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1211 E Lyons Ave #125
B- Composite 65.97
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +1.6/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$69,900

1211 E Lyons Ave #125 · Spokane, WA 99207
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 980 sqft · Manufactured public records · 22 Days on market
Built 1976 Est $62k · 13% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Well maintained 2 bedroom, 2 bathroom in Contempo mobile home park.

Key facts

  • Attached half bath
  • Walk-in tub
  • Eat-up bar

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT LAYOUTEAT-UP BARATTACHED HALF BATHBUILT-IN DRAWER CABINETRYWALK-IN TUBGAS FORCED-AIR HEATING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Living area recorded as 980; Listed by Amplify Real Estate Services
  • Financial info: Land lease: $750
  • HOA & community: Senior community (Contempo park)

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached carport; 2 carport spaces
  • Utilities: Public water and sewer (per public records)
  • Home design: Manufactured home (Marlette); Skirted foundation
  • Construction: Steel frame construction; Metal roof; Manufactured house structure
  • Exterior features: Deck; Level lot; Private, paved road frontage; Community pool

Interior

  • Kitchen: Free-standing range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Hot water; Utility room; Roll-in shower; Grab bars throughout
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $568 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $69k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 16.1% vs local median 3.2% in Spokane — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#93 in WA, #1,822 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Spokane School District (urban): math 47% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #136 of 291 in WA (top 47%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Arlington Elementary (399 students, 84% FRL); Rogers High School (1,536 students, 83% FRL) — zoned schools average 84% FRL vs 50% district-wide (34 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 236 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,608 units permitted in Spokane County in 2024 (1,792 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Spokane County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.2% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($69k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $22k; list at $70k implies a 218% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $68,851 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.80%
Cap rate
16.05%
Cash-on-cash
34.85%
DSCR
2.55
GRM
4.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$61,740
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1211 E Lyons Ave #104 0.00mi 2/1.0 980 (0%) 8mo $78,000 $80 94
1211 E Lyons Ave #67 0.00mi 2/1.0 944 (-4%) 2mo $59,000 $63 92
1205 E Lyons Ave #137 0.15mi 2/1.0 980 (0%) 8mo $92,000 $94 86
6417 N Cincinnati St #34 0.39mi 2/1.0 980 (0%) 4mo $69,500 $71 78
1209 E Lyons Ave #221 0.17mi 3/2.0 (+1) 980 (0%) 7mo $86,900 $89 77
1211 E Lyons Ave #123 0.00mi 2/1.0 840 (-14%) 3mo $50,000 $60 74
1205 E Lyons Ave #18 0.17mi 2/2.0 906 (-8%) 2mo $119,000 $131 73
1205 E Lyons Ave #20 0.17mi 2/1.0 840 (-14%) 3mo $30,000 $36 66
1205 E Lyons Rd #162 0.17mi 2/1.0 1,124 (+15%) 3mo $68,000 $60 65
7303 N Crestline #44 St 0.66mi 2/2.0 980 (0%) 6mo $60,000 $61 60
7303 N Crestline St #35 0.66mi 2/2.0 1,064 (+9%) 4mo $56,170 $53 48
7303 N Crestline St #49 0.66mi 2/1.0 840 (-14%) 3mo $27,000 $32 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.25% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
30.6%
Equity multiple
2.29×
Total profit
$25,176
Equity at exit
$10,422
10-year hold
IRR
38.0%
Equity multiple
4.57×
Total profit
$69,784
Equity at exit
$6,044

Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 99207

Home prices YoY
-21.3%
Rents YoY
3.2%
Active inventory
236
Price-to-rent
4.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,260 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$31 /mo · $375/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$265
Net cashflow
$568

Break-even live

Break-even rent $540
Max offer price $69,900
Occupancy floor 50%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $608 -5% $588 +0% $568 +5% $549 +10% $529
Rent -10% $469 -5% $519 +0% $568 +5% $618 +10% $668
Rate -1.0pp $604 -0.5pp $586 base $568 +0.5pp $550 +1.0pp $532

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,475
Closing costs
$2,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
901 E Holyoke Ave Spokane, WA 1.0 1.0 588 $1,075 $1.83 24d 3 0.26mi
6980 N Nevada St Spokane, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0 622 $1,383 $2.22 24d 1 0.26mi
910 E Holyoke Ave Spokane, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0 755 $1,425 $1.89 14d 4 0.28mi
1015 E Cozza Dr Unit 14 Spokane, WA 2.0 1.0 902 $1,110 $1.23 24d 1 0.33mi
1015 E Cozza Dr Unit 41 Spokane, WA 1.0 1.0 660 $1,065 $1.61 24d 1 0.33mi
1015 E Cozza Dr Unit 65 Spokane, WA 1.0 1.0 660 $1,065 $1.61 14d 1 0.33mi
1015 E Cozza Dr Unit 165 Spokane, WA 1.0 1.0 660 $1,010 $1.53 14d 1 0.38mi
1015 E Cozza Dr Unit 160 Spokane, WA 1.0 1.0 660 $1,010 $1.53 24d 1 0.40mi
617 E Houston Ave Unit HH340 Spokane, WA 2.0 1.0 710 $1,100 $1.55 14d 1 0.41mi
1015 E Cozza Dr Unit 167 Spokane, WA 1.0 1.0 660 $1,050 $1.59 24d 1 0.41mi
6603 N Standard St Unit 6605 Spokane, WA 2.0 1.0 750 $1,200 $1.60 24d 1 0.47mi
1011 E Sharpsburg Ave Unit 574 Spokane, WA 1.0 1.0 660 $1,065 $1.61 24d 1 0.49mi
1011 E Sharpsburg Ave Unit 494 Spokane, WA 2.0 1.0 902 $1,150 $1.27 24d 1 0.52mi
6107 N Standard St Spokane, WA 2.0 1.5 850 $2,350 $2.76 24d 1 0.60mi
7808 N Morton St Unit 631 Spokane, WA 1.0 1.0 660 $1,050 $1.59 24d 1 0.69mi
1718 E Lincoln Rd Spokane, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 975 $1,795 $1.84 14d 10 0.71mi
6203 N Astor St Spokane, WA 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,400 $1.27 14d 1 0.72mi
6203 N Astor St Unit 2 Spokane, WA 2.0 1.5 1100 $1,400 $1.27 21d 1 0.72mi
7024 N Colton St Spokane, WA 2.0 2.0 1082 $1,385 $1.28 14d 1 0.73mi
121 E Wedgewood Ave Spokane, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 833 $1,205 $1.45 14d 17 0.74mi
2414 E Francis Ave Unit 1 Spokane, WA 2.0 1.0 800 $1,200 $1.50 14d 1 0.84mi
824 E North Ave Unit 824 Spokane, WA 2.0 1.0 770 $1,195 $1.55 24d 1 0.86mi
6029 N Mayfair St Unit 7 Spokane, WA 1.0 1.0 725 $1,025 $1.41 14d 1 0.93mi
6018 N Ruby St #8 Spokane, WA 2.0 1.0 600 $995 $1.66 14d 1 0.96mi
6601 N Atlantic St Unit 6625 Spokane, WA 2.0 1.0 697 $1,000 $1.43 14d 1 1.02mi
7001 N Atlantic St Spokane, WA 1.0 1.0 600 $995 $1.66 24d 1 1.04mi
8424 N Nevada St Unit 308 Spokane, WA 1.0 1.0 660 $1,065 $1.61 24d 1 1.04mi
8424 N Nevada St Apt 314 Spokane, WA 1.0 1.0 660 $1,065 $1.61 44d 1 1.07mi
8424 N Nevada St Unit 54 Spokane, WA 1.0 1.0 660 $1,050 $1.59 24d 1 1.07mi
8424 N Nevada St Unit 412 Spokane, WA 1.0 1.0 660 $1,010 $1.53 44d 1 1.07mi
6229 N Regal St Unit B Spokane, WA 2.0 1.0 822 $1,150 $1.40 24d 1 1.10mi
6105 N Regal St Unit B Spokane, WA 2.0 1.5 600 $1,295 $2.16 14d 1 1.11mi
2506 E Rowan Ave Unit 2508 Spokane, WA 2.0 1.0 760 $1,350 $1.78 24d 1 1.16mi
636 E Magnesium Rd Spokane, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0–3.0 1053 $1,780 $1.69 14d 12 1.22mi
3015 E Central Ave Apt 1 Spokane, WA 2.0 1.0 736 $1,000 $1.36 24d 1 1.30mi
1910 E Wellesley Ave Unit 1912 Spokane, WA 2.0 1.0 800 $1,125 $1.41 24d 1 1.37mi
8422 N Mayfair St Unit 2 Spokane, WA 2.0 1.0 800 $1,195 $1.49 24d 1 1.39mi
401 E Magnesium Rd Spokane, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0 730 $1,290 $1.77 44d 4 1.40mi
849 E Magnesium Rd Spokane, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 931 $1,512 $1.62 14d 6 1.42mi
39 E Mayfair Ct Apt 2 Spokane, WA 2.0 1.0 850 $995 $1.17 44d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-05-21
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-28
    listed $69,900 Active
  3. 2006-06-02
    soldstatus $22,000 67-char remark
    Show marketing remark (67 chars)

    Well maintained 2 bedroom, 2 bathroom in Contempo mobile home park.

  4. 2006-05-16
    listed $24,500 67-char remark
    Show marketing remark (67 chars)

    Well maintained 2 bedroom, 2 bathroom in Contempo mobile home park.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$375 · $31/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$685 · $57/mo
Expected delta
+$310/yr (+$26/mo · 82.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 6 d/yr ≥94°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 19 unhealthy d/yr today · 21 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,119
− Mortgage interest
−$3,915
− Property taxes
−$375
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,210
− Management
−$1,210
− Depreciation
−$2,033
Taxable income
$6,026
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,446
After-tax cash flow
$5,374/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Spokane School District
NCES district ID
5308250
Math proficiency
47% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
58% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$43,187
Composite
46.1/100
National rank
#5477
State rank
#136 of 291 in WA

Livability — Spokane

Score
80/100
State rank
#93
US rank
#1822

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living B+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Spokane, WA
County
Spokane County · 496,401 people
City population
298,820
Metro
Spokane-Spokane Valley, WA
Population (ZIP)
32,770
Household income
$60,452
Rent vs Own
42.4% rent · 57.6% own
Severe rent burden
1557.0

Population outlook (Spokane County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
531,314 people
By 2030
549,278 · +3.4%
By 2040
577,822 · +8.8%
By 2050
598,188 · +12.6%
By 2075
630,744 · +18.7%
By 2100
622,360 · +17.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 4% Asian 3% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 3% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Vietnam, Philippines
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Spokane

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 46.0% · R 51.0% · Other 3.0%
2008→2024 swing
-3.8pp toward R · 2008: -1.1pp · 2024: -5.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.0 2020: R+4.3 2016: R+8.3 2012: R+6.3 2008: R+1.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -103.43%
Current HPI
381.758
Rent YoY
▲ 3.25%
Metro
Spokane-Spokane Valley, WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+185.3% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Pending SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-28 Listed $69,900 SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-06-02 Sold (MLS) $22,000 SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-05-16 Listed $24,500 SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+7.6%/yr

Latest (2026): $375 · +64.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…