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209 Old Ironsides Rd
A- Composite 80.55
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +5.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$525,000

209 Old Ironsides Rd · Newport, NC 28570
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,660 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 177 Days on market
Built 1997 Good condition 0.91 ac lot 2-car garage $197/sqft · 26% below area Est $708k · 26% under $54/mo HOA

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

3BR/2BA modular home in Newport featuring an open-concept layout and durable LVP flooring throughout. Bright living area flows into a functional kitchen with ample cabinetry. Spacious primary suite plus two additional bedrooms for guests or office space. Includes a two-story stick-built workshop with two 9-ft garage doors--perfect for storage, hobbies, or business use. Large yard with room to relax or entertain. Conveniently located near beaches, boating, shopping, and dining. Great opportunity for primary residence, vacation home, or investment!

Key facts

  • Functional kitchen
  • Ample cabinetry
  • Durable lvp flooring

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT LAYOUTDURABLE LVP FLOORINGFUNCTIONAL KITCHENAMPLE CABINETRYTWO-STORY STICK-BUILT WORKSHOPTWO 9-FT GARAGE DOORS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $525k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $6k ($70k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($12k rent vs $525k).
  • Recommended offer: $462k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 20.5% vs local median 28.3% in Newport — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#385 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Carteret County Public Schools (rural): math 59% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #31 of 178 in NC (top 17%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Beaufort Elementary (math 57% / reading 56%, grade C+, #280 of 1,410 statewide, top 20%, 378 students, 99% FRL); Beaufort Middle (math 42% / reading 55%, grade C-, #127 of 475 statewide, top 28%, 258 students, 99% FRL); East Carteret High (math 82% / reading 62%, grade B+, #107 of 535 statewide, top 21%, 530 students, 45% FRL) — zoned schools average 81% FRL vs 39% district-wide (42 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 321 active listings in the ZIP; 935 units permitted in Carteret County in 2024 (360 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $11,916/mo this rent would consume 204% of the median local household income ($70k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $16k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Carteret County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $147k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 177 days — a 12% lower offer ($462k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $462,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 177 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.27%
Cap rate
20.52%
Cash-on-cash
50.81%
DSCR
3.26
GRM
3.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$708,440
List price
$525,000
Delta
-25.89%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
9 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
335 Country Club Ln 0.22mi 3/3.0 2,292 (-14%) 3mo $319,000 $139 60
256 Gatsey Ln 0.82mi 4/3.5 (+1) 2,605 (-2%) 7mo $749,900 $288 45
108 Blue Heron Ct 1.43mi 3/2.5 2,320 (-13%) 1mo $775,000 $334 41
364 Old Stanton Rd Slip A18 0.80mi 3/3.0 2,426 (-9%) 11mo $1,040,000 $429 37
1074 Sea Gate Dr 0.97mi 3/2.0 2,101 (-21%) 6mo $750,000 $357 35
282 Old Stanton Rd 1.30mi 3/3.5 3,010 (+13%) 30mo $762,500 $253 17

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
44.7%
Equity multiple
2.93×
Total profit
$284,328
Equity at exit
$78,279
10-year hold
IRR
50.6%
Equity multiple
5.92×
Total profit
$723,729
Equity at exit
$45,392

Cash invested: $147,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.
Balanced market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
2 active
Months of supply
6.0 mo (17%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$799,500 ($289/sqft)
Median days on market
20 d
This list price
lowest-priced of the active set
ARV vs active asking
-7.7% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 28570

Home prices YoY
-16.2%
Active inventory
321
Price-to-rent
3.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$11,916 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,753
Tax from tax record
$164 /mo · $1,966/yr
Insurance
$219
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$54
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$2,502
Net cashflow
$5,797

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,578
Max offer price $525,000
Occupancy floor 46%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $6,094 -5% $5,946 +0% $5,797 +5% $5,649 +10% $5,500
Rent -10% $4,856 -5% $5,327 +0% $5,797 +5% $6,268 +10% $6,739
Rate -1.0pp $6,062 -0.5pp $5,931 base $5,797 +0.5pp $5,661 +1.0pp $5,523

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$131,250
Closing costs
$15,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Property features AI

Finance

HOA & community
Homeowners association with annual fee ($650)Community poolStreet lightsAssociation amenities include basketball court, boat dock, playground, RV/boat storage

Exterior

Parking
2 total parking spaces2-car garage (detached, unpaved)
Utilities
Well waterSeptic tankCable available
Home design
Single-family residenceOne level / One storyEntry level: 1
Construction
Vinyl siding and frame constructionBlock foundationShingle roofBuilt as a residential single family home
Exterior features
GardenDeckFront porchChain link fencing (back yard)Above-ground poolSecond garageWorkshopHas view

Interior

Kitchen
RefrigeratorIce makerDishwasherElectric range
Bedrooms
Total rooms: 8
Bathrooms
2 full bathrooms
Heating & cooling
Propane heatingCentral airAttic fan
Interior features
Walk-in closet(s)Kitchen islandCeiling fan(s)Window coveringsUnfurnished
Laundry & utility
Washer hookupLaundry roomWasher includedGas water heater

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-09-18
    days on market $525,000 Active 177 DOM
  2. 2026-09-17
    days on market $525,000 Active 176 DOM
  3. 2026-09-16
    days on market $525,000 Active 175 DOM
  4. 2026-09-15
    days on market $525,000 Active 174 DOM
  5. 2026-09-14
    days on market $525,000 Active 173 DOM
  6. 2026-09-13
    days on market $525,000 Active 172 DOM
  7. 2026-09-12
    days on market $525,000 Active 171 DOM
  8. 2026-09-11
    days on market $525,000 Active 170 DOM
  9. 2026-09-05
    days on market $525,000 Active 164 DOM
  10. 2026-09-04
    days on market $525,000 Active 163 DOM
  11. 2026-09-03
    days on market $525,000 Active 162 DOM
  12. 2026-09-02
    days on market $525,000 Active 161 DOM
  13. 2026-08-30
    days on market $525,000 Active 158 DOM
  14. 2026-08-29
    days on market $525,000 Active 157 DOM
  15. 2026-08-28
    days on market $525,000 Active 156 DOM
  16. 2026-08-27
    days on market $525,000 Active 155 DOM
  17. 2026-08-26
    days on market $525,000 Active 154 DOM
  18. 2026-08-25
    days on market $525,000 Active 153 DOM
  19. 2026-08-24
    days on market $525,000 Active 152 DOM
  20. 2026-08-23
    days on market $525,000 Active 151 DOM
  21. 2026-08-22
    days on market $525,000 Active 150 DOM
  22. 2026-08-21
    days on market $525,000 Active 149 DOM
  23. 2026-08-20
    days on market $525,000 Active 148 DOM
  24. 2026-08-19
    days on market $525,000 Active 147 DOM
  25. 2026-08-18
    days on market $525,000 Active 146 DOM
  26. 2026-08-17
    days on market $525,000 Active 145 DOM
  27. 2026-08-16
    days on market $525,000 Active 144 DOM
  28. 2026-08-15
    days on market $525,000 Active 143 DOM
  29. 2026-08-14
    days on market $525,000 Active 142 DOM
  30. 2026-08-13
    days on market $525,000 Active 141 DOM
  31. 2026-08-12
    days on market $525,000 Active 140 DOM
  32. 2026-08-11
    days on market $525,000 Active 139 DOM
  33. 2026-08-10
    days on market $525,000 Active 138 DOM
  34. 2026-08-09
    days on market $525,000 Active 137 DOM
  35. 2026-08-08
    days on market $525,000 Active 136 DOM
  36. 2026-08-07
    days on market $525,000 Active 135 DOM
  37. 2026-08-06
    days on market $525,000 Active 134 DOM
  38. 2026-08-05
    days on market $525,000 Active 133 DOM
  39. 2026-08-04
    days on market $525,000 Active 132 DOM
  40. 2026-08-03
    days on market $525,000 Active 131 DOM
  41. 2026-07-31
    days on market $525,000 Active 128 DOM
  42. 2026-07-29
    days on market $525,000 Active 126 DOM
  43. 2026-07-27
    days on market $525,000 Active 124 DOM
  44. 2026-07-25
    days on market $525,000 Active 122 DOM
  45. 2026-07-23
    days on market $525,000 Active 120 DOM
  46. 2026-07-22
    days on market $525,000 Active 119 DOM
  47. 2026-07-21
    days on market $525,000 Active 118 DOM
  48. 2026-07-18
    days on market $525,000 Active 115 DOM
  49. 2026-07-16
    days on market $525,000 Active 113 DOM
  50. 2026-07-16
    days on market $525,000 Active 112 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,966 · $164/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,305 · $359/mo
Expected delta
+$2,339/yr (+$195/mo · 119.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 97% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$142,990
− Mortgage interest
−$29,408
− Property taxes
−$1,966
− Insurance
−$7,744
− Repairs & maintenance
−$11,439
− Management
−$11,439
− HOA
−$648
− Depreciation
−$15,273
Taxable income
$65,073
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$15,618
After-tax cash flow
$53,949/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $13,300–$39,900 screening

This home is in good condition with a good roof, exterior, and interior. It has a good floor and systems. The property has a good yard and landscaping. The home is move-in ready and has good curb appeal.

Components & finishes AI

Roof asphalt shingle · good Flooring wood Appliances white

Deferred maintenance Est. $2,500–$10,000 screening

  • Minor Roof (roof) — No visible signs of damage or wear
  • Minor Windows (windows) — No visible signs of damage or wear
  • Minor Electrical (electrical) — No visible signs of damage or wear
  • Minor Plumbing (plumbing) — No visible signs of damage or wear
  • Minor Exterior (exterior) — No visible signs of damage or wear

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Landscaping and trimming bushes — Improves curb appeal and enhances property value
  • Both Landscaping and trimming bushes — Improves curb appeal and enhances property value

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

D Composite school gradezoned avg 59/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Beaufort Elementary C+ NC #280/1,410 Nat'l #9,263/41,679 Middle Beaufort Middle C- NC #127/475 Nat'l #3,846/14,009 High East Carteret High B+ NC #107/535 Nat'l #1,878/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Carteret County Public Schools
NCES district ID
3700630
Math proficiency
59% ▲ 5.00%
Reading proficiency
61% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$48,330
Composite
50.92/100
National rank
#1786
State rank
#31 of 178 in NC
C Composite livability gradescore 63/100

Livability — Newport

Score
63/100
State rank
#385
US rank
#15094

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Carteret County · 73,443 people
City population
22,197
Metro
Morehead City, NC
Population (ZIP)
22,197
Household income
$70,229
Rent vs Own
22.7% rent · 77.3% own
Severe rent burden
9% of renters

Population outlook (Carteret County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
73,443 people
By 2030
75,344 · +2.6%
By 2040
78,142 · +6.4%
By 2050
80,091 · +9.1%
By 2075
86,120 · +17.3%
By 2100
89,408 · +21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Black 3% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 6% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Carteret

2024 margin
Solid R (+43.1) · D 28.0% · R 71.1%
2008→2024 swing
-8.4pp toward R · 2008: -34.7pp · 2024: -43.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+43.1 2020: R+42.0 2016: R+44.5 2012: R+41.0 2008: R+34.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-03-24 Listed $550,000 Hive MLS

Property tax history

+5.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,966 · +50.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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