110 SE 70th Cir · Silver Springs, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +9.3/30.0
- Appreciation +8.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- DSCR +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.3/10.0
$299,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 4/2 home is ready for you! Formal living, dining room open to the kitchen. This home also features a family room to spread out! Split plan, Large master with beautiful master bath offering a garden tub and stand alone shower and large laundry room.
Key facts
- Huge walk-in closet
- Soaking tub
- Fenced lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Homestead exemption indicated
- HOA & community: Has HOA (Association name: Nathan Purdy); HOA dues approximately $200 annually ($16.67/month); Association fee required; Pets allowed
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected
- Home design: Modular home; Single-story; Faces north; Slab foundation
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Built as a modular home
- Exterior features: Other exterior features
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Split bedroom floor plan; Walk-in closets
- Laundry & utility: Inside laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $300k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-219 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $261k (12.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $218k (27.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $218k (27.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Marion (rural): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #61 of 73 in FL (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Ward-Highlands Elementary School (math 60% / reading 55%, grade C+, #764 of 2,144 statewide, top 36%, 959 students, 59% FRL); Fort King Middle School (math 37% / reading 35%, grade F, #410 of 571 statewide, top 72%, 1,092 students, 71% FRL); Vanguard High School (math 22% / reading 48%, grade F, #379 of 667 statewide, top 58%, 1,661 students, 59% FRL) — zoned schools at 63% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 683 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 7,071 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (534 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $20k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (5.9% local appreciation)).
- Marion County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 90 days — a 6% lower offer ($282k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $168k; list at $300k implies a 79% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 90 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.73% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.13%
- DSCR
- 0.86
- GRM
- 11.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $57,000
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7015 NE 3rd St | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,978 (-13%) | 8mo | $50,000 | $25 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.93% appreciation · 0.17% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.78×
- Total profit
- $65,340
- Equity at exit
- $187,253
- IRR
- 11.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.29×
- Total profit
- $192,445
- Equity at exit
- $338,477
Cash invested: $83,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34472
- Home prices YoY
- 2.4%
- Rents YoY
- 0.2%
- Active inventory
- 683
- Price-to-rent
- 11.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,179 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,573
- Tax from tax record
- −$227 /mo · $2,722/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- HOA
- −$16
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$458
- Net cashflow
- $-219
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-50 | -5% $-134 | +0% $-219 | +5% $-304 | +10% $-389 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-391 | -5% $-305 | +0% $-219 | +5% $-133 | +10% $-47 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-68 | -0.5pp $-143 | base $-219 | +0.5pp $-297 | +1.0pp $-376 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $74,975
- Closing costs
- $8,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100 SE 68th Ct Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1612 | $1,850 | $1.15 | 23d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 6001 SE 4th Pl Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1865 | $2,295 | $1.23 | 15d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 436 NE 61st Ter Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2170 | $2,600 | $1.20 | 23d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 113 Teak Rd Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2086 | $2,150 | $1.03 | 15d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 5725 SE 3rd Pl Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1608 | $1,550 | $0.96 | 23d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 5610 NE 7th St Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1900 | $1,800 | $0.95 | 15d | 1 | 1.42mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $16 · $192/yr
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-05-01status Pending
-
2026-02-20price $299,900
-
2026-01-31$304,000 Active
-
2020-03-23soldstatus $167,500 255-char remark
Show marketing remark (255 chars)
This 4/2 home is ready for you! Formal living, dining room open to the kitchen. This home also features a family room to spread out! Split plan, Large master with beautiful master bath offering a garden tub and stand alone shower and large laundry room.
-
2020-02-24$174,500 255-char remark
Show marketing remark (255 chars)
This 4/2 home is ready for you! Formal living, dining room open to the kitchen. This home also features a family room to spread out! Split plan, Large master with beautiful master bath offering a garden tub and stand alone shower and large laundry room.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,722 · $227/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,722 · $227/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,145
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,799
- − Property taxes
- −$2,722
- − Insurance
- −$1,500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,092
- − Management
- −$2,092
- − HOA
- −$192
- − Depreciation
- −$8,724
- Taxable loss
- −$7,975
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,914
- After-tax cash flow
- $-717/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marion
- NCES district ID
- 1201260
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,015
- Composite
- 35.61/100
- National rank
- #4890
- State rank
- #61 of 73 in FL
Livability — Silver Springs
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Marion County · 315,796 people
- City population
- 34,665
- Metro
- Ocala, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,851
- Household income
- $64,208
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 655.0
Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 365,905 people
- By 2030
- 376,768 · +3.0%
- By 2040
- 396,555 · +8.4%
- By 2050
- 412,723 · +12.8%
- By 2075
- 446,090 · +21.9%
- By 2100
- 436,193 · +19.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Hispanic / Latino 25% Black 21% Two or more races 18% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 14% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 78% English-only · Spanish 19% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Marion
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.8% · R 65.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.6pp · 2024: -31.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.6 2020: R+25.9 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+16.2 2008: R+11.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.93%
- Current HPI
- 255.0714
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.17%
- Metro
- Ocala, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+71.9% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-20 Price Changed $299,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-31 Listed $304,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-03-23 Sold (MLS) $167,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-02-24 Listed $174,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+30.3%/yrLatest (2025): $2,722 · +10.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…