54 Hacienda Dr #54 · Napa, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 9/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 16 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +12.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.3/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this lovely manufactured home offering comfortable, affordable living without compromise. This well-maintained 2-bedroom, 2-bath home features a spacious, open-concept layout with a bright kitchen showcasing attractive appliances, seamlessly flowing into the dining and living areas. Vaulted ceilings and double-pane windows enhance the airy feel and natural light throughout. The primary bedroom includes a well-appointed bathroom with dual sinks, a relaxing jetted tub, and a separate shower stall. Outside has excellent curb appeal, an extra-wide covered carport, and two storage sheds in the backyard perfect for all your storage needs. The exterior is in great condition, making this home truly move-in ready. Affordable living, comfort, and convenience all in a welcoming 55+ community.
Key facts
- Bright kitchen
- Vaulted ceilings
- Double-pane windows
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $200k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $877 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $200k).
- Recommended offer: $176k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.6% vs local median 2.0% in Napa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#227 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, health & safety A+, amenities B+; Watch: commute F, cost of living F.
- Napa Valley Unified (urban): math 35% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #599 of 1,400 in CA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.5%/yr); 538 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 427 units permitted in Napa County in 2024 (189 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($113k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Napa County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 136 days — a 12% lower offer ($176k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $46k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 136 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.43% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.85%
- DSCR
- 1.84
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $221,672
- List price
- $199,500
- Delta
- -10.00%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 17 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 206 Shirley Ct | 0.31mi | 2/2.0 | 1,064 (+4%) | 3mo | $249,000 | $234 | 76 |
| 107 Mobile Ln | 0.22mi | 2/2.0 | 1,128 (+11%) | 7mo | $170,000 | $151 | 67 |
| 15 Camelia Dr | 0.52mi | 2/2.0 | 1,080 (+6%) | 3mo | $110,000 | $102 | 63 |
| 236 Reed Cir | 0.71mi | 2/2.0 | 1,040 (+2%) | 1mo | $240,000 | $231 | 62 |
| 308 Ginger Way | 0.49mi | 2/2.0 | 960 (-6%) | 7mo | $140,000 | $146 | 61 |
| 314 Tammy Way | 0.61mi | 2/2.0 | 1,027 (+1%) | 12mo | $269,000 | $262 | 60 |
| 312 Stacey Way | 0.55mi | 2/2.0 | 1,083 (+6%) | 5mo | $230,000 | $212 | 60 |
| 306 Mark Way | 0.52mi | 2/2.0 | 1,080 (+6%) | 11mo | $279,000 | $258 | 57 |
| 532 Cherry Lane Ln | 0.59mi | 2/2.0 | 960 (-6%) | 9mo | $90,000 | $94 | 55 |
| 314 Mark Way | 0.52mi | 2/2.0 | 1,100 (+8%) | 13mo | $145,000 | $132 | 52 |
| 252 Clover Way | 0.44mi | 2/2.0 | 1,152 (+13%) | 8mo | $242,000 | $210 | 51 |
| 303 Robert Way | 0.44mi | 2/2.0 | 1,152 (+13%) | 11mo | $225,000 | $195 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.27×
- Total profit
- $15,230
- Equity at exit
- $29,746
- IRR
- 13.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.95×
- Total profit
- $53,052
- Equity at exit
- $17,249
Cash invested: $55,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 94558
- Rents YoY
- -0.5%
- Active inventory
- 538
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,856 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,046
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$249 /mo · $2,992/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$600
- Net cashflow
- $877
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,875
- Closing costs
- $5,985
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3663 Solano Ave Napa, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1122 | $2,742 | $2.44 | 14d | 7 | 1.36mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $199,500 Active 136 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $199,500 Active 135 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $199,500 Active 134 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $199,500 Active 133 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $199,500 Active 131 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $199,500 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $199,500 Active 128 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $199,500 Active 127 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $199,500 Active 126 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $199,500 Active 125 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $199,500 Active 122 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $199,500 Active 121 DOM
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2026-06-02pricedays on market $199,500 Active 120 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $209,500 Active 119 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $209,500 Active 118 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $209,500 Active 117 DOM
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2026-05-13price $209,500 809-char remark
Show marketing remark (809 chars)
Welcome to this lovely manufactured home offering comfortable, affordable living without compromise. This well-maintained 2-bedroom, 2-bath home features a spacious, open-concept layout with a bright kitchen showcasing attractive appliances, seamlessly flowing into the dining and living areas. Vaulted ceilings and double-pane windows enhance the airy feel and natural light throughout. The primary bedroom includes a well-appointed bathroom with dual sinks, a relaxing jetted tub, and a separate shower stall. Outside has excellent curb appeal, an extra-wide covered carport, and two storage sheds in the backyard perfect for all your storage needs. The exterior is in great condition, making this home truly move-in ready. Affordable living, comfort, and convenience all in a welcoming 55+ community.
-
2026-04-24price $219,500 809-char remark
Show marketing remark (809 chars)
Welcome to this lovely manufactured home offering comfortable, affordable living without compromise. This well-maintained 2-bedroom, 2-bath home features a spacious, open-concept layout with a bright kitchen showcasing attractive appliances, seamlessly flowing into the dining and living areas. Vaulted ceilings and double-pane windows enhance the airy feel and natural light throughout. The primary bedroom includes a well-appointed bathroom with dual sinks, a relaxing jetted tub, and a separate shower stall. Outside has excellent curb appeal, an extra-wide covered carport, and two storage sheds in the backyard perfect for all your storage needs. The exterior is in great condition, making this home truly move-in ready. Affordable living, comfort, and convenience all in a welcoming 55+ community.
-
2026-03-30price $228,500 809-char remark
Show marketing remark (809 chars)
Welcome to this lovely manufactured home offering comfortable, affordable living without compromise. This well-maintained 2-bedroom, 2-bath home features a spacious, open-concept layout with a bright kitchen showcasing attractive appliances, seamlessly flowing into the dining and living areas. Vaulted ceilings and double-pane windows enhance the airy feel and natural light throughout. The primary bedroom includes a well-appointed bathroom with dual sinks, a relaxing jetted tub, and a separate shower stall. Outside has excellent curb appeal, an extra-wide covered carport, and two storage sheds in the backyard perfect for all your storage needs. The exterior is in great condition, making this home truly move-in ready. Affordable living, comfort, and convenience all in a welcoming 55+ community.
-
2026-02-27price $235,000 809-char remark
Show marketing remark (809 chars)
Welcome to this lovely manufactured home offering comfortable, affordable living without compromise. This well-maintained 2-bedroom, 2-bath home features a spacious, open-concept layout with a bright kitchen showcasing attractive appliances, seamlessly flowing into the dining and living areas. Vaulted ceilings and double-pane windows enhance the airy feel and natural light throughout. The primary bedroom includes a well-appointed bathroom with dual sinks, a relaxing jetted tub, and a separate shower stall. Outside has excellent curb appeal, an extra-wide covered carport, and two storage sheds in the backyard perfect for all your storage needs. The exterior is in great condition, making this home truly move-in ready. Affordable living, comfort, and convenience all in a welcoming 55+ community.
-
2026-02-02$245,000 Active 809-char remark
Show marketing remark (809 chars)
Welcome to this lovely manufactured home offering comfortable, affordable living without compromise. This well-maintained 2-bedroom, 2-bath home features a spacious, open-concept layout with a bright kitchen showcasing attractive appliances, seamlessly flowing into the dining and living areas. Vaulted ceilings and double-pane windows enhance the airy feel and natural light throughout. The primary bedroom includes a well-appointed bathroom with dual sinks, a relaxing jetted tub, and a separate shower stall. Outside has excellent curb appeal, an extra-wide covered carport, and two storage sheds in the backyard perfect for all your storage needs. The exterior is in great condition, making this home truly move-in ready. Affordable living, comfort, and convenience all in a welcoming 55+ community.
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2018-11-02status Pending 447-char remark
Show marketing remark (447 chars)
Absolutely neat as a pin and adorable home in this great over 55 park. You're going to love the open kitchen with island. Beautiful cabinets, gas range, built-in microwave & huge pantry. Vaulted ceilings & ceiling fans. The master is really nice with a big jetted tub and 2 vanities. The carport has plenty of space, and there is a nice shed for extra storage. Such a nice lifestyle in a great North Napa location. You're going to love it.
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2018-11-02soldstatus $179,000 Sold 447-char remark
Show marketing remark (447 chars)
Absolutely neat as a pin and adorable home in this great over 55 park. You're going to love the open kitchen with island. Beautiful cabinets, gas range, built-in microwave & huge pantry. Vaulted ceilings & ceiling fans. The master is really nice with a big jetted tub and 2 vanities. The carport has plenty of space, and there is a nice shed for extra storage. Such a nice lifestyle in a great North Napa location. You're going to love it.
-
2018-10-01historical Contingent 447-char remark
Show marketing remark (447 chars)
Absolutely neat as a pin and adorable home in this great over 55 park. You're going to love the open kitchen with island. Beautiful cabinets, gas range, built-in microwave & huge pantry. Vaulted ceilings & ceiling fans. The master is really nice with a big jetted tub and 2 vanities. The carport has plenty of space, and there is a nice shed for extra storage. Such a nice lifestyle in a great North Napa location. You're going to love it.
-
2018-09-21$179,900 Active 447-char remark
Show marketing remark (447 chars)
Absolutely neat as a pin and adorable home in this great over 55 park. You're going to love the open kitchen with island. Beautiful cabinets, gas range, built-in microwave & huge pantry. Vaulted ceilings & ceiling fans. The master is really nice with a big jetted tub and 2 vanities. The carport has plenty of space, and there is a nice shed for extra storage. Such a nice lifestyle in a great North Napa location. You're going to love it.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 9/10 Extreme 16 unhealthy d/yr today · 17 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $34,270
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,175
- − Property taxes
- −$2,992
- − Insurance
- −$998
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,742
- − Management
- −$2,742
- − Depreciation
- −$5,804
- Taxable income
- $7,818
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,876
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,653/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This well-maintained manufactured home offers a good condition with minimal repairs needed, making it a solid investment.
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint exterior — enhances curb appeal and value
- Both replace window screens — improves energy efficiency and aesthetics
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both paint exterior — enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both replace window screens — improves energy efficiency and aesthetics ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Napa Valley Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0626640
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $72,007
- Composite
- 40.18/100
- National rank
- #7827
- State rank
- #599 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Napa
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #227
- US rank
- #7435
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Napa, CA
- County
- Napa County · 120,669 people
- City population
- 91,371
- Metro
- Napa, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 63,657
- Household income
- $113,269
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2095.0
Population outlook (Napa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 153,987 people
- By 2030
- 159,490 · +3.6%
- By 2040
- 168,796 · +9.6%
- By 2050
- 176,213 · +14.4%
- By 2075
- 190,113 · +23.5%
- By 2100
- 190,528 · +23.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 54% Hispanic / Latino 37% Two or more races 15% Asian 3% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 31%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Lithuanian 2% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 21% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 68% English-only · Spanish 28% Other Indo-European 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Napa
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+34.9) · D 65.9% · R 31.1% · Other 3.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.4pp toward D · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 34.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+34.9 2020: D+40.4 2016: D+35.2 2012: D+25.7 2008: D+32.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -842.94%
- Current HPI
- 296.0661
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.50%
- Metro
- Napa, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+16.5% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $209,500 BAREIS
- 2026-04-24 Price Changed $219,500 BAREIS
- 2026-03-30 Price Changed $228,500 BAREIS
- 2026-02-27 Price Changed $235,000 BAREIS
- 2026-02-02 Listed $245,000 BAREIS
- 2018-11-02 Pending — BAREIS
- 2018-11-02 Sold (MLS) $179,000 BAREIS
- 2018-10-01 Contingent — BAREIS
- 2018-09-21 Listed $179,900 BAREIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…