1475 Thieriot Ave Unit 5J · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.4/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +8.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.2/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$142,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautiful large one bedroom co-op. Features five closets, hardwood floors throughout and eat in kitchen. Unit is in move in condition. Convenient to all amenities, 30 minutes to Midtown Manhattan by express number 6 train, Parkchester stop. Two blocks to train station, Starbucks, Macys ect. Maintenance includes electric, gas, taxes. heat, hot water, ect. Will not last long! Additional Information: HeatingFuel:Oil Below Ground,
Key facts
- Garage
- Built 1965
- Listed 244 days
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Additional annual fee of $200 for air-conditioning (per air conditioner)
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned parking (waitlist); 1 parking space; 1-car garage; Parking fee of $150
- Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity available
- Home design: Stock cooperative; 6 total stories
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Brick construction; Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 rooms total
- Flooring: Hardwood floors
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Wall/window air conditioning unit(s)
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Accessible approach with ramp; Outdoor space; Basement (see remarks); Basement present
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $142k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $236 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $142k).
- Recommended offer: $125k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: 78 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 6,929 units permitted in Bronx County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,742/mo this rent would consume 91% of the median local household income ($36k/yr) (locally 7852% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $12k of equity ($982 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (7.5% local appreciation)).
- Bronx County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (7.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $40k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$40k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 245 days — a 12% lower offer ($125k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $110k; 29% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 35% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 245 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.93% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.11%
- DSCR
- 1.32
- GRM
- 4.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
7.46% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 24.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.74×
- Total profit
- $69,293
- Equity at exit
- $102,745
- IRR
- 22.6%
- Equity multiple
- 5.81×
- Total profit
- $191,163
- Equity at exit
- $199,235
Cash invested: $39,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 10460
- Home prices YoY
- 3.5%
- Active inventory
- 78
- Price-to-rent
- 4.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,742 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$745
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$178 /mo · $2,130/yr
- Insurance
- −$59
- HOA est. from 1 same-building comp
- −$949
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$576
- Net cashflow
- $236
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,500
- Closing costs
- $4,260
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Likely covers
- watergaselectric
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $142,000 Active 245 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $142,000 Active 244 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $142,000 Active 242 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $142,000 Active 240 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $142,000 Active 236 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $142,000 Active 235 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $142,000 Active 230 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $142,000 Active 228 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $142,000 Active 227 DOM
-
2026-02-24status Active
-
2026-02-24price $142,000
-
2025-07-20status Pending
-
2025-06-03price $129,000
-
2025-04-05price $138,000
-
2025-03-13$144,000 Active
-
2025-03-11historical $144,000
-
2025-03-09historical
-
2024-10-18$150,000 Active
-
2018-10-18soldstatus $110,000 Sold 433-char remark
Show marketing remark (433 chars)
Beautiful large one bedroom co-op. Features five closets, hardwood floors throughout and eat in kitchen. Unit is in move in condition. Convenient to all amenities, 30 minutes to Midtown Manhattan by express number 6 train, Parkchester stop. Two blocks to train station, Starbucks, Macys ect. Maintenance includes electric, gas, taxes. heat, hot water, ect. Will not last long! Additional Information: HeatingFuel:Oil Below Ground,
-
2018-09-06historical Pending 433-char remark
Show marketing remark (433 chars)
Beautiful large one bedroom co-op. Features five closets, hardwood floors throughout and eat in kitchen. Unit is in move in condition. Convenient to all amenities, 30 minutes to Midtown Manhattan by express number 6 train, Parkchester stop. Two blocks to train station, Starbucks, Macys ect. Maintenance includes electric, gas, taxes. heat, hot water, ect. Will not last long! Additional Information: HeatingFuel:Oil Below Ground,
-
2018-08-20$140,000 Active 433-char remark
Show marketing remark (433 chars)
Beautiful large one bedroom co-op. Features five closets, hardwood floors throughout and eat in kitchen. Unit is in move in condition. Convenient to all amenities, 30 minutes to Midtown Manhattan by express number 6 train, Parkchester stop. Two blocks to train station, Starbucks, Macys ect. Maintenance includes electric, gas, taxes. heat, hot water, ect. Will not last long! Additional Information: HeatingFuel:Oil Below Ground,
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,899
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,954
- − Property taxes
- −$2,130
- − Insurance
- −$710
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,632
- − Management
- −$2,632
- − HOA
- −$11,388
- − Depreciation
- −$4,131
- Taxable income
- $1,322
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$317
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,509/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Bronx County · 1,197,324 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 59,396
- Household income
- $36,309
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 7852.0
Population outlook (Bronx County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,607,353 people
- By 2030
- 1,681,852 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,824,421 · +13.5%
- By 2050
- 1,945,470 · +21.0%
- By 2075
- 2,187,887 · +36.1%
- By 2100
- 2,244,136 · +39.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 65% Black 27% Two or more races 20% White 3% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 23% Dominican 28%
- Foreign-born
- 33% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 38% English-only · Spanish 54% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bronx
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+45.4) · D 72.7% · R 27.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.3pp toward R · 2008: 77.8pp · 2024: 45.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+45.4 2020: D+67.6 2016: D+79.1 2012: D+82.9 2008: D+77.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 7.46%
- Current HPI
- 224.0425
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+1.4% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-24 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-24 Price Changed $142,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-20 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-03 Price Changed $129,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-05 Price Changed $138,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-13 Listed $144,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-11 Coming Soon $144,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-09 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-10-18 Listed $150,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-10-18 Sold (MLS) $110,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-09-06 Contingent — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-08-20 Listed $140,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…