445 E 16th Ave · Columbus, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.6/30.0
- 1% rule +9.1/10.0
- DSCR +7.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
THE REALTOR IS THE RECEIVER APPOINTED BY THE FRANKLIN COUNTY MUNICIPAL COURT, ENVIRONMENTAL DIVISION. Great opportunity to rehab this property and make it your own. The buyer must provide a rehabilitation plan, project timeline, and proof of funds with any offer. The property has code violations that the new Buyer will be required to abate. The Receiver requests for in-state buyers only. * * SEE AGENT TO AGENT REMARKS * *
Key facts
- 4,791 sq ft lot
- Built 1925
- Listed 75 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $208 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $103k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 3.8% in Columbus — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#97 in OH, #1,491 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
- Columbus City School District (urban): math 15% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #626 of 656 in OH (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.1%/yr); 136 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 8,139 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (5,940 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($44k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Franklin County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 75 days — a 6% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $36k; list at $110k implies a 206% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.3% of price; built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 75 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.41% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.09%
- DSCR
- 1.36
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $250,848
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2058 Indianola Ave | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 | 1,320 (+6%) | 2mo | $265,000 | $201 | 66 |
| 2242 Indiana Ave | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,188 (-5%) | 11mo | $125,000 | $105 | 51 |
| 1325 N 4th St | 0.71mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,303 (+4%) | 0mo | $265,000 | $203 | 50 |
| 939 E 17th Ave | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 | 1,232 (-1%) | 21mo | $90,000 | $73 | 47 |
| 1343 N 5th St | 0.67mi | 3/1.5 | 1,283 (+3%) | 18mo | $260,000 | $203 | 47 |
| 2176 Indiana Ave | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 | 1,192 (-4%) | 22mo | $150,000 | $126 | 46 |
| 1392 N 6th St | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,218 (-2%) | 22mo | $245,000 | $201 | 46 |
| 1337 N 5th St | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 1,284 (+3%) | 22mo | $285,000 | $222 | 45 |
| 1367 N 5th St | 0.63mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,200 (-4%) | 18mo | $199,000 | $166 | 42 |
| 1384 N 5th St | 0.61mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,200 (-4%) | 22mo | $199,000 | $166 | 40 |
| 2251 Indiana Ave | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,392 (+12%) | 7mo | $360,625 | $259 | 38 |
| 1365 N 4th St | 0.66mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,380 (+11%) | 18mo | $340,560 | $247 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.14% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.81×
- Total profit
- $-5,745
- Equity at exit
- $16,401
- IRR
- 3.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.24×
- Total profit
- $7,401
- Equity at exit
- $9,511
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43201
- Rents YoY
- 2.1%
- Active inventory
- 136
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,554 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$397 /mo · $4,768/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$326
- Net cashflow
- $208
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1803 N 4th St Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,250 | $0.96 | 43d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 353 E 13th Ave Unit 353-2B Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $930 | $1.33 | 23d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 353 E 13th Ave Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $900 | $1.29 | 43d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 353 E 13th Ave Unit 3531-G Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $930 | $1.33 | 43d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 270 E 14th Ave Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,195 | $1.49 | 43d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 296 E 17th Ave Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $925 | $1.03 | 43d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 310 E 18th Ave Apt C Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,150 | $1.35 | 3d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 1669 Summit St Unit 1669 Columbus, OH | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1300 | $1,800 | $1.38 | 43d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 370 E 11th Ave Columbus, OH | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 986 | $2,214 | $2.24 | 1d | 5 | 0.38mi |
| 167 E 14th Ave Apt E Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,600 | $1.60 | 43d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 482 E Norwich Ave Unit D Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 464 E Norwich Ave Unit D Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 17d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 1469 N Grant Ave Unit 1469 Grant Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 988 | $1,250 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 1467 N Grant Ave Unit 1467 Grant Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 988 | $1,250 | $1.27 | 23d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 1461 N Grant Ave #1463 Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 988 | $1,250 | $1.27 | 7d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 165 E 11th Ave Apt B2 Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,700 | $2.12 | 23d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 1522 Indianola Ave Unit C Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1270 | $1,950 | $1.54 | 23d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 100 E 11th Ave Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1440 | $2,500 | $1.74 | 43d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 72 Chittenden Ave Unit C Columbus, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $3,400 | $3.24 | 43d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 220 E Lane Ave Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 854 | $1,215 | $1.42 | 43d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 1427 Grogan Ave Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $1,475 | $1.92 | 43d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 64 Chittenden Ave Unit 66 Columbus, OH | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1500 | $3,200 | $2.13 | 43d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 50 E 11th Ave Columbus, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $3,500 | $3.50 | 43d | 4 | 0.62mi |
| 1400 Hamlet St Unit 101 Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,375 | $1.38 | 43d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 1400 Hamlet St Unit 102 Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,375 | $1.38 | 17d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 2169 Indianola Ave Unit 2169 C Columbus, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $3,400 | $2.83 | 43d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 41 E 9th Ave Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1189 | $2,450 | $2.06 | 43d | 2 | 0.67mi |
| 2137 Waldeck Ave Unit 2137 Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1352 | $2,400 | $1.78 | 7d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 924 E 18th Ave Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,200 | $1.26 | 43d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 898 E 13th Ave Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $1,230 | $1.10 | 10d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 898-900 E 13th Ave Unit 898 Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $1,230 | $1.10 | 7d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 1529 N High St Columbus, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 771 | $4,107 | $5.32 | 23d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 1629 Lexington Ave Unit A Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 983 | $900 | $0.92 | 43d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 472 E Maynard Ave Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,495 | $1.25 | 43d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 44 W 9th Ave Apt B Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 748 | $1,830 | $2.45 | 43d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 989 E 15th Ave Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1204 | $1,250 | $1.04 | 23d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1003 E 21st Ave Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.5 | 835 | $1,150 | $1.38 | 7d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 2350 Indiana Ave Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1195 | $2,600 | $2.18 | 43d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 54 W 8th Ave Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,600 | $1.33 | 43d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 303 E 6th Ave Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 900 | $3,180 | $3.53 | 2d | 173 | 0.84mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-03-24status Pending
-
2026-03-04price $110,000
-
2026-02-06price $130,000
-
2026-01-16price $140,000
-
2026-01-08$150,000 Active
-
1992-05-12soldstatus $36,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,768 · $397/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,768 · $397/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,649
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$4,768
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,492
- − Management
- −$1,492
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $986
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$237
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,256/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Columbus City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3904380
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,483
- Composite
- 17.19/100
- National rank
- #9105
- State rank
- #626 of 656 in OH
Livability — Columbus
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #97
- US rank
- #1491
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Columbus, OH
- County
- Franklin County · 1,351,780 people
- City population
- 612,189
- Metro
- Columbus, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,322
- Household income
- $43,731
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4913.0
Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,456,139 people
- By 2030
- 1,556,890 · +6.9%
- By 2040
- 1,757,349 · +20.7%
- By 2050
- 1,950,539 · +34.0%
- By 2075
- 2,376,171 · +63.2%
- By 2100
- 2,636,796 · +81.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Black 14% Two or more races 8% Asian 7% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Chinese 3% Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Franklin
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+28.4) · D 63.7% · R 35.3% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.7pp toward D · 2008: 20.7pp · 2024: 28.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+28.4 2020: D+31.4 2016: D+25.9 2012: D+21.7 2008: D+20.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -207.90%
- Current HPI
- 321.7282
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.14%
- Metro
- Columbus, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+205.6% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-24 Pending — CBRMLS
- 2026-03-04 Price Changed $110,000 CBRMLS
- 2026-02-06 Price Changed $130,000 CBRMLS
- 2026-01-16 Price Changed $140,000 CBRMLS
- 2026-01-08 Listed $150,000 CBRMLS
- 1992-05-12 Sold (Public Records) $36,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+11.1%/yrLatest (2024): $4,768 · +0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…