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6528 County Road 9
B Composite 70.09
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Schools +0.7/10.0

$85,000

6528 County Road 9 · York, AL 36907
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,188 sqft · SingleFamily · 366 Days on market
Built 1945 Fair condition 1.04 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Looking for a Hunting Club house or just a place to get away in the country? This 3 bedroom, 1 bath comes fully furnished and also has outside storage for ATV's, hunting gear, or your many other outdoor hobbies. With a covered front and back porch, you can sit and enjoy the scenery and countryside.

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Outside storage
  • Fully furnished

Tags

FULLY FURNISHEDOUTSIDE STORAGECOVERED FRONT PORCHCOVERED BACK PORCH

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $379 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
  • Recommended offer: $75k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 55/100 on livability (#429 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Sumter County (rural): math 2% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #124 of 129 in AL (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 93% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Sumter County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($588 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Sumter County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 366 days — a 12% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $74,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 366 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.44%
Cap rate
11.64%
Cash-on-cash
19.10%
DSCR
1.85
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
25.5%
Equity multiple
2.44×
Total profit
$34,390
Equity at exit
$38,220
10-year hold
IRR
26.2%
Equity multiple
4.72×
Total profit
$88,643
Equity at exit
$58,901

Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36907

Active inventory
1
Price-to-rent
5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,223 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$446
Tax est. 1.5%
$106 /mo · $1,275/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$257
Net cashflow
$379

Break-even live

Break-even rent $744
Max offer price $85,000
Occupancy floor 64%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,250
Closing costs
$2,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $85,000 Active 366 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $85,000 Active 365 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $85,000 Active 364 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $85,000 Active 363 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $85,000 Active 362 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $85,000 Active 360 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $85,000 Active 359 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $85,000 Active 356 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $85,000 Active 355 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $85,000 Active 354 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $85,000 Active 351 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $85,000 Active 350 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $85,000 Active 349 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $85,000 Active 348 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $85,000 Active 347 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $85,000 Active 346 DOM
  17. 2025-12-05
    status Active 299-char remark
    Show marketing remark (299 chars)

    Looking for a Hunting Club house or just a place to get away in the country? This 3 bedroom, 1 bath comes fully furnished and also has outside storage for ATV's, hunting gear, or your many other outdoor hobbies. With a covered front and back porch, you can sit and enjoy the scenery and countryside.

  18. 2025-11-19
    status Pending 299-char remark
    Show marketing remark (299 chars)

    Looking for a Hunting Club house or just a place to get away in the country? This 3 bedroom, 1 bath comes fully furnished and also has outside storage for ATV's, hunting gear, or your many other outdoor hobbies. With a covered front and back porch, you can sit and enjoy the scenery and countryside.

  19. 2025-06-02
    listed $85,000 Active 299-char remark
    Show marketing remark (299 chars)

    Looking for a Hunting Club house or just a place to get away in the country? This 3 bedroom, 1 bath comes fully furnished and also has outside storage for ATV's, hunting gear, or your many other outdoor hobbies. With a covered front and back porch, you can sit and enjoy the scenery and countryside.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,678
− Mortgage interest
−$4,761
− Property taxes
−$1,275
− Insurance
−$425
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,174
− Management
−$1,174
− Depreciation
−$2,473
Taxable income
$3,396
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$815
After-tax cash flow
$3,732/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 4 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This property requires moderate renovations, focusing on landscaping, interior updates, and HVAC maintenance to significantly enhance its resale and rental value.

Repairs flagged

  • Major Landscaping — Overgrown yard and debris need significant attention.
  • Minor Exterior paint — Painted walls need touch-up or fresh paint.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances curb appeal and resale value.
  • Both Interior updates and fresh paint — Improves interior aesthetics and rental appeal.
  • Both HVAC maintenance and upgrade — Enhances comfort and energy efficiency, improving both resale and rental value.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Landscaping · Overgrown yard and debris need significant attention. Major $15,000–50,000
Exterior paint · Painted walls need touch-up or fresh paint. Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 2 items $15,500–53,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances curb appeal and resale value.
  • Both Interior updates and fresh paint — Improves interior aesthetics and rental appeal.
  • Both HVAC maintenance and upgrade — Enhances comfort and energy efficiency, improving both resale and rental value.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sumter County
NCES district ID
0103090
Math proficiency
2% ▼ -19.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$22,830
Composite
6.96/100
National rank
#9972
State rank
#124 of 129 in AL

Livability — York

Score
55/100
State rank
#429
US rank
#23192

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing D- Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
1,523

Population outlook (Sumter County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
12,289 people
By 2030
11,899 · -3.2%
By 2040
11,250 · -8.5%
By 2050
10,972 · -10.7%
By 2075
12,179 · -0.9%
By 2100
13,454 · +9.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (67%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 67% White 31% Two or more races 1%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Lithuanian 2% Scottish 1%
Foreign-born
0%

Political lean MEDSL · Sumter

2024 margin
Solid D (+41.2) · D 70.3% · R 29.1%
2008→2024 swing
-9.1pp toward R · 2008: 50.3pp · 2024: 41.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+41.2 2020: D+48.5 2016: D+49.4 2012: D+54.6 2008: D+50.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2025-12-05 Relisted WAMLS
  • 2025-11-19 Pending WAMLS
  • 2025-06-02 Listed $85,000 WAMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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