15870 Lesure St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.4/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.5/10.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$118,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome home!!! This beautiful and unique brick home is ready to move-in, ideal for first time home buyers or investors looking to expand their portfolio; the entire house has been freshly painted. Conveniently located with easy access from Schaefer Hwy and Puritan Ave, Harmony Village. This house offers a spacious layout, a primary bedroom upstairs with a loft that can be used as a walk-in closet, all covered in wood. Kitchen and bathroom with a ceramic floor. The basement features freshly painted walls and durable epoxy flooring. Spacious backyard that can be fenced for added privacy. Schedule your showing today!! All measurements are estimated.
Key facts
- 3,920 sq ft lot
- Built 1939
- Listed 101 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $118k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $153 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $118k).
- Recommended offer: $107k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 10.0% in Detroit — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Coleman A Young Elementary School (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #980 of 1,397 statewide, top 74%, 416 students, 93% FRL); Henry Ford High School (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #481 of 713 statewide, top 81%, 712 students, 86% FRL) — zoned schools at 90% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 392 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($37k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $816 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 102 days — a 9% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $78k; list at $118k implies a 50% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1939 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 102 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1939 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.56%
- DSCR
- 1.25
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $66,910
- List price
- $118,000
- Delta
- 76.36%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15770 Stansbury St | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 | 1,100 (-1%) | 1mo | $50,000 | $45 | 91 |
| 15775 Hartwell St | 0.18mi | 3/1.0 | 1,123 (+1%) | 3mo | $88,000 | $78 | 88 |
| 15824 Snowden St | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 | 1,127 (+1%) | 1mo | $61,000 | $54 | 87 |
| 15824 Snowden St | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 | 1,127 (+1%) | 1mo | $61,000 | $54 | 87 |
| 16180 Snowden St | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 | 1,137 (+2%) | 0mo | $61,000 | $54 | 85 |
| 16183 Freeland Street St | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 | 1,224 (+10%) | 3mo | $150,000 | $123 | 68 |
| 15430 Mark Twain St | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 | 1,026 (-8%) | 1mo | $95,000 | $93 | 67 |
| 16176 Tracey St | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,270 (+14%) | 1mo | $70,000 | $55 | 66 |
| 16562 Tracey St | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 | 1,244 (+12%) | 2mo | $60,000 | $48 | 66 |
| 16174 Lauder St | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,084 (-3%) | 3mo | $102,900 | $95 | 64 |
| 16863 Tracey St | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (+8%) | 2mo | $165,000 | $138 | 60 |
| 15041 Lesure St | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 1,021 (-8%) | 2mo | $50,000 | $49 | 58 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.59% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.82×
- Total profit
- $-5,842
- Equity at exit
- $17,594
- IRR
- 8.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.69×
- Total profit
- $22,715
- Equity at exit
- $10,202
Cash invested: $33,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48227
- Rents YoY
- 5.6%
- Active inventory
- 392
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,298 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$619
- Tax from tax record
- −$205 /mo · $2,455/yr
- Insurance
- −$49
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$273
- Net cashflow
- $153
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $220 | -5% $187 | +0% $153 | +5% $120 | +10% $86 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $51 | -5% $102 | +0% $153 | +5% $204 | +10% $256 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $213 | -0.5pp $183 | base $153 | +0.5pp $123 | +1.0pp $91 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,500
- Closing costs
- $3,540
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16505 Stansbury St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 12d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 15517 Lesure St Unit BDRM1A Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $850 | $0.85 | 26d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 15762 Mark Twain St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1430 | $1,250 | $0.87 | 18d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 15387 Lesure St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $1,350 | $1.27 | 14d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 16503 Ward Ave Unit 2 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $850 | $1.21 | 45d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 15340 Hartwell St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,300 | $1.44 | 18d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 15738 Sorrento Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 762 | $1,175 | $1.54 | 45d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 16204 Steel St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 969 | $1,150 | $1.19 | 45d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 15088 Littlefield St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1294 | $1,275 | $0.99 | 23d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 15810 Robson St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1142 | $1,500 | $1.31 | 26d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 16151 Robson St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,525 | $1.17 | 16d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 15388 Appoline St #203 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $850 | $0.94 | 45d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 15073 Strathmoor St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 860 | $1,350 | $1.57 | 18d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 15341 Lauder St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1080 | $1,475 | $1.37 | 18d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 14903 Tracey St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1004 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 18d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 15760 Monte Vista St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,250 | $1.16 | 45d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 14891 Hartwell St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,150 | $1.15 | 45d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 15468 Sussex St #2 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,250 | $1.39 | 45d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 15328 Coyle St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,450 | $1.45 | 19d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 15330 Coyle St Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,425 | $1.43 | 14d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 15330 Coyle St Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,375 | $1.38 | 26d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 15330 Coyle St Unit 2 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,450 | $1.45 | 26d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 14847 Cheyenne St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 849 | $1,150 | $1.35 | 19d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 15512 Mendota St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 931 | $1,200 | $1.29 | 6d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 15512 Mendota St Apt 2 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 45d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 17150 Meyers Rd Detroit, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $975 | $1.26 | 45d | 2 | 0.90mi |
| 15708 Birwood St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1255 | $1,100 | $0.88 | 6d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 14590 Ardmore St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,195 | $1.00 | 4d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 18010 Lesure St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1010 | $1,500 | $1.49 | 0d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 15100 Whitcomb St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $925 | $1.23 | 45d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 14600 Strathmoor St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,450 | $1.12 | 45d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 14559 Strathmoor St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1033 | $1,150 | $1.11 | 22d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 15765 Washburn St Unit 15767 Washburn Upper Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1093 | $950 | $0.87 | 0d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 14881 Mendota St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1026 | $1,100 | $1.07 | 26d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 14814 Sussex St Unit 2 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,000 | $0.91 | 45d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 16889 Washburn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $1,100 | $0.85 | 19d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 17540 Pinehurst St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,395 | $1.16 | 45d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 15839 Kentucky St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,200 | $1.50 | 19d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 18257 Mark Twain St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1185 | $1,507 | $1.27 | 18d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 14893 Prest St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,000 | $0.91 | 16d | 1 | 1.14mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $118,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $118,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $118,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $118,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $118,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $118,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $118,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $118,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $118,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $118,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $118,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $118,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $118,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-03-12$118,000 Active 655-char remark
Show marketing remark (655 chars)
Welcome home!!! This beautiful and unique brick home is ready to move-in, ideal for first time home buyers or investors looking to expand their portfolio; the entire house has been freshly painted. Conveniently located with easy access from Schaefer Hwy and Puritan Ave, Harmony Village. This house offers a spacious layout, a primary bedroom upstairs with a loft that can be used as a walk-in closet, all covered in wood. Kitchen and bathroom with a ceramic floor. The basement features freshly painted walls and durable epoxy flooring. Spacious backyard that can be fenced for added privacy. Schedule your showing today!! All measurements are estimated.
-
2026-03-12$118,000 Active 655-char remark
Show marketing remark (655 chars)
Welcome home!!! This beautiful and unique brick home is ready to move-in, ideal for first time home buyers or investors looking to expand their portfolio; the entire house has been freshly painted. Conveniently located with easy access from Schaefer Hwy and Puritan Ave, Harmony Village. This house offers a spacious layout, a primary bedroom upstairs with a loft that can be used as a walk-in closet, all covered in wood. Kitchen and bathroom with a ceramic floor. The basement features freshly painted walls and durable epoxy flooring. Spacious backyard that can be fenced for added privacy. Schedule your showing today!! All measurements are estimated.
-
2026-03-11historical $118,000 655-char remark
Show marketing remark (655 chars)
Welcome home!!! This beautiful and unique brick home is ready to move-in, ideal for first time home buyers or investors looking to expand their portfolio; the entire house has been freshly painted. Conveniently located with easy access from Schaefer Hwy and Puritan Ave, Harmony Village. This house offers a spacious layout, a primary bedroom upstairs with a loft that can be used as a walk-in closet, all covered in wood. Kitchen and bathroom with a ceramic floor. The basement features freshly painted walls and durable epoxy flooring. Spacious backyard that can be fenced for added privacy. Schedule your showing today!! All measurements are estimated.
-
2023-01-23soldstatus $78,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,455 · $205/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,455 · $205/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,580
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,610
- − Property taxes
- −$2,455
- − Insurance
- −$590
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,246
- − Management
- −$1,246
- − Depreciation
- −$3,433
- Taxable loss
- −$0
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$0
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,838/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,302
- Household income
- $36,527
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2371.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 95% Two or more races 3% White 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -125.00%
- Current HPI
- 186.4158
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.59%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+50.3% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-12 Listed $118,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-12 Listed $118,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-11 Coming Soon $118,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-01-23 Sold (Public Records) $78,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.3%/yrLatest (2025): $2,455 · -10.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…