207 E St · Grand Coulee, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 17 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.8/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.3/10.0
- DSCR +5.6/10.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$130,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
MLS# 289671 added for comp purposes
Key facts
- 0.25 acre lot
- Built 1994
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $107 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $121k (6.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $121k (6.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#381 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Grand Coulee Dam School District (rural): math 26% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #262 of 291 in WA (top 90%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Lake Roosevelt Elementary (377 students, 84% FRL); Lake Roosevelt Jr/Sr High School (364 students, 79% FRL) — zoned schools average 82% FRL vs 56% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 35 active listings in the ZIP; 559 units permitted in Grant County in 2024 (35 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($899 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (2.6% local appreciation)).
- Grant County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (2.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.51%
- DSCR
- 1.16
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.56% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.53×
- Total profit
- $19,408
- Equity at exit
- $55,226
- IRR
- 12.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.74×
- Total profit
- $63,422
- Equity at exit
- $82,681
Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 99133
- Home prices YoY
- 1.2%
- Active inventory
- 35
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,215 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$682
- Tax from tax record
- −$117 /mo · $1,407/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$255
- Net cashflow
- $107
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $180 | -5% $143 | +0% $107 | +5% $70 | +10% $33 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $11 | -5% $59 | +0% $107 | +5% $155 | +10% $203 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $172 | -0.5pp $140 | base $107 | +0.5pp $73 | +1.0pp $39 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,500
- Closing costs
- $3,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-01-23historical
-
2026-01-06$130,000
-
2011-03-07soldstatus $120,000
-
2010-09-28soldstatus $120,000
-
2002-10-21soldstatus $26,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,407 · $117/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,407 · $117/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 17 unhealthy d/yr today · 19 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,579
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,282
- − Property taxes
- −$1,407
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,166
- − Management
- −$1,166
- − Depreciation
- −$3,782
- Taxable loss
- −$875
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$210
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,489/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Grand Coulee Dam School District
- NCES district ID
- 5303130
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,635
- Composite
- 30.27/100
- National rank
- #11563
- State rank
- #262 of 291 in WA
Livability — Grand Coulee
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #381
- US rank
- #15025
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Grand Coulee, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,341
Population outlook (Grant County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 99,356 people
- By 2030
- 102,107 · +2.8%
- By 2040
- 108,318 · +9.0%
- By 2050
- 114,712 · +15.5%
- By 2075
- 131,376 · +32.2%
- By 2100
- 146,163 · +47.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Native American 14% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 6% Romanian 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Grant
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.5) · D 30.0% · R 67.4% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.9pp toward R · 2008: -27.5pp · 2024: -37.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.5 2020: R+34.4 2016: R+37.9 2012: R+32.6 2008: R+27.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.56%
- Current HPI
- 210.3573
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
+390.6% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-23 Delisted — PACMLS
- 2026-01-06 Listed $130,000 PACMLS
- 2011-03-07 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
- 2010-09-28 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
- 2002-10-21 Sold (Public Records) $26,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.2%/yrLatest (2026): $1,407 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…