5939 Fillmore Pl · Merrillville, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Three bedroom, two bath bilevel in need of repairs. Property needs work but has a lot of potential. Property being sold as-is.
Key facts
- Back yard space
- Bi-level layout
- Vinyl siding
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; 1 garage space
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Built in 1981; Property listed in fixer condition
- Construction: Year built 1981
- Exterior features: Neighborhood view; Back yard fencing
Interior
- Kitchen: No appliances listed
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom; Two additional bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 three-quarter bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating fueled by natural gas
- Interior features: No specific interior features listed; Total of 6 rooms; Bonus room, living room, primary bedroom, two additional bedrooms
- Laundry & utility: No laundry or utility appliances listed
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $484 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 4.7% in Merrillville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#50 in IN, #3,393 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, health & safety D-.
- Merrillville Community School Corporation (suburban): math 22% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #240 of 301 in IN (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 264 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.1% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.83%
- DSCR
- 1.62
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $234,688
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1031 W 59th Pl | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,544 (0%) | 0mo | $187,500 | $121 | 92 |
| 1042 W 59th Ct | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,544 (0%) | 7mo | $235,000 | $152 | 87 |
| 1058 W 61st Ave | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,542 (-0%) | 3mo | $235,000 | $152 | 83 |
| 6034 Harrison St | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,544 (0%) | 4mo | $263,000 | $170 | 82 |
| 1017 W 63rd Ave | 0.43mi | 2/1.5 | 1,538 (-0%) | 4mo | $197,500 | $128 | 74 |
| 919 W 61st Ave | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,636 (+6%) | 7mo | $215,000 | $131 | 68 |
| 1310 W 61st Pl | 0.30mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,705 (+10%) | 5mo | $265,000 | $155 | 57 |
| 6201 Hayes St | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 | 1,390 (-10%) | 7mo | $220,800 | $159 | 53 |
| 1711 W 57th Ave | 0.44mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,712 (+11%) | 4mo | $239,000 | $140 | 51 |
| 423 W 55th Pl | 0.67mi | 3/3.5 (+1) | 1,612 (+4%) | 2mo | $180,000 | $112 | 48 |
| 5585 Jackson St | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,717 (+11%) | 2mo | $284,000 | $165 | 48 |
| 5910 Arthur St | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,352 (-12%) | 5mo | $155,000 | $115 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.1% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.20×
- Total profit
- $8,551
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- 15.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.32×
- Total profit
- $55,650
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46410
- Rents YoY
- 4.1%
- Active inventory
- 264
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,828 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$111 /mo · $1,329/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$384
- Net cashflow
- $484
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6004 Virginia St Merrillville, IN | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1544 | $1,800 | $1.17 | 1d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 6839 Harrison St Merrillville, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1128 | $1,650 | $1.46 | 13d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 6850 Van Buren Pl Merrillville, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $1,795 | $1.60 | 21d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 3190 W 63rd Ln Merrillville, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1667 | $2,600 | $1.56 | 4d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 4854 Jefferson St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2116 | $1,395 | $0.66 | 10d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 4854 Jefferson St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2116 | $1,395 | $0.66 | 1d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-22$150,000 Active
-
2009-08-24$44,999 126-char remark
Show marketing remark (126 chars)
Three bedroom, two bath bilevel in need of repairs. Property needs work but has a lot of potential. Property being sold as-is.
-
2009-03-25historical
-
2008-09-24$89,000
-
2005-09-25$98,900
-
2002-06-17$83,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,329 · $111/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,329 · $111/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,933
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$1,329
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,755
- − Management
- −$1,755
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable income
- $3,579
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$859
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,950/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Merrillville Community School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1809690
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,401
- Composite
- 25.74/100
- National rank
- #7375
- State rank
- #240 of 301 in IN
Livability — Merrillville
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #50
- US rank
- #3393
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Merrillville, IN
- County
- Lake County · 422,878 people
- City population
- 39,243
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,243
- Household income
- $64,127
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1644.0
Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 484,026 people
- By 2030
- 478,091 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 462,974 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 449,894 · -7.1%
- By 2075
- 436,169 · -9.9%
- By 2100
- 426,607 · -11.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 46% White 32% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 9% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Iranian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Lake
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.6) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.6pp toward R · 2008: 34.3pp · 2024: 5.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.6 2020: D+15.1 2016: D+20.6 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+34.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -180.11%
- Current HPI
- 240.8833
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.10%
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+80.7% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Listed $150,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-08-24 Listed $44,999 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-03-25 Listing Removed — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-09-24 Listed $89,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-09-25 Listed $98,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2002-06-17 Listed $83,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+4.1%/yrLatest (2024): $1,329 · +9.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…