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18801 Roberts Rd #81
C+ Composite 64.77
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +3.7/15.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$59,900

18801 Roberts Rd #81 · Desert Edge, CA 92241
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 936 sqft · Manufactured · 7 Days on market
Built 1964 Est $55k · 8% over $499/mo HOA · 27% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to Wagner Mobile Home & RV Park a 55+ senior community ! This beautiful enclave of mobile estates hosts gorgeous mountain views, a beautiful pool/spa area and impeccably manicured grounds that are all second to none. Stepping into this beautiful 1 bed 1 bath home, with an enclosed porch being set up as a bedroom, you will find a nice kitchen, living room with a mountain view, a recently updated bath with a walk-in shower and a two nice sized bedrooms. Enjoy our seasons regardless of the temperature with the Mitsubishi mini-split a/c and heating unit. This home is perfect for the buyer looking for a new full time residence, or a second home to visit on the weekends to enjoy the Palm Springs Lifestyle. Fully furnished just bring your toothbrush. Don't miss your chance to own your own slice of heaven!

Key facts

  • Art studio
  • Walk-in shower
  • Enclosed porch area

Tags

MOUNTAIN VIEWRECENTLY UPDATED BATHWALK-IN SHOWERMITSUBISHI MINI-SPLIT A/CENCLOSED PORCH AREAART STUDIO

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Park offers RV access/parking; Association phone available
  • Financial info: Listing terms: cash or cash to new loan; Land is not included (space is in a park / land lease); Rent includes trash collection; Special zoning: rent control
  • HOA & community: Homeowner dues: $499; Association amenities include pool (gas heated), heated spa, sun deck, clubhouse, meeting room, billiard room, guest parking; Association allows pets per rules (call for details); Manager approval required for residency; Complex has 171 units; Senior park (Wagner Mobile Home and RV Park)

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway; Two total parking spaces; Two open parking spaces; Common RV parking
  • Security: Gated community; On-site resident manager
  • Utilities: Water provided by local water district; Shared septic system; Power: standard community service
  • Home design: Manufactured home; Single-wide mobile home; One story
  • Construction: Manufactured construction; Foundation supported on pier jacks; Elastomeric roof; Manufacture date: 1964 (Cascade)
  • Exterior features: Concrete slab patio; open and covered patio; Shed; Gated community with resident manager; Street asphalt; Rectangular lot shape; Mountain view

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas cooktop; Gas oven; Range hood; Range/oven; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
  • Flooring: Laminate floors
  • Bathrooms: One 3/4 bath with shower stall
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Air conditioning; Evaporative cooling
  • Interior features: Furnished or available unfurnished; Ground-level entry with steps; Window screens; Ceiling fan
  • Laundry & utility: Community laundry; Central gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $573 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $60k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#297 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, schools F, commute D-.
  • Palm Springs Unified (suburban): math 21% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #328 of 517 in CA (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 216 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $414 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $42k; 43% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 27% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 3→9/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $59,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.14%
Cap rate
17.77%
Cash-on-cash
40.98%
DSCR
2.82
GRM
2.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$55,224
Comps found
10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
18555 Roberts Rd #17 0.13mi 2/2.0 (+1) 960 (+3%) 3mo $57,000 $59 78
18555 Roberts Rd #143 0.13mi 2/2.0 (+1) 915 (-2%) 17mo $86,600 $95 67
18131 Langlois Rd Unit S1 0.31mi 2/2.0 (+1) 960 (+3%) 16mo $94,000 $98 59
18555 Roberts Rd #42 0.14mi 2/1.0 (+1) 864 (-8%) 21mo $39,000 $45 58
18131 Langlois Rd Unit S15 0.33mi 2/1.0 (+1) 820 (-12%) 2mo $75,000 $91 57
17800 Langlois Rd #217 0.52mi 2/2.0 (+1) 960 (+3%) 13mo $56,500 $59 51
17850 Corkill Rd #38 0.73mi 2/1.0 (+1) 1,000 (+7%) 5mo $25,000 $25 45
17800 Langlois Rd #219 0.52mi 2/2.0 (+1) 1,040 (+11%) 6mo $42,500 $41 44
17625 Langlois #105 0.66mi 2/2.0 (+1) 840 (-10%) 1mo $55,000 $65 42
17800 Langlois Rd #509 0.52mi 2/2.0 (+1) 1,040 (+11%) 22mo $50,000 $48 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
37.8%
Equity multiple
2.62×
Total profit
$27,105
Equity at exit
$8,931
10-year hold
IRR
44.5%
Equity multiple
5.29×
Total profit
$71,934
Equity at exit
$5,179

Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92241

Home prices YoY
-22.8%
Active inventory
216
Price-to-rent
2.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,881 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$314
Tax est. 1.5%
$75 /mo · $898/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$499
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$395
Net cashflow
$573

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,156
Max offer price $59,900
Occupancy floor 65%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $614 -5% $593 +0% $573 +5% $552 +10% $531
Rent -10% $424 -5% $498 +0% $573 +5% $647 +10% $721
Rate -1.0pp $603 -0.5pp $588 base $573 +0.5pp $557 +1.0pp $541

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,975
Closing costs
$1,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
18070 Langlois Rd Dsrt Hot Spgs, CA 2.0 2.0 950 $1,850 $1.95 0d 1 0.32mi
18070 Langlois Rd Dsrt Hot Spgs, CA 2.0 2.0 950 $1,850 $1.95 25d 1 0.32mi
18070 Langlois Rd #257 Desert Hot Springs, CA 2.0 2.0 1056 $1,850 $1.75 44d 1 0.32mi
70875 Dillon Rd Desert Hot Springs, CA 2.0 2.0 720 $2,200 $3.06 44d 1 0.89mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$499 · $5,988/yr
Likely covers
landscapingpool

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $59,900 Active 7 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $59,900 Active 6 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $59,900 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $59,900 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $59,900 Active 2 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    remarks 695-char remark
  7. 2026-06-13
    listed $59,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 3 d/yr ≥109°F today · 9 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,567
− Mortgage interest
−$3,355
− Property taxes
−$898
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,805
− Management
−$1,805
− HOA
−$5,988
− Depreciation
−$1,743
Taxable income
$6,673
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,601
After-tax cash flow
$5,271/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Palm Springs Unified
NCES district ID
0629550
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$43,638
Composite
26.76/100
National rank
#7131
State rank
#328 of 517 in CA

Livability — Desert Edge

Score
68/100
State rank
#297
US rank
#9953

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute D- Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Desert Edge, CA
Population (ZIP)
8,624

Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,664,475 people
By 2030
2,802,692 · +5.2%
By 2040
3,050,904 · +14.5%
By 2050
3,256,783 · +22.2%
By 2075
3,655,058 · +37.2%
By 2100
3,766,594 · +41.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Race & ethnicity
White 50% Hispanic / Latino 46% Two or more races 16% Asian 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 36%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Portuguese 2%
Foreign-born
28% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
57% English-only · Spanish 38% Chinese 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Riverside

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -118.23%
Current HPI
400.5663
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+33.1% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Listed $59,900 TheMLS
  • 2025-01-11 Price Changed TheMLS
  • 2024-10-07 Listed TheMLS
  • 2023-06-22 Sold (MLS) $42,000 TheMLS
  • 2023-06-21 Pending TheMLS
  • 2023-05-02 Contingent TheMLS
  • 2023-03-16 Relisted TheMLS
  • 2023-02-02 Contingent TheMLS
  • 2022-11-10 Listed $45,000 TheMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…