2008 Hillcrest Rd · Woodlawn, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 26.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +11.0/30.0
- Appreciation +9.8/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- DSCR +3.2/10.0
- 1% rule +2.8/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
$239,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Stately Colonial home in Woodlawn Park, offering a peaceful retreat surrounded by lush perennial gardens across an expansive property. Picture hosting gatherings on the brick patio, unwinding on the covered porch, or strolling through vibrant, blooming flower beds. Inside, you’re welcomed by a gracious foyer featuring original wood trim and a classic newel post staircase. The main level feels warm and inviting, with tall ceilings and abundant natural light throughout. Luxury vinyl plank flooring leads into the living room, complete with cherry built-ins, while the spacious dining room easily accommodates a large table and buffet, with views of the side and rear landscape. The kitchen offers a functional layout with ample counter space, ideal for everyday cooking and entertaining. Upstairs, the primary bedroom spans the full width of the home and features carpeted floors. The second and third bedrooms showcase hardwood flooring, with the third offering access to the rear addition rooftop—an opportunity to create a future balcony. The upper-level bathroom is finished in tile and includes a shower. From the primary bedroom, a fixed staircase leads to the attic, providing convenient storage along with a large cedar closet. The partially finished basement adds valuable living space, including a recreation room, second full bathroom, and laundry area. Outside, the detached garage has been converted into a workshop, offering flexibility for a skilled buyer to use as-is or convert back to a traditional garage. Recent updates include an architectural shingle roof on the home and a traditional shingle roof on the garage. The home is being sold strictly as-is, and the seller will make no repairs. The property will be listed as active prior to the consideration of any offers. Offer Deadline Monday 5/11 at Noon.
Key facts
- 0.31 acre lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1925
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $240k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-101 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $222k (7.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $186k (22.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $186k (22.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 4.3% in Woodlawn — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#78 in MD, #2,926 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: amenities D+, crime F.
- Baltimore County Public Schools (suburban): math 15% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #11 of 24 in MD (top 46%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 126 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,511 units permitted in Baltimore County in 2024 (643 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $24k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $23k appreciation (9.5% local appreciation)).
- Baltimore County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $95k; list at $240k implies a 153% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.78% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.79%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.80%
- DSCR
- 0.92
- GRM
- 10.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $338,581
- List price
- $239,900
- Delta
- -29.15%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Summerfield Rd | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,460 (+1%) | 14mo | $270,000 | $185 | 73 |
| 6408 Gilmore St | 0.31mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,486 (+3%) | 2mo | $170,000 | $114 | 72 |
| 3 Northland Rd | 0.23mi | 3/1.5 | 1,573 (+9%) | 11mo | $306,000 | $195 | 64 |
| 2003 Englewood Ave | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,658 (+14%) | 0mo | $350,000 | $211 | 57 |
| 1900 Hillcrest Rd | 0.24mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,538 (+6%) | 21mo | $325,000 | $211 | 50 |
| 2504 Parkview Rd | 0.55mi | 3/1.5 | 1,292 (-11%) | 9mo | $312,500 | $242 | 47 |
| 6424 Gilmore | 0.41mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,464 (+1%) | 23mo | $419,900 | $287 | 47 |
| 14 Gwynn Lake Dr | 0.25mi | 3/2.5 | 1,598 (+10%) | 22mo | $355,000 | $222 | 47 |
| 6 Bright Cir | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,290 (-11%) | 1mo | $275,000 | $213 | 43 |
| 2031 Englewood Ave | 0.27mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,650 (+14%) | 14mo | $360,000 | $218 | 41 |
| 5444 Dogwood Rd | 0.63mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,580 (+9%) | 4mo | $285,000 | $180 | 39 |
| 6518 Dogwood Rd | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 1,328 (-8%) | 22mo | $300,000 | $226 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
9.5% appreciation · 5.23% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.79×
- Total profit
- $120,281
- Equity at exit
- $207,419
- IRR
- 20.9%
- Equity multiple
- 6.46×
- Total profit
- $366,727
- Equity at exit
- $438,361
Cash invested: $67,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 21207
- Home prices YoY
- 1.1%
- Rents YoY
- 5.2%
- Active inventory
- 126
- Price-to-rent
- 10.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,860 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,258
- Tax from tax record
- −$212 /mo · $2,545/yr
- Insurance
- −$100
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$391
- Net cashflow
- $-101
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $35 | -5% $-33 | +0% $-101 | +5% $-169 | +10% $-237 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-248 | -5% $-174 | +0% $-101 | +5% $-28 | +10% $46 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $20 | -0.5pp $-40 | base $-101 | +0.5pp $-163 | +1.0pp $-226 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $59,975
- Closing costs
- $7,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6330 Windsor Mill Rd Woodlawn, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,600 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 1 Janper Ct Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 950 | $1,500 | $1.58 | 3d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1 Duke of Windsor Ct Gwynn Oak, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 775 | $1,984 | $2.56 | 3d | 20 | 0.67mi |
| 2 Mountbatten Ct Gwynn Oak, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $2,200 | $2.20 | 4d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 5533 Gwynn Oak Ave Fl 1 Gwynn Oak, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,600 | $1.48 | 44d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 6463 Woodgreen Cir Gwynn Oak, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1230 | $1,900 | $1.54 | 18d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 4998 W Forest Park Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 790 | $1,875 | $2.37 | 15d | 15 | 0.89mi |
| 5215 Muth Ave Gwynn Oak, MD | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1205 | $2,700 | $2.24 | 15d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 1 Kafern Dr Gwynn Oak, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 765 | $1,809 | $2.36 | 3d | 8 | 0.99mi |
| 5136 Oaklawn Rd Gwynn Oak, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $1,710 | $1.91 | 2d | 22 | 1.09mi |
| 5006 Windsor Mill Rd Baltimore, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 776 | $1,899 | $2.45 | 3d | 18 | 1.26mi |
| 3101 Windsor Blvd Gwynn Oak, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 843 | $1,755 | $2.08 | 2d | 55 | 1.26mi |
| 3535 Flannery Ln Gwynn Oak, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1536 | $2,000 | $1.30 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 2 Walden Birch Ct Woodlawn, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1022 | $1,792 | $1.75 | 5d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 6226 Robin Hill Rd Gwynn Oak, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1140 | $2,850 | $2.50 | 17d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 4738 Wakefield Rd Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 884 | $1,200 | $1.36 | 24d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-05-12status Pending 1842-char remark
Show marketing remark (1842 chars)
Stately Colonial home in Woodlawn Park, offering a peaceful retreat surrounded by lush perennial gardens across an expansive property. Picture hosting gatherings on the brick patio, unwinding on the covered porch, or strolling through vibrant, blooming flower beds. Inside, you’re welcomed by a gracious foyer featuring original wood trim and a classic newel post staircase. The main level feels warm and inviting, with tall ceilings and abundant natural light throughout. Luxury vinyl plank flooring leads into the living room, complete with cherry built-ins, while the spacious dining room easily accommodates a large table and buffet, with views of the side and rear landscape. The kitchen offers a functional layout with ample counter space, ideal for everyday cooking and entertaining. Upstairs, the primary bedroom spans the full width of the home and features carpeted floors. The second and third bedrooms showcase hardwood flooring, with the third offering access to the rear addition rooftop—an opportunity to create a future balcony. The upper-level bathroom is finished in tile and includes a shower. From the primary bedroom, a fixed staircase leads to the attic, providing convenient storage along with a large cedar closet. The partially finished basement adds valuable living space, including a recreation room, second full bathroom, and laundry area. Outside, the detached garage has been converted into a workshop, offering flexibility for a skilled buyer to use as-is or convert back to a traditional garage. Recent updates include an architectural shingle roof on the home and a traditional shingle roof on the garage. The home is being sold strictly as-is, and the seller will make no repairs. The property will be listed as active prior to the consideration of any offers. Offer Deadline Monday 5/11 at Noon.
-
2026-05-06$239,900 Active 1842-char remark
Show marketing remark (1842 chars)
Stately Colonial home in Woodlawn Park, offering a peaceful retreat surrounded by lush perennial gardens across an expansive property. Picture hosting gatherings on the brick patio, unwinding on the covered porch, or strolling through vibrant, blooming flower beds. Inside, you’re welcomed by a gracious foyer featuring original wood trim and a classic newel post staircase. The main level feels warm and inviting, with tall ceilings and abundant natural light throughout. Luxury vinyl plank flooring leads into the living room, complete with cherry built-ins, while the spacious dining room easily accommodates a large table and buffet, with views of the side and rear landscape. The kitchen offers a functional layout with ample counter space, ideal for everyday cooking and entertaining. Upstairs, the primary bedroom spans the full width of the home and features carpeted floors. The second and third bedrooms showcase hardwood flooring, with the third offering access to the rear addition rooftop—an opportunity to create a future balcony. The upper-level bathroom is finished in tile and includes a shower. From the primary bedroom, a fixed staircase leads to the attic, providing convenient storage along with a large cedar closet. The partially finished basement adds valuable living space, including a recreation room, second full bathroom, and laundry area. Outside, the detached garage has been converted into a workshop, offering flexibility for a skilled buyer to use as-is or convert back to a traditional garage. Recent updates include an architectural shingle roof on the home and a traditional shingle roof on the garage. The home is being sold strictly as-is, and the seller will make no repairs. The property will be listed as active prior to the consideration of any offers. Offer Deadline Monday 5/11 at Noon.
-
2026-04-20historical $239,900 1842-char remark
Show marketing remark (1842 chars)
Stately Colonial home in Woodlawn Park, offering a peaceful retreat surrounded by lush perennial gardens across an expansive property. Picture hosting gatherings on the brick patio, unwinding on the covered porch, or strolling through vibrant, blooming flower beds. Inside, you’re welcomed by a gracious foyer featuring original wood trim and a classic newel post staircase. The main level feels warm and inviting, with tall ceilings and abundant natural light throughout. Luxury vinyl plank flooring leads into the living room, complete with cherry built-ins, while the spacious dining room easily accommodates a large table and buffet, with views of the side and rear landscape. The kitchen offers a functional layout with ample counter space, ideal for everyday cooking and entertaining. Upstairs, the primary bedroom spans the full width of the home and features carpeted floors. The second and third bedrooms showcase hardwood flooring, with the third offering access to the rear addition rooftop—an opportunity to create a future balcony. The upper-level bathroom is finished in tile and includes a shower. From the primary bedroom, a fixed staircase leads to the attic, providing convenient storage along with a large cedar closet. The partially finished basement adds valuable living space, including a recreation room, second full bathroom, and laundry area. Outside, the detached garage has been converted into a workshop, offering flexibility for a skilled buyer to use as-is or convert back to a traditional garage. Recent updates include an architectural shingle roof on the home and a traditional shingle roof on the garage. The home is being sold strictly as-is, and the seller will make no repairs. The property will be listed as active prior to the consideration of any offers. Offer Deadline Monday 5/11 at Noon.
-
1990-02-16soldstatus $95,000
-
1975-07-08soldstatus $29,800
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,545 · $212/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,580 · $215/mo
- Expected delta
- +$35/yr (+$3/mo · 1.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 26% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,314
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,438
- − Property taxes
- −$2,545
- − Insurance
- −$1,200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,785
- − Management
- −$1,785
- − Depreciation
- −$6,979
- Taxable loss
- −$5,417
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,300
- After-tax cash flow
- $88/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baltimore County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400120
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,746
- Composite
- 23.17/100
- National rank
- #7948
- State rank
- #11 of 24 in MD
Livability — Woodlawn
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #78
- US rank
- #2926
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Woodlawn, MD
- County
- Baltimore County · 769,527 people
- City population
- 49,599
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 47,099
- Household income
- $67,060
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2139.0
Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 885,518 people
- By 2030
- 909,272 · +2.7%
- By 2040
- 951,547 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 990,955 · +11.9%
- By 2075
- 1,086,411 · +22.7%
- By 2100
- 1,135,078 · +28.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 78% White 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Swedish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, Philippines, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.5) · D 61.0% · R 36.5% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.9pp toward D · 2008: 14.6pp · 2024: 24.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.5 2020: D+27.0 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+16.4 2008: D+14.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 9.50%
- Current HPI
- 843.63
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.23%
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
+705.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-06 Listed $239,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-20 Coming Soon $239,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 1990-02-16 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
- 1975-07-08 Sold (Public Records) $29,800 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,545 · +4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…