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3543 Lower Honoapiilani Rd Unit K403
D- Composite 38.36
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +1.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$47,500

3543 Lower Honoapiilani Rd Unit K403 · Napili-Honokowai, HI 96761
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,145 sqft · Condo public records · 366 Days on market
Built 1977 $41/sqft · 23% above area Est $38k · 23% over $1020/mo HOA · 24% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Papakea Time Interval K403 features two bedrooms plus a loft and two bathrooms and is located at the beautiful Papakea. This unit is located on the fourth floor in the "K" building. Enjoy all that Papakea has to offer from June 27, 2026 to July 4, 2026. PTIO K403 has a split a/c system that provides cooling of the entire condo. One of Maui's popular vacation spots, Papakea is well known for the many amenities that are available to owners and visitors that include two separate spacious pool areas with BBQs, two covered clubhouses that are available for entertaining your guests, two large jacuzzis, putting green, and on site security make this vacation destination a highly sought after place. Lush tropical landscaping and Koi fish ponds are trademarks of Papakea. Located just north of the famous Kaanapali Beach, Papakea is close to shopping, beaches, and restaurants. The lofts in timeshare Units B401, B404, F403 and K403, operated and managed by Kaanapali Keys Time Interest Owners’ Association (“TIOA”), may not be permitted or in compliance with current building codes; see "associated documents" for more information. Further investigation is pending by the TIOA and/or AOAO. The interior plumbing project began in June 2024 and the work is scheduled for K403 from January 12, 2026 to February 21, 2026. Buyer to do own diligence and to request further information from the AOAO. The buyer(s) are aware that this condominium complex is in A1 or A2 zoning which may be affected by Maui County's future ordinance to discontinue the allowance of short term rentals. Buyer(s) should do their own due diligence on the future use of this property; Buyer(s) understand that there is no guarantee of future rental income. A short term rental is defined as a domicile rented out for less than 180 days.

Key facts

  • On site security
  • Putting green
  • Two large jacuzzis

Tags

TWO SPACIOUS POOL AREASTWO COVERED CLUBHOUSESTWO LARGE JACUZZISPUTTING GREENON SITE SECURITYLUSH TROPICAL LANDSCAPING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $48k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $48k).
  • Recommended offer: $42k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Hawaii Department Of Education (suburban): math 32% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #1 of 1 in HI (top 100%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: King Kamehameha Iii Elementary School (math 41% / reading 51%, grade D-, #68 of 183 statewide, top 37%, 607 students, 40% FRL); Lahaina Intermediate School (math 19% / reading 42%, grade F, #27 of 42 statewide, top 63%, 647 students, 51% FRL); Lahainaluna High School (math 12% / reading 57%, grade F, #30 of 43 statewide, top 76%, 1,037 students, 46% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+4.0%/yr); 640 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 906 units permitted in Maui County in 2024 (289 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $4,266/mo this rent would consume 51% of the median local household income ($101k/yr) (locally 835% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $328 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Maui County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 366 days — a 12% lower offer ($42k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 11 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask is 459% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $8k; list at $48k implies a 533% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $669/mo; HOA is 24% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone VE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $41,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 366 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
8.98%
Cap rate
57.37%
Cash-on-cash
182.43%
DSCR
9.12
GRM
0.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$38,500
List price
$47,500
Delta
23.38%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.97% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
7.30×
Total profit
$83,780
Equity at exit
$7,082
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
16.49×
Total profit
$205,985
Equity at exit
$4,107

Cash invested: $13,300 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
37 Tenant-Leaning
State Hawaii
37 Tenant-Leaning · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Honolulu has source-of-income protections; warranty of habitability strong.

ZIP-level market 96761

Home prices YoY
-1.9%
Rents YoY
4.0%
Active inventory
640
Price-to-rent
0.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,266 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$249
Tax est. 1.5%
$59 /mo · $712/yr
Insurance
$20
Flood insurance flood zone
−$669 /mo · $8,028/yr
HOA
$1,020
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$896
Net cashflow
$1,353

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,553
Max offer price $47,500
Occupancy floor 63%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,386 -5% $1,369 +0% $1,353 +5% $1,337 +10% $1,320
Rent -10% $1,016 -5% $1,184 +0% $1,353 +5% $1,521 +10% $1,690
Rate -1.0pp $1,377 -0.5pp $1,365 base $1,353 +0.5pp $1,341 +1.0pp $1,328

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$11,875
Closing costs
$1,425
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3626 Lower Honoapiilani Rd Lahaina, HI 2.0 1.0 620 $3,500 $5.65 3d 16 0.30mi
3788 Lower Honoapiilani Rd Unit C102 Lahaina, HI 2.0 2.0 1122 $3,750 $3.34 45d 1 0.58mi
2348 Aina Mahiai Pl Lahaina, HI 2.0 2.0 1015 $7,500 $7.39 45d 1 1.23mi
50 Puu Anoano St #1701 Lahaina, HI 2.0 2.0 1500 $5,500 $3.67 5d 1 1.39mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$1,020 · $12,240/yr
Likely covers
landscapingpoolsecurity
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 44 events

  1. 2026-06-10
    days on market $47,500 Active 366 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $47,500 Active 365 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $47,500 Active 364 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $47,500 Active 363 DOM
  5. 2026-06-05
    days on market $47,500 Active 360 DOM
  6. 2026-06-03
    days on market $47,500 Active 359 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $47,500 Active 358 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $47,500 Active 357 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $47,500 Active 356 DOM
  10. 2026-05-20
    historical
  11. 2026-03-17
    soldstatus $7,500 Sold 1846-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1846 chars)

    Papakea Time Interval K403 features two bedrooms plus a loft and two bathrooms and is located at the beautiful Papakea. This unit is located on the fourth floor in the "K" building. Enjoy all that Papakea has to offer from June 27, 2026 to July 4, 2026. PTIO K403 has a split a/c system that provides cooling of the entire condo. One of Maui's popular vacation spots, Papakea is well known for the many amenities that are available to owners and visitors that include two separate spacious pool areas with BBQs, two covered clubhouses that are available for entertaining your guests, two large jacuzzis, putting green, and on site security make this vacation destination a highly sought after place. Lush tropical landscaping and Koi fish ponds are trademarks of Papakea. Located just north of the famous Kaanapali Beach, Papakea is close to shopping, beaches, and restaurants. The lofts in timeshare Units B401, B404, F403 and K403, operated and managed by Kaanapali Keys Time Interest Owners’ Association (“TIOA”), may not be permitted or in compliance with current building codes; see "associated documents" for more information. Further investigation is pending by the TIOA and/or AOAO. The interior plumbing project began in June 2024 and the work is scheduled for K403 from January 12, 2026 to February 21, 2026. Buyer to do own diligence and to request further information from the AOAO. The buyer(s) are aware that this condominium complex is in A1 or A2 zoning which may be affected by Maui County's future ordinance to discontinue the allowance of short term rentals. Buyer(s) should do their own due diligence on the future use of this property; Buyer(s) understand that there is no guarantee of future rental income. A short term rental is defined as a domicile rented out for less than 180 days.

  12. 2026-01-23
    historical Pending - Continue to Show 1846-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1846 chars)

    Papakea Time Interval K403 features two bedrooms plus a loft and two bathrooms and is located at the beautiful Papakea. This unit is located on the fourth floor in the "K" building. Enjoy all that Papakea has to offer from June 27, 2026 to July 4, 2026. PTIO K403 has a split a/c system that provides cooling of the entire condo. One of Maui's popular vacation spots, Papakea is well known for the many amenities that are available to owners and visitors that include two separate spacious pool areas with BBQs, two covered clubhouses that are available for entertaining your guests, two large jacuzzis, putting green, and on site security make this vacation destination a highly sought after place. Lush tropical landscaping and Koi fish ponds are trademarks of Papakea. Located just north of the famous Kaanapali Beach, Papakea is close to shopping, beaches, and restaurants. The lofts in timeshare Units B401, B404, F403 and K403, operated and managed by Kaanapali Keys Time Interest Owners’ Association (“TIOA”), may not be permitted or in compliance with current building codes; see "associated documents" for more information. Further investigation is pending by the TIOA and/or AOAO. The interior plumbing project began in June 2024 and the work is scheduled for K403 from January 12, 2026 to February 21, 2026. Buyer to do own diligence and to request further information from the AOAO. The buyer(s) are aware that this condominium complex is in A1 or A2 zoning which may be affected by Maui County's future ordinance to discontinue the allowance of short term rentals. Buyer(s) should do their own due diligence on the future use of this property; Buyer(s) understand that there is no guarantee of future rental income. A short term rental is defined as a domicile rented out for less than 180 days.

  13. 2025-10-14
    soldstatus $8,000 Sold
  14. 2025-09-15
    historical Pending - Continue to Show
  15. 2025-09-01
    listed $8,500 Active
  16. 2025-08-27
    price $10,000
  17. 2025-08-27
    price $47,500
  18. 2025-08-13
    listed $8,000 Active 1846-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1846 chars)

    Papakea Time Interval K403 features two bedrooms plus a loft and two bathrooms and is located at the beautiful Papakea. This unit is located on the fourth floor in the "K" building. Enjoy all that Papakea has to offer from June 27, 2026 to July 4, 2026. PTIO K403 has a split a/c system that provides cooling of the entire condo. One of Maui's popular vacation spots, Papakea is well known for the many amenities that are available to owners and visitors that include two separate spacious pool areas with BBQs, two covered clubhouses that are available for entertaining your guests, two large jacuzzis, putting green, and on site security make this vacation destination a highly sought after place. Lush tropical landscaping and Koi fish ponds are trademarks of Papakea. Located just north of the famous Kaanapali Beach, Papakea is close to shopping, beaches, and restaurants. The lofts in timeshare Units B401, B404, F403 and K403, operated and managed by Kaanapali Keys Time Interest Owners’ Association (“TIOA”), may not be permitted or in compliance with current building codes; see "associated documents" for more information. Further investigation is pending by the TIOA and/or AOAO. The interior plumbing project began in June 2024 and the work is scheduled for K403 from January 12, 2026 to February 21, 2026. Buyer to do own diligence and to request further information from the AOAO. The buyer(s) are aware that this condominium complex is in A1 or A2 zoning which may be affected by Maui County's future ordinance to discontinue the allowance of short term rentals. Buyer(s) should do their own due diligence on the future use of this property; Buyer(s) understand that there is no guarantee of future rental income. A short term rental is defined as a domicile rented out for less than 180 days.

  19. 2025-06-09
    listed $12,500 Active
  20. 2025-06-09
    listed $50,000 Active
  21. 2025-06-02
    listed $30,000 Active
  22. 2022-06-28
    soldstatus $11,000 Sold
  23. 2022-04-19
    historical Pending - Continue to Show
  24. 2022-04-18
    listed $11,000 Active
  25. 2019-10-31
    soldstatus $14,000 Sold
  26. 2019-10-06
    historical Pending - Continue to Show
  27. 2019-08-05
    listed $14,000 Active
  28. 2016-02-18
    soldstatus $11,000
  29. 2016-02-18
    listed $11,000
  30. 2012-04-02
    soldstatus $168,066
  31. 2011-09-14
    soldstatus $495,500
  32. 2009-03-25
    soldstatus $17,500
  33. 2009-03-25
    soldstatus $17,500
  34. 2009-01-15
    listed $15,000
  35. 2009-01-15
    listed $15,000
  36. 2007-07-31
    soldstatus $16,000
  37. 2007-05-22
    historical
  38. 2006-08-10
    listed $23,000
  39. 2002-04-09
    soldstatus $14,000
  40. 1996-02-01
    soldstatus $10,500
  41. 1996-02-01
    soldstatus $7,500
  42. 1988-11-17
    soldstatus $3,950,000
  43. 1982-08-01
    soldstatus $136,000
  44. 1980-05-01
    soldstatus $240,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone VE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$51,193
− Mortgage interest
−$2,661
− Property taxes
−$712
− Insurance
−$8,266
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,095
− Management
−$4,095
− HOA
−$12,240
− Depreciation
−$1,382
Taxable income
$17,742
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$4,258
After-tax cash flow
$11,978/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hawaii Department Of Education
NCES district ID
1500030
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$69,005
Composite
37.07/100
National rank
#4504
State rank
#1 of 1 in HI

Livability — Napili-Honokowai

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Napili-Honokowai, HI
County
Maui County · 114,195 people
Metro
Kahului-Wailuku-Lahaina, HI
Population (ZIP)
20,952
Household income
$101,123
Rent vs Own
39.2% rent · 60.8% own
Severe rent burden
835.0

Population outlook (Maui County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
185,013 people
By 2030
194,315 · +5.0%
By 2040
210,917 · +14.0%
By 2050
226,396 · +22.4%
By 2075
270,475 · +46.2%
By 2100
316,825 · +71.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.78)
Race & ethnicity
White 35% Asian 29% Two or more races 25% Hispanic / Latino 13% Pacific Islander 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Russian 3% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
25% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
74% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 12% Tagalog/Filipino 6% Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Maui

2024 margin
Strong D (+25.9) · D 61.9% · R 36.0% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
-29.3pp toward R · 2008: 55.2pp · 2024: 25.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+25.9 2020: D+35.5 2016: D+38.6 2012: D+50.3 2008: D+55.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -7.68%
Current HPI
389.2894
Rent YoY
▲ 3.97%
Metro
Kahului-Wailuku-Lahaina, HI
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-96.9% since first listed
35 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Listing Removed RAM MLS
  • 2026-03-17 Sold (MLS) $7,500 RAM MLS
  • 2026-01-23 Contingent RAM MLS
  • 2025-10-14 Sold (MLS) $8,000 RAM MLS
  • 2025-09-15 Contingent RAM MLS
  • 2025-09-01 Listed $8,500 RAM MLS
  • 2025-08-27 Price Changed $10,000 RAM MLS
  • 2025-08-27 Price Changed $47,500 RAM MLS
  • 2025-08-13 Listed $8,000 RAM MLS
  • 2025-06-09 Listed $50,000 RAM MLS
  • 2025-06-09 Listed $12,500 RAM MLS
  • 2025-06-02 Listed $30,000 RAM MLS
  • 2022-06-28 Sold (MLS) $11,000 RAM MLS
  • 2022-04-19 Contingent RAM MLS
  • 2022-04-18 Listed $11,000 RAM MLS
  • 2019-10-31 Sold (MLS) $14,000 RAM MLS
  • 2019-10-06 Contingent RAM MLS
  • 2019-08-05 Listed $14,000 RAM MLS
  • 2016-02-18 Listed $11,000 RAM MLS
  • 2016-02-18 Sold (MLS) $11,000 RAM MLS
  • 2012-04-02 Sold (Public Records) $168,066 Public Records
  • 2011-09-14 Sold (Public Records) $495,500 Public Records
  • 2009-03-25 Sold (MLS) $17,500 RAM MLS
  • 2009-03-25 Sold (MLS) $17,500 RAM MLS
  • 2009-01-15 Listed $15,000 RAM MLS
  • 2009-01-15 Listed $15,000 RAM MLS
  • 2007-07-31 Sold (Public Records) $16,000 Public Records
  • 2007-05-22 Listing Removed RAM MLS
  • 2006-08-10 Listed $23,000 RAM MLS
  • 2002-04-09 Sold (Public Records) $14,000 Public Records
  • 1996-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $7,500 Public Records
  • 1996-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $10,500 Public Records
  • 1988-11-17 Sold (Public Records) $3,950,000 Public Records
  • 1982-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $136,000 Public Records
  • 1980-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $240,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+7.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $19,713 · -8.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…