3543 Lower Honoapiilani Rd Unit K403 · Napili-Honokowai, HI
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- VE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $5,013 – $11,043
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +1.2/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$47,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Papakea Time Interval K403 features two bedrooms plus a loft and two bathrooms and is located at the beautiful Papakea. This unit is located on the fourth floor in the "K" building. Enjoy all that Papakea has to offer from June 27, 2026 to July 4, 2026. PTIO K403 has a split a/c system that provides cooling of the entire condo. One of Maui's popular vacation spots, Papakea is well known for the many amenities that are available to owners and visitors that include two separate spacious pool areas with BBQs, two covered clubhouses that are available for entertaining your guests, two large jacuzzis, putting green, and on site security make this vacation destination a highly sought after place. Lush tropical landscaping and Koi fish ponds are trademarks of Papakea. Located just north of the famous Kaanapali Beach, Papakea is close to shopping, beaches, and restaurants. The lofts in timeshare Units B401, B404, F403 and K403, operated and managed by Kaanapali Keys Time Interest Owners’ Association (“TIOA”), may not be permitted or in compliance with current building codes; see "associated documents" for more information. Further investigation is pending by the TIOA and/or AOAO. The interior plumbing project began in June 2024 and the work is scheduled for K403 from January 12, 2026 to February 21, 2026. Buyer to do own diligence and to request further information from the AOAO. The buyer(s) are aware that this condominium complex is in A1 or A2 zoning which may be affected by Maui County's future ordinance to discontinue the allowance of short term rentals. Buyer(s) should do their own due diligence on the future use of this property; Buyer(s) understand that there is no guarantee of future rental income. A short term rental is defined as a domicile rented out for less than 180 days.
Key facts
- On site security
- Putting green
- Two large jacuzzis
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $48k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $48k).
- Recommended offer: $42k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Hawaii Department Of Education (suburban): math 32% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #1 of 1 in HI (top 100%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: King Kamehameha Iii Elementary School (math 41% / reading 51%, grade D-, #68 of 183 statewide, top 37%, 607 students, 40% FRL); Lahaina Intermediate School (math 19% / reading 42%, grade F, #27 of 42 statewide, top 63%, 647 students, 51% FRL); Lahainaluna High School (math 12% / reading 57%, grade F, #30 of 43 statewide, top 76%, 1,037 students, 46% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+4.0%/yr); 640 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 906 units permitted in Maui County in 2024 (289 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,266/mo this rent would consume 51% of the median local household income ($101k/yr) (locally 835% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $328 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Maui County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 366 days — a 12% lower offer ($42k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 11 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask is 459% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $8k; list at $48k implies a 533% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $669/mo; HOA is 24% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone VE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 366 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 8.98% ✓
- Cap rate
- 57.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- 182.43%
- DSCR
- 9.12
- GRM
- 0.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $38,500
- List price
- $47,500
- Delta
- 23.38%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.97% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 7.30×
- Total profit
- $83,780
- Equity at exit
- $7,082
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 16.49×
- Total profit
- $205,985
- Equity at exit
- $4,107
Cash invested: $13,300 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 37 Tenant-Leaning
- State Hawaii
- 37 Tenant-Leaning · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 96761
- Home prices YoY
- -1.9%
- Rents YoY
- 4.0%
- Active inventory
- 640
- Price-to-rent
- 0.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,266 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$249
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$59 /mo · $712/yr
- Insurance
- −$20
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$669 /mo · $8,028/yr
- HOA
- −$1,020
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$896
- Net cashflow
- $1,353
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,386 | -5% $1,369 | +0% $1,353 | +5% $1,337 | +10% $1,320 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,016 | -5% $1,184 | +0% $1,353 | +5% $1,521 | +10% $1,690 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,377 | -0.5pp $1,365 | base $1,353 | +0.5pp $1,341 | +1.0pp $1,328 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,875
- Closing costs
- $1,425
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3626 Lower Honoapiilani Rd Lahaina, HI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 620 | $3,500 | $5.65 | 3d | 16 | 0.30mi |
| 3788 Lower Honoapiilani Rd Unit C102 Lahaina, HI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1122 | $3,750 | $3.34 | 45d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 2348 Aina Mahiai Pl Lahaina, HI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1015 | $7,500 | $7.39 | 45d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 50 Puu Anoano St #1701 Lahaina, HI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $5,500 | $3.67 | 5d | 1 | 1.39mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $1,020 · $12,240/yr
- Likely covers
- landscapingpoolsecurity
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 44 events
-
2026-06-10days on market $47,500 Active 366 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $47,500 Active 365 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $47,500 Active 364 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $47,500 Active 363 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $47,500 Active 360 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $47,500 Active 359 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $47,500 Active 358 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $47,500 Active 357 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $47,500 Active 356 DOM
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2026-05-20historical
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2026-03-17soldstatus $7,500 Sold 1846-char remark
Show marketing remark (1846 chars)
Papakea Time Interval K403 features two bedrooms plus a loft and two bathrooms and is located at the beautiful Papakea. This unit is located on the fourth floor in the "K" building. Enjoy all that Papakea has to offer from June 27, 2026 to July 4, 2026. PTIO K403 has a split a/c system that provides cooling of the entire condo. One of Maui's popular vacation spots, Papakea is well known for the many amenities that are available to owners and visitors that include two separate spacious pool areas with BBQs, two covered clubhouses that are available for entertaining your guests, two large jacuzzis, putting green, and on site security make this vacation destination a highly sought after place. Lush tropical landscaping and Koi fish ponds are trademarks of Papakea. Located just north of the famous Kaanapali Beach, Papakea is close to shopping, beaches, and restaurants. The lofts in timeshare Units B401, B404, F403 and K403, operated and managed by Kaanapali Keys Time Interest Owners’ Association (“TIOA”), may not be permitted or in compliance with current building codes; see "associated documents" for more information. Further investigation is pending by the TIOA and/or AOAO. The interior plumbing project began in June 2024 and the work is scheduled for K403 from January 12, 2026 to February 21, 2026. Buyer to do own diligence and to request further information from the AOAO. The buyer(s) are aware that this condominium complex is in A1 or A2 zoning which may be affected by Maui County's future ordinance to discontinue the allowance of short term rentals. Buyer(s) should do their own due diligence on the future use of this property; Buyer(s) understand that there is no guarantee of future rental income. A short term rental is defined as a domicile rented out for less than 180 days.
-
2026-01-23historical Pending - Continue to Show 1846-char remark
Show marketing remark (1846 chars)
Papakea Time Interval K403 features two bedrooms plus a loft and two bathrooms and is located at the beautiful Papakea. This unit is located on the fourth floor in the "K" building. Enjoy all that Papakea has to offer from June 27, 2026 to July 4, 2026. PTIO K403 has a split a/c system that provides cooling of the entire condo. One of Maui's popular vacation spots, Papakea is well known for the many amenities that are available to owners and visitors that include two separate spacious pool areas with BBQs, two covered clubhouses that are available for entertaining your guests, two large jacuzzis, putting green, and on site security make this vacation destination a highly sought after place. Lush tropical landscaping and Koi fish ponds are trademarks of Papakea. Located just north of the famous Kaanapali Beach, Papakea is close to shopping, beaches, and restaurants. The lofts in timeshare Units B401, B404, F403 and K403, operated and managed by Kaanapali Keys Time Interest Owners’ Association (“TIOA”), may not be permitted or in compliance with current building codes; see "associated documents" for more information. Further investigation is pending by the TIOA and/or AOAO. The interior plumbing project began in June 2024 and the work is scheduled for K403 from January 12, 2026 to February 21, 2026. Buyer to do own diligence and to request further information from the AOAO. The buyer(s) are aware that this condominium complex is in A1 or A2 zoning which may be affected by Maui County's future ordinance to discontinue the allowance of short term rentals. Buyer(s) should do their own due diligence on the future use of this property; Buyer(s) understand that there is no guarantee of future rental income. A short term rental is defined as a domicile rented out for less than 180 days.
-
2025-10-14soldstatus $8,000 Sold
-
2025-09-15historical Pending - Continue to Show
-
2025-09-01$8,500 Active
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2025-08-27price $10,000
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2025-08-27price $47,500
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2025-08-13$8,000 Active 1846-char remark
Show marketing remark (1846 chars)
Papakea Time Interval K403 features two bedrooms plus a loft and two bathrooms and is located at the beautiful Papakea. This unit is located on the fourth floor in the "K" building. Enjoy all that Papakea has to offer from June 27, 2026 to July 4, 2026. PTIO K403 has a split a/c system that provides cooling of the entire condo. One of Maui's popular vacation spots, Papakea is well known for the many amenities that are available to owners and visitors that include two separate spacious pool areas with BBQs, two covered clubhouses that are available for entertaining your guests, two large jacuzzis, putting green, and on site security make this vacation destination a highly sought after place. Lush tropical landscaping and Koi fish ponds are trademarks of Papakea. Located just north of the famous Kaanapali Beach, Papakea is close to shopping, beaches, and restaurants. The lofts in timeshare Units B401, B404, F403 and K403, operated and managed by Kaanapali Keys Time Interest Owners’ Association (“TIOA”), may not be permitted or in compliance with current building codes; see "associated documents" for more information. Further investigation is pending by the TIOA and/or AOAO. The interior plumbing project began in June 2024 and the work is scheduled for K403 from January 12, 2026 to February 21, 2026. Buyer to do own diligence and to request further information from the AOAO. The buyer(s) are aware that this condominium complex is in A1 or A2 zoning which may be affected by Maui County's future ordinance to discontinue the allowance of short term rentals. Buyer(s) should do their own due diligence on the future use of this property; Buyer(s) understand that there is no guarantee of future rental income. A short term rental is defined as a domicile rented out for less than 180 days.
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2025-06-09$12,500 Active
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2025-06-09$50,000 Active
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2025-06-02$30,000 Active
-
2022-06-28soldstatus $11,000 Sold
-
2022-04-19historical Pending - Continue to Show
-
2022-04-18$11,000 Active
-
2019-10-31soldstatus $14,000 Sold
-
2019-10-06historical Pending - Continue to Show
-
2019-08-05$14,000 Active
-
2016-02-18soldstatus $11,000
-
2016-02-18$11,000
-
2012-04-02soldstatus $168,066
-
2011-09-14soldstatus $495,500
-
2009-03-25soldstatus $17,500
-
2009-03-25soldstatus $17,500
-
2009-01-15$15,000
-
2009-01-15$15,000
-
2007-07-31soldstatus $16,000
-
2007-05-22historical
-
2006-08-10$23,000
-
2002-04-09soldstatus $14,000
-
1996-02-01soldstatus $10,500
-
1996-02-01soldstatus $7,500
-
1988-11-17soldstatus $3,950,000
-
1982-08-01soldstatus $136,000
-
1980-05-01soldstatus $240,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone VE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $51,193
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,661
- − Property taxes
- −$712
- − Insurance
- −$8,266
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,095
- − Management
- −$4,095
- − HOA
- −$12,240
- − Depreciation
- −$1,382
- Taxable income
- $17,742
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,258
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,978/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hawaii Department Of Education
- NCES district ID
- 1500030
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $69,005
- Composite
- 37.07/100
- National rank
- #4504
- State rank
- #1 of 1 in HI
Livability — Napili-Honokowai
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Napili-Honokowai, HI
- County
- Maui County · 114,195 people
- Metro
- Kahului-Wailuku-Lahaina, HI
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,952
- Household income
- $101,123
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 835.0
Population outlook (Maui County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 185,013 people
- By 2030
- 194,315 · +5.0%
- By 2040
- 210,917 · +14.0%
- By 2050
- 226,396 · +22.4%
- By 2075
- 270,475 · +46.2%
- By 2100
- 316,825 · +71.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.78)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 35% Asian 29% Two or more races 25% Hispanic / Latino 13% Pacific Islander 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Russian 3% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 25% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 74% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 12% Tagalog/Filipino 6% Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Maui
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+25.9) · D 61.9% · R 36.0% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.3pp toward R · 2008: 55.2pp · 2024: 25.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+25.9 2020: D+35.5 2016: D+38.6 2012: D+50.3 2008: D+55.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -7.68%
- Current HPI
- 389.2894
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.97%
- Metro
- Kahului-Wailuku-Lahaina, HI
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-96.9% since first listed35 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Listing Removed — RAM MLS
- 2026-03-17 Sold (MLS) $7,500 RAM MLS
- 2026-01-23 Contingent — RAM MLS
- 2025-10-14 Sold (MLS) $8,000 RAM MLS
- 2025-09-15 Contingent — RAM MLS
- 2025-09-01 Listed $8,500 RAM MLS
- 2025-08-27 Price Changed $10,000 RAM MLS
- 2025-08-27 Price Changed $47,500 RAM MLS
- 2025-08-13 Listed $8,000 RAM MLS
- 2025-06-09 Listed $50,000 RAM MLS
- 2025-06-09 Listed $12,500 RAM MLS
- 2025-06-02 Listed $30,000 RAM MLS
- 2022-06-28 Sold (MLS) $11,000 RAM MLS
- 2022-04-19 Contingent — RAM MLS
- 2022-04-18 Listed $11,000 RAM MLS
- 2019-10-31 Sold (MLS) $14,000 RAM MLS
- 2019-10-06 Contingent — RAM MLS
- 2019-08-05 Listed $14,000 RAM MLS
- 2016-02-18 Listed $11,000 RAM MLS
- 2016-02-18 Sold (MLS) $11,000 RAM MLS
- 2012-04-02 Sold (Public Records) $168,066 Public Records
- 2011-09-14 Sold (Public Records) $495,500 Public Records
- 2009-03-25 Sold (MLS) $17,500 RAM MLS
- 2009-03-25 Sold (MLS) $17,500 RAM MLS
- 2009-01-15 Listed $15,000 RAM MLS
- 2009-01-15 Listed $15,000 RAM MLS
- 2007-07-31 Sold (Public Records) $16,000 Public Records
- 2007-05-22 Listing Removed — RAM MLS
- 2006-08-10 Listed $23,000 RAM MLS
- 2002-04-09 Sold (Public Records) $14,000 Public Records
- 1996-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $7,500 Public Records
- 1996-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $10,500 Public Records
- 1988-11-17 Sold (Public Records) $3,950,000 Public Records
- 1982-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $136,000 Public Records
- 1980-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $240,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.5%/yrLatest (2025): $19,713 · -8.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…