6700 N 52nd St · Keats, KS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,154 – $2,142
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.8/10.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$180,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 5 acre lot
- 5 garage spots
- Built 1980
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $77 ($923/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $173k (3.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $173k (3.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Riley County (rural): math 55% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #6 of 169 in KS (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Riley County Grade School (math 59% / reading 56%, grade C+, #87 of 684 statewide, top 13%, 504 students, 25% FRL); Riley County High School (math 34% / reading 24%, grade F, #60 of 327 statewide, top 24%, 204 students, 22% FRL) — zoned schools at 24% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 190 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 132 units permitted in Riley County in 2024 (35 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Riley County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $65k; list at $180k implies a 177% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.83%
- DSCR
- 1.08
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.98% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.52×
- Total profit
- $-24,248
- Equity at exit
- $26,839
- IRR
- -4.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.71×
- Total profit
- $-14,726
- Equity at exit
- $15,563
Cash invested: $50,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kansas
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 66503
- Rents YoY
- 3.0%
- Active inventory
- 190
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,732 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$944
- Tax from tax record
- −$272 /mo · $3,265/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$364
- Net cashflow
- $77
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $179 | -5% $128 | +0% $77 | +5% $26 | +10% $-25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-60 | -5% $9 | +0% $77 | +5% $145 | +10% $214 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $168 | -0.5pp $123 | base $77 | +0.5pp $30 | +1.0pp $-17 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $45,000
- Closing costs
- $5,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-04-03historical
-
2026-04-02$180,000
-
2001-06-01soldstatus $65,000
-
1999-09-01soldstatus $77,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,265 · $272/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,265 · $272/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,778
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,083
- − Property taxes
- −$3,265
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,662
- − Management
- −$1,662
- − Depreciation
- −$5,236
- Taxable loss
- −$2,030
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$487
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,410/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Riley County
- NCES district ID
- 2011100
- Math proficiency
- 55% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $56,080
- Composite
- 46.29/100
- National rank
- #2477
- State rank
- #6 of 169 in KS
Livability — Keats
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Riley County · 62,662 people
- Metro
- Manhattan, KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,273
- Household income
- $97,846
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 421.0
Population outlook (Riley County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 83,656 people
- By 2030
- 89,075 · +6.5%
- By 2040
- 99,100 · +18.5%
- By 2050
- 109,146 · +30.5%
- By 2075
- 134,178 · +60.4%
- By 2100
- 153,653 · +83.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 8% Black 5% Asian 5% Pacific Islander 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · China, Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 4% Chinese 2% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Riley
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.6% · R 47.8% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +8.8pp toward D · 2008: -7.0pp · 2024: 1.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+1.8 2020: D+3.2 2016: R+4.5 2012: R+12.7 2008: R+7.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -214.01%
- Current HPI
- 141.8067
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.98%
- Metro
- Manhattan, KS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+132.3% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-03 Delisted — FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2026-04-02 Listed $180,000 FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2001-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
- 1999-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $77,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.5%/yrLatest (2025): $3,265 · +1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…