214 Vasser Ln · Lonoke, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 11.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.3/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$96,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great investment property * * * * AGENTS SEE REMARKS * * * *
Key facts
- 0.38 acre lot
- Built 1950
- Listed 52 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Potential financing: Conventional loan or cash
Exterior
- Parking: Parking pads
- Utilities: Public sewer; Public water; Municipal electric service (Entergy)
- Home design: Inside city limits
- Construction: Composition roof; Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Brick exterior; Paved road access; Level lot in a subdivision; Lot dimensions approximately 80 x 209 (0.38 acre)
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen equipment listed as other (see remarks)
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central electric cooling; Central electric heating
- Interior features: Carpet and vinyl flooring; Other rooms as noted in remarks
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $96k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $370 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $96k).
- Recommended offer: $93k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.9% vs local median 5.7% in Lonoke — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#195 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A, housing A-; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Lonoke School District (town): math 30% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #146 of 238 in AR (top 61%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 61 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 83% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 185 units permitted in Lonoke County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $664 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lonoke County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($93k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $10k; list at $96k implies a 860% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.23% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.54%
- DSCR
- 1.74
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $75,402
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 214 Vasser Ln | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 1,278 (0%) | 0mo | $85,000 | $67 | 100 |
| 518 Pleasant Dr | 0.02mi | 3/1.0 | 1,218 (-5%) | 0mo | $20,000 | $16 | 91 |
| 209 Teresa Ln | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 | 1,245 (-3%) | 4mo | $65,833 | $53 | 87 |
| 1204 S Center St | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,289 (+1%) | 3mo | $80,000 | $62 | 86 |
| 214 Teresa Ln | 0.10mi | 3/1.0 | 1,124 (-12%) | 4mo | $65,833 | $59 | 72 |
| 315 Thomas Cir | 0.33mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,232 (-4%) | 4mo | $65,833 | $53 | 70 |
| 620 College St | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,308 (+2%) | 1mo | $130,000 | $99 | 65 |
| 301 Teresa Ln | 0.13mi | 3/1.5 | 1,095 (-14%) | 4mo | $60,770 | $55 | 64 |
| 1212 Fairview St | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 | 1,434 (+12%) | 1mo | $95,000 | $66 | 64 |
| 110 Thomas Dr | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 | 1,133 (-11%) | 4mo | $65,833 | $58 | 63 |
| 420 Frank T Bunton St | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (-6%) | 0mo | $20,000 | $17 | 62 |
| 519 Frank T Bunton St | 0.53mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,316 (+3%) | 1mo | $164,900 | $125 | 60 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.30×
- Total profit
- $7,993
- Equity at exit
- $14,314
- IRR
- 16.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.38×
- Total profit
- $37,155
- Equity at exit
- $8,300
Cash invested: $26,880 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72086
- Home prices YoY
- -18.4%
- Active inventory
- 61
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,177 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$503
- Tax from tax record
- −$16 /mo · $196/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$247
- Net cashflow
- $370
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,000
- Closing costs
- $2,880
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 112 E Palm St Lonoke, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1218 | $1,350 | $1.11 | 43d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 311 E Cherry St Lonoke, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $1,080 | $1.23 | 43d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 202 Rosemary Ln Lonoke, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1780 | $1,350 | $0.76 | 43d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 412 E 3rd St Unit 3 Lonoke, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $800 | $0.89 | 43d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 412 E 3rd St Unit 5 Lonoke, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $800 | $0.89 | 23d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 700 Barnes St Lonoke, AR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1204 | $1,350 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 1.22mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-04-13status Under Contract
-
2026-02-20$96,000 New Listing
-
1987-07-21soldstatus $10,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $196 · $16/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $614 · $51/mo
- Expected delta
- +$419/yr (+$35/mo · 214.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 11% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,130
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,377
- − Property taxes
- −$196
- − Insurance
- −$480
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,130
- − Management
- −$1,130
- − Depreciation
- −$2,793
- Taxable income
- $3,023
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$726
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,720/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lonoke School District
- NCES district ID
- 0509060
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,440
- Composite
- 26.28/100
- National rank
- #7247
- State rank
- #146 of 238 in AR
Livability — Lonoke
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #15446
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lonoke, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,250
Population outlook (Lonoke County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 78,072 people
- By 2030
- 80,673 · +3.3%
- By 2040
- 84,977 · +8.8%
- By 2050
- 87,778 · +12.4%
- By 2075
- 91,398 · +17.1%
- By 2100
- 87,858 · +12.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Black 10% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Portuguese 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lonoke
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+53.7) · D 22.2% · R 75.8% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.2pp toward R · 2008: -47.5pp · 2024: -53.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+53.7 2020: R+52.8 2016: R+53.3 2012: R+50.9 2008: R+47.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -44.46%
- Current HPI
- 197.6009
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
||
| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
||
| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Energy | 1 | $4B |
|
||
Price history
+860.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-13 Pending — CARMLS
- 2026-02-20 Listed $96,000 CARMLS
- 1987-07-21 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-8.8%/yrLatest (2025): $196 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…