🏷️ Likely Rental
1320 37th Ave · Gulfport, MS
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.69%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$69,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Nestled under beautiful tress located on a corner lot in the heart of Gulfport near Milner stadium and Memorial hospital, this home has a metal roof, 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom. Currently tenant occupied at $750 per month with terms being month to month Section 8. Lots of possibilities here at a great price point. 24 hours notice required to view.
Key facts
- Metal roof
- Near milner stadium
- Corner lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $69k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $676 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $69k).
- Recommended offer: $61k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.1% vs local median 5.3% in Gulfport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#15 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Gulfport School District (urban): math 41% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #37 of 130 in MS (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: West Elementary School (math 24% / reading 33%, grade F, #195 of 375 statewide, top 52%, 523 students, 100% FRL); Gulfport Central Middle School (math 20% / reading 23%, grade F, #109 of 179 statewide, top 62%, 585 students, 100% FRL); Gulfport High School (math 42% / reading 36%, grade F, #54 of 197 statewide, top 28%, 1,728 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 67% district-wide (33 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.5%/yr); 353 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,194 units permitted in Harrison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,438/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($35k/yr) (locally 21% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $477 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harrison County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 258 days — a 12% lower offer ($61k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 258 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.06%
- Cash-on-cash
- 42.02%
- DSCR
- 2.87
- GRM
- 4.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $154,872
- List price
- $69,000
- Delta
- -55.45%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1215 36th Ave | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,208 (-2%) | 1mo | $145,000 | $120 | 82 |
| 1108 37th Ave | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,267 (+3%) | 8mo | $220,000 | $174 | 71 |
| 914 39th Ave | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,300 (+6%) | 12mo | $300,000 | $231 | 56 |
| 3420 11th St | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,406 (+14%) | 2mo | $199,750 | $142 | 54 |
| 1873 43rd Ave | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,200 (-3%) | 11mo | $104,900 | $87 | 54 |
| 2001 43rd Ave | 0.61mi | 4/2.0 | 1,150 (-7%) | 3mo | $74,900 | $65 | 54 |
| 1717 Terrace Dr | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,125 (-9%) | 18mo | $90,000 | $80 | 52 |
| 4114 Central St | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,310 (+6%) | 6mo | $354,000 | $270 | 50 |
| 4340 Betts Cir | 0.63mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,305 (+6%) | 5mo | $129,900 | $100 | 49 |
| 1521 42nd Ave | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,100 (-11%) | 16mo | $190,000 | $173 | 43 |
| 3617 22nd St | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,051 (-15%) | 13mo | $74,900 | $71 | 33 |
| 2116 31st Ave | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,359 (+10%) | 10mo | $65,000 | $48 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 44.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.05×
- Total profit
- $39,517
- Equity at exit
- $10,288
- IRR
- 52.3%
- Equity multiple
- 7.45×
- Total profit
- $124,532
- Equity at exit
- $5,966
Cash invested: $19,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 14 active · 10 under contract
- Months of supply
- 9.3 mo (11%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $179,000 ($137/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 88 d
- This list price
- 14% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- -8.0% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 39501
- Home prices YoY
- -34.5%
- Rents YoY
- 10.5%
- Active inventory
- 353
- Price-to-rent
- 4.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,438 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$362
- Tax from tax record
- −$69 /mo · $831/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$302
- Net cashflow
- $676
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $716 | -5% $696 | +0% $676 | +5% $657 | +10% $637 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $563 | -5% $620 | +0% $676 | +5% $733 | +10% $790 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $711 | -0.5pp $694 | base $676 | +0.5pp $659 | +1.0pp $640 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,250
- Closing costs
- $2,070
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1711 Wisteria St Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1260 | $1,100 | $0.87 | 1d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 1313 42nd Ave Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1433 | $1,250 | $0.87 | 6d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 1221 42nd Ave Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 139d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1106 32nd Ave Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,300 | $1.08 | 139d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 4319 Lewis St Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1371 | $1,649 | $1.20 | 109d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 2068 W Beach Blvd Biloxi, MS | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 998 | $1,700 | $1.70 | 0d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 2004 47th Ave Unit A Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1149 | $1,450 | $1.26 | 6d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1412 Jo Ellen Cir Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1275 | $1,050 | $0.82 | 109d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1206 Beach Ave Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1076 | $1,500 | $1.39 | 109d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1626 18th Ave Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1389 | $3,000 | $2.16 | 6d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 701 Lewis Ave Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1340 | $1,600 | $1.19 | 0d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 1103 Lewis Ave Gulfport, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1296 | $1,200 | $0.93 | 3d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-24days on market $69,000 Active 258 DOM
-
2026-09-24days on market $69,000 Active 257 DOM
-
2026-09-22days on market $69,000 Active 256 DOM
-
2026-09-21days on market $69,000 Active 255 DOM
-
2026-09-20days on market $69,000 Active 254 DOM
-
2026-09-18days on market $69,000 Active 252 DOM
-
2026-09-17days on market $69,000 Active 251 DOM
-
2026-09-16days on market $69,000 Active 250 DOM
-
2026-09-15days on market $69,000 Active 249 DOM
-
2026-09-14days on market $69,000 Active 248 DOM
-
2026-09-13days on market $69,000 Active 247 DOM
-
2026-09-12days on market $69,000 Active 246 DOM
-
2026-09-11days on market $69,000 Active 245 DOM
-
2026-09-05days on market $69,000 Active 239 DOM
-
2026-09-04days on market $69,000 Active 238 DOM
-
2026-09-03days on market $69,000 Active 237 DOM
-
2026-08-31days on market $69,000 Active 234 DOM
-
2026-08-30days on market $69,000 Active 233 DOM
-
2026-08-29days on market $69,000 Active 232 DOM
-
2026-08-28days on market $69,000 Active 231 DOM
-
2026-08-27days on market $69,000 Active 230 DOM
-
2026-08-25days on market $69,000 Active 228 DOM
-
2026-08-24days on market $69,000 Active 227 DOM
-
2026-08-23days on market $69,000 Active 226 DOM
-
2026-08-22days on market $69,000 Active 225 DOM
-
2026-08-21days on market $69,000 Active 224 DOM
-
2026-08-20days on market $69,000 Active 223 DOM
-
2026-08-19days on market $69,000 Active 222 DOM
-
2026-08-18days on market $69,000 Active 221 DOM
-
2026-08-17days on market $69,000 Active 220 DOM
-
2026-08-16days on market $69,000 Active 219 DOM
-
2026-08-15days on market $69,000 Active 218 DOM
-
2026-08-14days on market $69,000 Active 217 DOM
-
2026-08-13days on market $69,000 Active 216 DOM
-
2026-08-12days on market $69,000 Active 215 DOM
-
2026-08-11days on market $69,000 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-08-10days on market $69,000 Active 213 DOM
-
2026-08-09days on market $69,000 Active 212 DOM
-
2026-08-08days on market $69,000 Active 211 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $69,000 Active 210 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $69,000 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $69,000 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $69,000 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $69,000 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $69,000 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $69,000 Active 202 DOM
-
2026-07-29days on market $69,000 Active 201 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $69,000 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $69,000 Active 197 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $69,000 Active 196 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $831 · $69/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $831 · $69/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 69% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,260
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,865
- − Property taxes
- −$831
- − Insurance
- −$345
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,381
- − Management
- −$1,381
- − Depreciation
- −$2,007
- Taxable income
- $7,451
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,788
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,330/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 4 photos
The home requires moderate repairs and maintenance, including a new roof and fresh paint, to improve its condition and value.
Deferred maintenance Est. $40,000–$120,000 screening
- Major Roof (roof) — The roof appears to be in poor condition with visible damage and missing shingles.
- Major Windows (windows) — The windows appear to be old and possibly in need of replacement.
- Major Electrical (electrical) — The electrical panel is visible and appears to be outdated, indicating a need for replacement.
- Major Plumbing (plumbing) — The exterior of the house shows signs of water damage, which could indicate issues with the plumbing system.
Repairs flagged
- Major roof — Signs of wear and potential leaks
- Moderate exterior siding — Visible signs of wear and discoloration
- Moderate paint — Visible signs of wear and discoloration
- Minor landscaping — Some overgrown areas
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint exterior — Fresh paint can improve curb appeal and home value ↑
- Both repair roof — A new roof can significantly increase the home's value and reduce maintenance costs ↑
- Both landscaping — A well-maintained yard can improve curb appeal and home value ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gulfport School District
- NCES district ID
- 2801710
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,712
- Composite
- 34.38/100
- National rank
- #5213
- State rank
- #37 of 130 in MS
Livability — Gulfport
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #15
- US rank
- #5010
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gulfport, MS
- County
- Harrison County · 228,444 people
- City population
- 96,188
- Metro
- Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,565
- Household income
- $34,758
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 21% of renters
Population outlook (Harrison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 228,444 people
- By 2030
- 241,942 · +5.9%
- By 2040
- 267,531 · +17.1%
- By 2050
- 291,062 · +27.4%
- By 2075
- 346,711 · +51.8%
- By 2100
- 378,165 · +65.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 59% White 29% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Harrison
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.9) · D 35.0% · R 63.9% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.9pp toward R · 2008: -26.0pp · 2024: -28.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.9 2020: R+25.2 2016: R+30.7 2012: R+26.6 2008: R+26.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -110.16%
- Current HPI
- 208.998
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 10.49%
- Metro
- Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+76.9% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-09 Listed $69,000 MLSU
- 2025-08-06 Relisted — MLSU
- 2025-07-26 Pending — MLSU
- 2025-07-26 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2025-07-21 Price Changed $69,000 MLSU
- 2025-07-15 Relisted — MLSU
- 2025-07-03 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2025-01-03 Listed $79,000 MLSU
- 2024-11-05 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2024-04-07 Price Changed $79,000 MLSU
- 2023-10-05 Listed $103,000 MLSU
- 2021-10-01 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2013-07-31 Listed $39,000 MLSU
Property tax history
+0.6%/yrLatest (2025): $831 · +4.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…