19320 Gable St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.1/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$95,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great opportunity to own in a very active neighborhood. Move right in or use it as an investment property or first time home buyers Features three bedrooms, large living room, kitchen. Large basement. Fully renovated 2026. new heating system very close to Chrysler company and many other things.
Key facts
- 5,663 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1949
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot area about 0.13 acres (land contract available)
- Financial info: Property has an existing lease
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (1.5 parking spaces)
- Utilities: Public water; Electric and natural gas service
- Home design: Single-story residential home; Built in 1949; Basement foundation; Located on the west side of the street in Detroit
- Construction: Brick construction; Basement foundation; Year built: 1949
- Exterior features: Brick exterior
Interior
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on entry level, approx. 10 x 11, wood floors; Second bedroom on entry level, approx. 9 x 11, wood floors
- Flooring: Wood flooring throughout main living areas, bedrooms and bathroom
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on entry level, wood floor covering, approx. 10 x 12
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Window air conditioning units; Electric and natural gas fuel options
- Interior features: Partially finished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $327 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 226 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($35k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.7% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.30% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.75%
- DSCR
- 1.66
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $66,062
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19351 Dwyer St | 0.03mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 971 (-2%) | 6mo | $120,000 | $124 | 86 |
| 19608 Buffalo St | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,014 (+3%) | 1mo | $68,000 | $67 | 74 |
| 19235 Lamont St | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 | 960 (-3%) | 1mo | $40,000 | $42 | 65 |
| 19723 Carrie St | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,020 (+3%) | 2mo | $85,000 | $83 | 58 |
| 19437 Conley St | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 912 (-8%) | 4mo | $28,500 | $31 | 53 |
| 19451 Conley St | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 900 (-9%) | 3mo | $54,000 | $60 | 52 |
| 3191 E Outer Dr | 0.46mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,072 (+9%) | 6mo | $79,500 | $74 | 52 |
| 20059 Bloom St | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 911 (-8%) | 4mo | $90,000 | $99 | 50 |
| 19416 Lamont St | 0.64mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,065 (+8%) | 1mo | $9,000 | $8 | 49 |
| 19610 Conley St | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,120 (+14%) | 0mo | $80,000 | $71 | 47 |
| 19366 Fenelon St | 0.58mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,108 (+12%) | 4mo | $70,000 | $63 | 42 |
| 18824 Helen St | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 844 (-14%) | 5mo | $34,000 | $40 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.72% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.39×
- Total profit
- $10,257
- Equity at exit
- $14,165
- IRR
- 21.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.15×
- Total profit
- $57,134
- Equity at exit
- $8,214
Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48234
- Home prices YoY
- -11.9%
- Rents YoY
- 6.7%
- Active inventory
- 226
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,240 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$115 /mo · $1,376/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$260
- Net cashflow
- $327
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,750
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 26 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19415 Gable St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,373 | $1.37 | 24d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 19260 Bloom St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,350 | $1.23 | 4d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 18884 Bloom St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 979 | $975 | $1.00 | 22d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 18884 Bloom St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 979 | $975 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 19361 Moenart St Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 24d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 18891 Moenart St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 870 | $1,195 | $1.37 | 17d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 19162 Conley St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 44d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 19450 Fenelon St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1062 | $1,384 | $1.30 | 5d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 19171 Cliff St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 17d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 20263 Caldwell St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 909 | $1,350 | $1.49 | 17d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 19691 Cliff St #1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,050 | $1.24 | 5d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 7533 Quinn St Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $850 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 18662 Sunset St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 726 | $1,250 | $1.72 | 18d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 20794 Audrey Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 954 | $1,350 | $1.42 | 44d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 19930 Binder St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,450 | $1.45 | 17d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 21410 Panama St Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,600 | $1.78 | 24d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 21465 Syracuse Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $1,375 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 7033 Westminster Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 561 | $1,050 | $1.87 | 44d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 7605 Jackson Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,165 | $1.94 | 24d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 19450 Norwood St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 5d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 7060 Victory Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 945 | $1,450 | $1.53 | 11d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 19360 Revere St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,250 | $1.19 | 24d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 7043 Meadow Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 911 | $1,274 | $1.40 | 44d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 8242 Jackson Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,198 | $1.43 | 44d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 8285 Rivard Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 902 | $1,549 | $1.72 | 24d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 19694 Gallagher St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,150 | $1.15 | 15d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $95,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $95,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $95,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $95,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $95,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 295-char remark
-
2026-06-13$95,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,376 · $115/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,419 · $118/mo
- Expected delta
- +$44/yr (+$4/mo · 3.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,876
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$1,376
- − Insurance
- −$475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,190
- − Management
- −$1,190
- − Depreciation
- −$2,764
- Taxable income
- $2,560
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$614
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,309/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,760
- Household income
- $35,322
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2372.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 94% White 3% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, Vietnam, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -44.65%
- Current HPI
- 328.8978
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.72%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Listed $95,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
-0.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,376 · -0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…