or resale requirements, if applicable. Seller requests that buyer use seller's title company. Motivated seller. Buyer pays all transfer tax.
-
2017-02-17soldstatus $36,000 578-char remark
Show marketing remark (578 chars)
Fix-N-Save. If you're handy with your hands, this house can be a great money-maker. 2 bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms in an established neighborhood, with vinyl siding and a wonderful yard. Yours for a rock-bottom price. Perfect for the wise investor. Call to see it today! Cash sale investor's special. Property being sold as is. Bring a flashlight. Seller may or may not clean out property prior to settlement. Buyer responsible for any CO or resale requirements, if applicable. Seller requests that buyer use seller's title company. Motivated seller. Buyer pays all transfer tax.
-
2017-02-02status Under Contract 590-char remark
Show marketing remark (590 chars)
Fix-N-Save. If you're handy with your hands, this house can be a great money-maker. 2 bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms in an established neighborhood, with vinyl siding and a wonderful yard. Yours for a rock-bottom price. Perfect for the wise investor. Call to see it today! Cash sale investor's special. Property being sold as is. Bring a flashlight. Seller may or may not clean out property prior to settlement. Buyer responsible for any CO or resale requirements, if applicable. Seller requests that buyer use seller's title company. Motivated seller. Buyer pays all transfer tax.
-
2017-01-21$35,000 Active 590-char remark
Show marketing remark (590 chars)
Fix-N-Save. If you're handy with your hands, this house can be a great money-maker. 2 bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms in an established neighborhood, with vinyl siding and a wonderful yard. Yours for a rock-bottom price. Perfect for the wise investor. Call to see it today! Cash sale investor's special. Property being sold as is. Bring a flashlight. Seller may or may not clean out property prior to settlement. Buyer responsible for any CO or resale requirements, if applicable. Seller requests that buyer use seller's title company. Motivated seller. Buyer pays all transfer tax.
-
2017-01-20$35,000 578-char remark
Show marketing remark (578 chars)
Fix-N-Save. If you're handy with your hands, this house can be a great money-maker. 2 bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms in an established neighborhood, with vinyl siding and a wonderful yard. Yours for a rock-bottom price. Perfect for the wise investor. Call to see it today! Cash sale investor's special. Property being sold as is. Bring a flashlight. Seller may or may not clean out property prior to settlement. Buyer responsible for any CO or resale requirements, if applicable. Seller requests that buyer use seller's title company. Motivated seller. Buyer pays all transfer tax.
-
1996-01-17soldstatus $44,000
-
1988-04-11soldstatus $49,000
-
1983-09-01soldstatus $43,990
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,932 · $244/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,769 · $314/mo
- Expected delta
- +$837/yr (+$70/mo · 28.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone A · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 63% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,172
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,363
- − Property taxes
- −$2,932
- − Insurance
- −$2,428
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,254
- − Management
- −$2,254
- − Depreciation
- −$5,382
- Taxable income
- $2,561
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$615
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,640/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Winslow Township School District
- NCES district ID
- 3418060
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $70,254
- Composite
- 22.65/100
- National rank
- #8057
- State rank
- #387 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Winslow
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sicklerville, NJ
- County
- Camden County · 407,624 people
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 50,264
- Household income
- $105,800
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 979.0
Population outlook (Camden County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 507,964 people
- By 2030
- 502,182 · -1.1%
- By 2040
- 485,602 · -4.4%
- By 2050
- 465,630 · -8.3%
- By 2075
- 419,986 · -17.3%
- By 2100
- 369,492 · -27.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Black 34% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Slovak 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Camden
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+27.4) · D 63.0% · R 35.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.8pp toward R · 2008: 36.2pp · 2024: 27.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+27.4 2020: D+33.5 2016: D+32.4 2012: D+36.6 2008: D+36.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -176.48%
- Current HPI
- 303.1017
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.41%
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
+320.6% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-31 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-15 Listed $185,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-05 Rental Removed $2,075 BRIGHTMLS
- 2026-01-16 Price Changed $2,075 BRIGHTMLS
- 2026-01-05 Listed for Rent $2,150 BRIGHTMLS
- 2017-02-17 Sold (MLS) $36,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2017-02-17 Sold (MLS) $36,000 TREND
- 2017-02-02 Pending — TREND
- 2017-01-21 Listed $35,000 TREND
- 2017-01-20 Listed $35,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 1996-01-17 Sold (Public Records) $44,000 Public Records
- 1988-04-11 Sold (Public Records) $49,000 Public Records
- 1983-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $43,990 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,932 · +1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…