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1320 37th Ave 🏷️ Likely Rental
B Composite 72.09
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$69,000

1320 37th Ave · Gulfport, MS 39501
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,232 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 160 Days on market
Built 1955 6,969 sqft lot $56/sqft · 54% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Nestled under beautiful tress located on a corner lot in the heart of Gulfport near Milner stadium and Memorial hospital, this home has a metal roof, 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom. Currently tenant occupied at $750 per month with terms being month to month Section 8. Lots of possibilities here at a great price point. 24 hours notice required to view.

Key facts

  • Metal roof
  • Near milner stadium
  • Corner lot

Tags

CORNER LOTMETAL ROOFNEAR MILNER STADIUMNEAR MEMORIAL HOSPITAL

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $69,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$150,170) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $69k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $728 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $69k).
  • Recommended offer: $61k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 18.9% vs local median 4.9% in Gulfport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#15 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Gulfport School District (urban): math 41% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #37 of 130 in MS (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.5%/yr); 252 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,194 units permitted in Harrison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,503/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($35k/yr) (locally 1516% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $477 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Harrison County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 160 days — a 12% lower offer ($61k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $60,720 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 160 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.18%
Cap rate
18.95%
Cash-on-cash
45.20%
DSCR
3.01
GRM
3.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$150,170
List price
$69,000
Delta
-54.05%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1108 37th Ave 0.19mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,267 (+3%) 5mo $220,000 $174 73
914 39th Ave 0.34mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,300 (+6%) 9mo $300,000 $231 59
1873 43rd Ave 0.51mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,200 (-3%) 8mo $104,900 $87 56
1717 Terrace Dr 0.29mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,125 (-9%) 15mo $90,000 $80 55
4114 Central St 0.55mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,310 (+6%) 2mo $354,000 $270 53
4340 Betts Cir 0.63mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,305 (+6%) 2mo $129,900 $100 52
1112 40th Ave 0.26mi 4/2.0 1,392 (+13%) 15mo $89,000 $64 50
1521 42nd Ave 0.36mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,100 (-11%) 13mo $190,000 $173 46
1808 41 St Ave 0.43mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,111 (-10%) 17mo $70,000 $63 42
1047 Camp Ave 0.75mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,300 (+6%) 18mo $89,900 $69 36
3617 22nd St 0.57mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,051 (-15%) 10mo $74,900 $71 36
2116 31st Ave 0.72mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,359 (+10%) 7mo $65,000 $48 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
47.8%
Equity multiple
3.23×
Total profit
$43,126
Equity at exit
$10,288
10-year hold
IRR
55.6%
Equity multiple
7.91×
Total profit
$133,444
Equity at exit
$5,966

Cash invested: $19,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39501

Home prices YoY
-34.5%
Rents YoY
10.5%
Active inventory
252
Price-to-rent
3.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,503 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$362
Tax from tax record
$69 /mo · $831/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$316
Net cashflow
$728

Break-even live

Break-even rent $582
Max offer price $69,000
Occupancy floor 47%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $767 -5% $747 +0% $728 +5% $708 +10% $689
Rent -10% $609 -5% $668 +0% $728 +5% $787 +10% $846
Rate -1.0pp $762 -0.5pp $745 base $728 +0.5pp $710 +1.0pp $692

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,250
Closing costs
$2,070
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1221 42nd Ave Gulfport, MS 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 44d 1 0.35mi
1106 32nd Ave Gulfport, MS 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,300 $1.08 44d 1 0.40mi
4319 Lewis St Gulfport, MS 3.0 2.0 1371 $1,649 $1.20 14d 1 0.71mi
2068 W Beach Blvd Biloxi, MS 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 998 $1,700 $1.70 14d 1 0.76mi
1412 Jo Ellen Cir Gulfport, MS 3.0 1.5 1275 $1,050 $0.82 14d 1 1.12mi
1206 Beach Ave Gulfport, MS 3.0 2.0 1076 $1,500 $1.39 14d 1 1.15mi

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $69,000 Active 160 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $69,000 Active 159 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $69,000 Active 158 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $69,000 Active 157 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $69,000 Active 155 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $69,000 Active 154 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $69,000 Active 152 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $69,000 Active 151 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $69,000 Active 150 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $69,000 Active 149 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $69,000 Active 146 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $69,000 Active 144 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $69,000 Active 143 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $69,000 Active 142 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $69,000 Active 141 DOM
  16. 2026-01-09
    listed $69,000 Active 348-char remark
    Show marketing remark (348 chars)

    Nestled under beautiful tress located on a corner lot in the heart of Gulfport near Milner stadium and Memorial hospital, this home has a metal roof, 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom. Currently tenant occupied at $750 per month with terms being month to month Section 8. Lots of possibilities here at a great price point. 24 hours notice required to view.

  17. 2025-08-06
    status Active
  18. 2025-07-26
    status Pending
  19. 2025-07-26
    historical
  20. 2025-07-21
    price $69,000
  21. 2025-07-15
    status Active
  22. 2025-07-03
    historical
  23. 2025-01-03
    listed $79,000 Active
  24. 2024-11-05
    historical
  25. 2024-04-07
    price $79,000
  26. 2023-10-05
    listed $103,000 Active
  27. 2021-10-01
    historical
  28. 2013-07-31
    listed $39,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$831 · $69/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$831 · $69/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 69% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,039
− Mortgage interest
−$3,865
− Property taxes
−$831
− Insurance
−$345
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,443
− Management
−$1,443
− Depreciation
−$2,007
Taxable income
$8,105
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,945
After-tax cash flow
$6,788/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gulfport School District
NCES district ID
2801710
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$35,712
Composite
34.38/100
National rank
#5213
State rank
#37 of 130 in MS

Livability — Gulfport

Score
73/100
State rank
#15
US rank
#5010

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Gulfport, MS
County
Harrison County · 178,171 people
City population
96,188
Metro
Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
Population (ZIP)
22,565
Household income
$34,758
Rent vs Own
60.3% rent · 39.7% own
Severe rent burden
1516.0

Population outlook (Harrison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
228,444 people
By 2030
241,942 · +5.9%
By 2040
267,531 · +17.1%
By 2050
291,062 · +27.4%
By 2075
346,711 · +51.8%
By 2100
378,165 · +65.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Black 59% White 29% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Harrison

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.9) · D 35.0% · R 63.9% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-2.9pp toward R · 2008: -26.0pp · 2024: -28.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.9 2020: R+25.2 2016: R+30.7 2012: R+26.6 2008: R+26.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -110.16%
Current HPI
208.998
Rent YoY
▲ 10.49%
Metro
Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+76.9% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-09 Listed $69,000 MLSU
  • 2025-08-06 Relisted MLSU
  • 2025-07-26 Pending MLSU
  • 2025-07-26 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2025-07-21 Price Changed $69,000 MLSU
  • 2025-07-15 Relisted MLSU
  • 2025-07-03 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2025-01-03 Listed $79,000 MLSU
  • 2024-11-05 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2024-04-07 Price Changed $79,000 MLSU
  • 2023-10-05 Listed $103,000 MLSU
  • 2021-10-01 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2013-07-31 Listed $39,000 MLSU

Property tax history

+0.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $831 · +4.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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