853 The Highlands · Danville, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.2/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- 1% rule +3.4/10.0
- DSCR +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$215,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Maintenance free living minutes to Geisinger, DACC and Danville downtown area. 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath end unit condo. The HOA fee $344/qtr for lawn care, snow removal and trash. Plenty of parking and outside rear patio offers a quiet place to unwind. Call an EXP agent to see this unit.
Key facts
- Built 1983
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $215k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-82 ($-983/yr) — negative.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $180k (16.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $180k (16.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#508 in PA, #4,632 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: amenities D-, commute F, employment D-.
- Danville Area SD (suburban): math 50% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #83 of 539 in PA (top 15%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Danville Primary Sch (511 students, 41% FRL); Danville Area Ms (math 34% / reading 68%, grade C, #116 of 512 statewide, top 24%, 508 students, 37% FRL); Danville Area Shs (math 87%, 638 students, 31% FRL).
- Market conditions: 71 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 27 units permitted in Montour County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $136k; list at $215k implies a 58% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.84% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.84%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.63%
- DSCR
- 0.93
- GRM
- 10.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -19.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.34×
- Total profit
- $-40,020
- Equity at exit
- $32,057
- IRR
- -11.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.31×
- Total profit
- $-41,416
- Equity at exit
- $18,589
Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17821
- Home prices YoY
- -17.9%
- Active inventory
- 71
- Price-to-rent
- 10.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,799 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,127
- Tax from tax record
- −$172 /mo · $2,065/yr
- Insurance
- −$90
- HOA est. from 1 same-building comp
- −$114
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$378
- Net cashflow
- $-82
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $40 | -5% $-21 | +0% $-82 | +5% $-143 | +10% $-204 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-224 | -5% $-153 | +0% $-82 | +5% $-11 | +10% $60 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $26 | -0.5pp $-27 | base $-82 | +0.5pp $-138 | +1.0pp $-194 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $53,750
- Closing costs
- $6,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 534 Nicholas Ave Danville, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1250 | $1,700 | $1.36 | 45d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 937 Poplar Ave Danville, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,600 | $1.23 | 45d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 972 Cherry St Danville, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1252 | $1,795 | $1.43 | 45d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 986 Ash St Unit 101 Danville, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1126 | $1,595 | $1.42 | 45d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1014 Vine St Danville, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,700 | $1.70 | 45d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 1016 Ash St Danville, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1496 | $2,795 | $1.87 | 45d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 1107 Vine St Danville, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,550 | $1.41 | 45d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 1146 Upper Mulberry St Danville, PA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1456 | $1,795 | $1.23 | 45d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1737 First St Unit 1737 Danville, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1082 | $1,500 | $1.39 | 45d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 27 Village Pointe Ln Unit 27 Danville, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1253 | $1,650 | $1.32 | 45d | 1 | 1.42mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Likely covers
- trashlandscapingsnow removal
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-05-26$215,000
-
2021-06-11soldstatus $136,000 283-char remark
Show marketing remark (283 chars)
Maintenance free living minutes to Geisinger, DACC and Danville downtown area. 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath end unit condo. The HOA fee $344/qtr for lawn care, snow removal and trash. Plenty of parking and outside rear patio offers a quiet place to unwind. Call an EXP agent to see this unit.
-
2021-06-11soldstatus $136,000
Show marketing remark (283 chars)
Maintenance free living minutes to Geisinger, DACC and Danville downtown area. 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath end unit condo. The HOA fee $344/qtr for lawn care, snow removal and trash. Plenty of parking and outside rear patio offers a quiet place to unwind. Call an EXP agent to see this unit.
-
2021-03-26$145,000 283-char remark
Show marketing remark (283 chars)
Maintenance free living minutes to Geisinger, DACC and Danville downtown area. 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath end unit condo. The HOA fee $344/qtr for lawn care, snow removal and trash. Plenty of parking and outside rear patio offers a quiet place to unwind. Call an EXP agent to see this unit.
-
2012-06-01soldstatus $118,500
-
2010-03-01soldstatus $115,000
-
2006-06-28soldstatus $95,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,065 · $172/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,731 · $228/mo
- Expected delta
- +$666/yr (+$56/mo · 32.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,588
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,043
- − Property taxes
- −$2,065
- − Insurance
- −$1,075
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,727
- − Management
- −$1,727
- − HOA
- −$1,368
- − Depreciation
- −$6,255
- Taxable loss
- −$4,672
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,121
- After-tax cash flow
- $138/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Danville Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4207320
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 67% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,554
- Composite
- 49.92/100
- National rank
- #1939
- State rank
- #83 of 539 in PA
Livability — Danville
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #508
- US rank
- #4632
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Danville, PA
- County
- Montour County · 18,613 people
- City population
- 18,613
- Metro
- Bloomsburg-Berwick, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,613
- Household income
- $76,971
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 361.0
Population outlook (Montour County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 18,673 people
- By 2030
- 18,660 · -0.1%
- By 2040
- 18,522 · -0.8%
- By 2050
- 18,239 · -2.3%
- By 2075
- 17,636 · -5.6%
- By 2100
- 16,283 · -12.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 3% Two or more races 3% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Iranian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Montour
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.0) · D 39.0% · R 60.0% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.9pp toward R · 2008: -15.1pp · 2024: -21.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.0 2020: R+21.1 2016: R+28.4 2012: R+20.7 2008: R+15.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -41.95%
- Current HPI
- 192.6962
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Bloomsburg-Berwick, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
||
Price history
+126.3% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listed $215,000 FSBO.com
- 2021-06-11 Sold (Public Records) $136,000 Public Records
- 2021-06-11 Sold (MLS) $136,000 CSVBR
- 2021-03-26 Listed $145,000 CSVBR
- 2012-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $118,500 Public Records
- 2010-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
- 2006-06-28 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.8%/yrLatest (2026): $2,065 · +9.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…