1141 Thomas St · Chester, PA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.27%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.2/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.8/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Built 1940
- Listed 51 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Owned as fee simple
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service with circuit breakers
- Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Brick construction; Stone foundation; Above-grade and below-grade structures
- Construction: Brick exterior; Stone foundation
- Exterior features: Lot roughly 16 x 70
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the first upper level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating (other type); Electric hot water; Circuit breaker electrical
- Interior features: Storm door; Exterior lighting; Unfinished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $436 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $121k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 7.5% in Chester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#540 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Chester-Upland SD (suburban): math 4% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #533 of 539 in PA (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 81% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.9%/yr); 140 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 299 units permitted in Delaware County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,623/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($41k/yr) (locally 2668% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.9% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $24k; list at $125k implies a 423% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.30% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.94%
- DSCR
- 1.66
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $97,930
- List price
- $125,000
- Delta
- 27.64%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1424 Ridley Ave | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 | 1,248 (+1%) | 2mo | $130,000 | $104 | 80 |
| 1118 Brown St | 0.11mi | 3/1.0 | 1,092 (-11%) | 1mo | $147,000 | $135 | 73 |
| 1109 Brown St | 0.10mi | 3/1.0 | 1,092 (-11%) | 3mo | $47,000 | $43 | 72 |
| 744 Ashland Ave | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,300 (+6%) | 4mo | $240,000 | $185 | 71 |
| 1105 Brown St | 0.10mi | 3/1.0 | 1,080 (-12%) | 4mo | $50,000 | $46 | 70 |
| 1008 E 18th St | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (-3%) | 1mo | $200,000 | $167 | 68 |
| 853 E 14th St | 0.23mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,152 (-6%) | 4mo | $210,000 | $182 | 68 |
| 921 Mcdowell Ave | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 | 1,108 (-10%) | 3mo | $74,000 | $67 | 67 |
| 1044 Toll St | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 | 1,308 (+6%) | 7mo | $170,000 | $130 | 65 |
| 936 Mcdowell Ave | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 | 1,108 (-10%) | 6mo | $90,000 | $81 | 64 |
| 176 Crum Creek Dr | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,120 (-9%) | 4mo | $235,000 | $210 | 47 |
| 617 E 19th St | 0.57mi | 2/3.0 (-1) | 1,344 (+9%) | 7mo | $205,000 | $153 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.88% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.40×
- Total profit
- $14,103
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- 21.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.21×
- Total profit
- $77,346
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 19013
- Rents YoY
- 6.9%
- Active inventory
- 140
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,623 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$139 /mo · $1,664/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$341
- Net cashflow
- $436
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $507 | -5% $471 | +0% $436 | +5% $401 | +10% $365 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $308 | -5% $372 | +0% $436 | +5% $500 | +10% $564 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $499 | -0.5pp $468 | base $436 | +0.5pp $403 | +1.0pp $371 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 24 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1124 Thomas St Chester, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1046 | $1,200 | $1.15 | 25d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 1206 Thomas St Chester, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 833 | $1,399 | $1.68 | 25d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 1118 Brown St Unit 318 Chester, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $1,900 | $1.74 | 16d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 1211 Johnson St Chester, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 882 | $1,500 | $1.70 | 4d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 921 E 15th St Chester, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1279 | $1,650 | $1.29 | 0d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 1510 Washington Ave Chester, PA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1280 | $2,000 | $1.56 | 19d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 1312 E 13th St Crum Lynne, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1280 | $1,940 | $1.52 | 19d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 1127 Walnut St Chester, PA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1312 | $1,600 | $1.22 | 9d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 814 Upland St Chester, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1344 | $1,525 | $1.13 | 9d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 2015 Hyatt St Chester, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 988 | $1,950 | $1.97 | 0d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 1944 Ridley Mill Ln Woodlyn, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,600 | $1.90 | 45d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 13 E 21st St Unit A Chester, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,250 | $1.39 | 45d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 2219 Madison St Unit B Chester, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,000 | $1.25 | 45d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1400 MacDade Blvd Woodlyn, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $1,600 | $2.06 | 45d | 2 | 1.02mi |
| 125 W 21st St Chester, PA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1152 | $1,850 | $1.61 | 25d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 1433 Grant Ave Unit B Woodlyn, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,450 | $1.21 | 45d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 314 E 24th St Chester, PA | 2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 800 | $1,500 | $1.88 | 0d | 12 | 1.06mi |
| 330 W 21st St Chester, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $1,500 | $1.30 | 45d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 2701 Madison St Chester, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 860 | $1,533 | $1.78 | 3d | 10 | 1.15mi |
| 418 Penn St Chester, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,350 | $1.08 | 45d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 25 W Parkway Ave Chester, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1324 | $1,600 | $1.21 | 6d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 225 W Chester Pike Unit 1 Ridley Park, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 837 | $1,750 | $2.09 | 25d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 225 W Chester Pike Unit 1 Ridley Park, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 837 | $1,500 | $1.79 | 45d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 2607 Edgmont Ave Unit 2F Brookhaven, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,600 | $1.88 | 25d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $125,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $125,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $125,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $125,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $125,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $125,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $125,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $125,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $125,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $125,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $125,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $125,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $125,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $125,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $125,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-05-01$135,000 Active 652-char remark
-
2026-04-27historical $135,000 652-char remark
-
1984-05-30soldstatus $23,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,664 · $139/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,819 · $152/mo
- Expected delta
- +$156/yr (+$13/mo · 9.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 27% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,475
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$1,664
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,558
- − Management
- −$1,558
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $3,432
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$824
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,407/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Chester-Upland SD
- NCES district ID
- 4205860
- Math proficiency
- 4% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 17% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $29,790
- Composite
- 8.05/100
- National rank
- #9918
- State rank
- #533 of 539 in PA
Livability — Chester
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #540
- US rank
- #5053
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Chester, PA
- County
- Delaware County · 399,863 people
- City population
- 35,064
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,064
- Household income
- $41,261
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2668.0
Population outlook (Delaware County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 577,490 people
- By 2030
- 581,243 · +0.6%
- By 2040
- 584,700 · +1.2%
- By 2050
- 586,581 · +1.6%
- By 2075
- 598,706 · +3.7%
- By 2100
- 590,823 · +2.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 71% White 14% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Delaware
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.7) · D 61.4% · R 37.6% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.3pp toward D · 2008: 21.4pp · 2024: 23.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.7 2020: D+26.7 2016: D+22.0 2012: D+21.8 2008: D+21.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -149.69%
- Current HPI
- 219.5173
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.88%
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+423.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Price Changed $125,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-01 Listed $135,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-27 Coming Soon $135,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 1984-05-30 Sold (Public Records) $23,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+20.7%/yrLatest (2026): $1,664 · +143.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…