128 N Delaware St · Smyrna, DE
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $476 – $884
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 68.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.0/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$165,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 3,920 sq ft lot
- Built 1920
- Listed 94 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $571 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
- Recommended offer: $150k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 3.5% in Smyrna — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#29 in DE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Smyrna School District (rural): math 22% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #16 of 26 in DE (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 220 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,201 units permitted in Kent County in 2024 (116 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kent County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 94 days — a 9% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 30y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $60k (27%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $48k; list at $165k implies a 244% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 68% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 94 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.83%
- DSCR
- 1.66
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $243,264
- List price
- $165,000
- Delta
- -32.17%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 222 N Union St | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 | 1,076 (+3%) | 4mo | $259,000 | $241 | 83 |
| 410 W Mount Vernon St | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 | 1,020 (-2%) | 12mo | $180,000 | $176 | 70 |
| 441 Smyrna Clayton Blvd | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,024 (-2%) | 4mo | $190,000 | $186 | 69 |
| 354 N Main St | 0.28mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,115 (+7%) | 9mo | $211,200 | $189 | 63 |
| 118 N New St | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 | 924 (-11%) | 6mo | $186,000 | $201 | 62 |
| 71 Harkins Dr | 0.64mi | 3/1.5 | 1,040 (-0%) | 13mo | $285,000 | $274 | 59 |
| 15 S Union St | 0.22mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,092 (+5%) | 20mo | $190,000 | $174 | 58 |
| 26 E Chestnut St | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 | 1,120 (+7%) | 14mo | $117,000 | $104 | 54 |
| 241 E North St | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 | 1,189 (+14%) | 1mo | $206,000 | $173 | 53 |
| 76 Harkins Dr | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 1,024 (-2%) | 19mo | $282,000 | $275 | 48 |
| 209 N High St | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 | 1,176 (+13%) | 20mo | $260,000 | $221 | 45 |
| 75 N Fairfield Dr | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (-4%) | 21mo | $283,500 | $284 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.21×
- Total profit
- $9,572
- Equity at exit
- $24,602
- IRR
- 14.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.19×
- Total profit
- $54,917
- Equity at exit
- $14,266
Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 70 Landlord-Friendly
- State Delaware
- 70 Landlord-Friendly · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 19977
- Home prices YoY
- -29.1%
- Active inventory
- 220
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,977 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$57 /mo · $685/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$415
- Net cashflow
- $571
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $664 | -5% $618 | +0% $571 | +5% $524 | +10% $478 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $415 | -5% $493 | +0% $571 | +5% $649 | +10% $727 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $654 | -0.5pp $613 | base $571 | +0.5pp $528 | +1.0pp $485 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,250
- Closing costs
- $4,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 Harkins Dr Smyrna, DE | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $2,200 | $1.69 | 44d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 4 Rehoboth Cir Clayton, DE | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,575 | $1.49 | 22d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-05-30statusdays on market $165,000 Pending 94 DOM
-
2026-05-20price $165,000
-
2026-05-20status Active
-
2026-05-13historical
-
2026-03-17price $215,000
-
2026-02-18$225,000 Active
-
1997-01-14soldstatus $48,000
-
1996-07-09historical
-
1996-03-14$55,900
-
1994-01-01soldstatus $27,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast DE · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $685 · $57/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $821 · $68/mo
- Expected delta
- +$136/yr (+$11/mo · 19.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 68% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,729
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,243
- − Property taxes
- −$685
- − Insurance
- −$825
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,898
- − Management
- −$1,898
- − Depreciation
- −$4,800
- Taxable income
- $4,380
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,051
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,801/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Smyrna School District
- NCES district ID
- 1001620
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -25.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -17.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,704
- Composite
- 27.67/100
- National rank
- #6915
- State rank
- #16 of 26 in DE
Livability — Smyrna
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #29
- US rank
- #8702
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Smyrna, DE
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,164
Population outlook (Kent County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 194,477 people
- By 2030
- 204,351 · +5.1%
- By 2040
- 222,135 · +14.2%
- By 2050
- 236,483 · +21.6%
- By 2075
- 266,327 · +36.9%
- By 2100
- 275,335 · +41.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 56% Black 29% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 5% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Hispanic 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Kent
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.2% · R 48.2% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.8pp toward R · 2008: 9.8pp · 2024: 2.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.0 2020: D+4.1 2016: R+4.9 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+9.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -110.14%
- Current HPI
- 267.998
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+511.1% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Price Changed $165,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-20 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-13 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-17 Price Changed $215,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-18 Listed $225,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 1997-01-14 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records
- 1996-07-09 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 1996-03-14 Listed $55,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 1994-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $27,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.9%/yrLatest (2025): $685 · -0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…