12023 Longhorn Dr · Bayonet Point, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 114°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.5/30.0
- DSCR +7.6/10.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- ARV discount +4.3/15.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.9/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$154,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Ponderosa Park - Superb 2 Bedroom, 2 Bath, New Roof-2017, Cathedral Ceilings, Eat-In-Kitchen, Formal Dining, Split Bedroom Plan, Ceramic Tile & Laminate Flooring, Carport, Screen Enclosed Porch, Association $200.00 YEAR which includes Pool, Recreation & Clubhouse, 55+ Community, Close to All Conveniences.
Key facts
- Formal dining
- Clubhouse
- Living room
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property type: Residential (Manufactured Home); Lot is paved, in county (approximately 0.08 acre); Zoning: RMH; Furnished
- Financial info: Lease restrictions apply
- HOA & community: Ponderosa Park association (annual fee $250; monthly equivalent $20.83); Association amenities include cable TV, pool, recreation facilities and shuffleboard court; Association approval required; Senior community; Pets allowed; Association fee covers common area taxes, pool and recreational facilities
Exterior
- Parking: Carport (1 space)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available and connected; Electricity connected
- Home design: Manufactured single-wide home; One story; Faces east
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof; Crawlspace foundation; Built on a single level
- Exterior features: Front porch (screened); Sliding doors; Shed(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Range hood; Refrigerator; Exhaust fan
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Cathedral ceilings; Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Open floorplan; Split bedroom layout; Walk-in closets
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Washer; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $155k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $290 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
- Recommended offer: $136k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 5.3% in Bayonet Point — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#485 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities D+, schools F.
- Pasco (suburban): math 50% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #32 of 73 in FL (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.3%/yr); 790 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,765 units permitted in Pasco County in 2024 (1,250 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pasco County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 246 days — a 12% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 10 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $63k; list at $155k implies a 146% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 246 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.03%
- DSCR
- 1.36
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $144,672
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12119 Bonanza Dr | 0.09mi | 2/2.0 | 1,056 (0%) | 1mo | $120,000 | $114 | 95 |
| 12201 Bonanza Dr | 0.12mi | 2/2.0 | 1,056 (0%) | 11mo | $142,500 | $135 | 86 |
| 12210 Bonanza Dr | 0.15mi | 2/2.0 | 1,056 (0%) | 12mo | $178,500 | $169 | 83 |
| 12110 Bonanza Dr | 0.05mi | 2/2.0 | 962 (-9%) | 2mo | $90,000 | $94 | 81 |
| 7309 Blue Lake Dr | 0.17mi | 2/2.0 | 960 (-9%) | 4mo | $115,000 | $120 | 74 |
| 7318 Allyson St | 0.35mi | 2/2.0 | 1,080 (+2%) | 11mo | $145,000 | $134 | 70 |
| 7310 Stillwater Dr | 0.26mi | 2/2.0 | 1,144 (+8%) | 5mo | $90,000 | $79 | 70 |
| 12343 Lariat Way | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,068 (+1%) | 13mo | $165,000 | $154 | 67 |
| 7412 Grand Pine Dr | 0.19mi | 2/2.0 | 960 (-9%) | 12mo | $145,000 | $151 | 66 |
| 7303 Blue Lake Dr | 0.20mi | 2/2.0 | 960 (-9%) | 13mo | $165,000 | $172 | 65 |
| 7308 Osage Dr | 0.30mi | 2/2.0 | 1,188 (+12%) | 13mo | $175,000 | $147 | 54 |
| 7200 Johnson Rd | 0.66mi | 2/2.0 | 1,080 (+2%) | 17mo | $148,000 | $137 | 51 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.73×
- Total profit
- $-11,596
- Equity at exit
- $23,096
- IRR
- -2.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.87×
- Total profit
- $-5,520
- Equity at exit
- $13,393
Cash invested: $43,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34667
- Rents YoY
- -2.3%
- Active inventory
- 790
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,702 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$812
- Tax from tax record
- −$158 /mo · $1,893/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- HOA
- −$20
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$357
- Net cashflow
- $290
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,725
- Closing costs
- $4,647
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12027 Hoosier Ct #203 Hudson, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1103 | $1,550 | $1.41 | 24d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 12041 Hoosier Ct #204 Hudson, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1103 | $1,495 | $1.36 | 24d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 12041 Hoosier Ct #204 Hudson, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1103 | $1,495 | $1.36 | 17d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 7616 Danube Dr Hudson, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1125 | $1,350 | $1.20 | 24d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 7602 Danube Dr Unit 7602 Hudson, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1125 | $1,600 | $1.42 | 24d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 7539 Gulf Highlands Dr Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 936 | $1,550 | $1.66 | 5d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 7433 Greystone Dr #7433 Hudson, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1029 | $1,300 | $1.26 | 17d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 7608 Sue Ellen Dr Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1310 | $2,400 | $1.83 | 24d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 12702 Social Dr Hudson, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1032 | $1,500 | $1.45 | 5d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 7924 Halsey Dr Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1272 | $1,800 | $1.42 | 5d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 7924 Halsey Dr Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1272 | $1,800 | $1.42 | 21d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 7715 Sue Ellen Dr Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,495 | $1.38 | 3d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 7530 Judith Cres Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1446 | $2,200 | $1.52 | 24d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 7530 Judith Cres Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1446 | $1,695 | $1.17 | 20d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 11610 Meadow Dr Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1128 | $1,570 | $1.39 | 12d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 11611 Constance Dr Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 984 | $1,540 | $1.57 | 24d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 11611 Constance Dr Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 984 | $1,540 | $1.57 | 11d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 11630 Paige Dr Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $1,680 | $1.46 | 12d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 7804 Topay Ln Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1125 | $1,811 | $1.61 | 5d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 12809 College Hill Dr Hudson, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1114 | $1,780 | $1.60 | 5d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 7520 Hawthorn Dr Unit NA Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1303 | $1,900 | $1.46 | 24d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 7520 Hawthorn Dr Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1303 | $1,800 | $1.38 | 23d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 12200 Hudson Ridge Dr Port Richey, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1107 | $1,468 | $1.33 | 2d | 10 | 0.75mi |
| 7531 Greybirch Ter Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,000 | $1.43 | 24d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 7300 Country Club Dr Hudson, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 926 | $1,400 | $1.51 | 2d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 11241 Yewtree Ave Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1306 | $1,950 | $1.49 | 23d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 7540 Venice Dr Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1394 | $1,775 | $1.27 | 5d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 8304 Mill Creek Ln Hudson, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,650 | $1.65 | 24d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 7213 Seward Dr Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,500 | $2.14 | 24d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 12535 3rd Isle Hudson, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1389 | $2,600 | $1.87 | 24d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 8312 Mill Creek Ln Hudson, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $1,600 | $1.39 | 24d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 11430 Rohrman Rd Port Richey, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,000 | $1.43 | 5d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 11103 Harding Dr Unit 2 Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 760 | $1,450 | $1.91 | 20d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 7705 Ilex Dr Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1349 | $2,000 | $1.48 | 24d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 6731 Sandra Dr Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $1,575 | $1.93 | 24d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 8161 Braddock Cir #1 Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,595 | $1.59 | 17d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 11138 Yellowwood Ln Unit NA Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,800 | $1.80 | 24d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 11031 Hassle Ave Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1006 | $1,595 | $1.59 | 24d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 11635 Salmon Dr Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 816 | $1,500 | $1.84 | 24d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 10905 Kingsbridge Rd Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1176 | $1,566 | $1.33 | 5d | 1 | 1.23mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $20 · $240/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 40 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $154,900 Active 246 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $154,900 Active 245 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $154,900 Active 244 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $154,900 Active 243 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $154,900 Active 241 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $154,900 Active 237 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $154,900 Active 236 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $154,900 Active 235 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $154,900 Active 232 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $154,900 Active 231 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $154,900 Active 230 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $154,900 Active 229 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $154,900 Active 228 DOM
-
2026-02-05status Active
-
2026-01-23status Pending
-
2025-12-06price $154,900
-
2025-10-02$159,900 Active
-
2018-04-09soldstatus $63,000
-
2018-04-04soldstatus $63,000 Sold 318-char remark
Show marketing remark (318 chars)
Ponderosa Park - Superb 2 Bedroom, 2 Bath, New Roof-2017, Cathedral Ceilings, Eat-In-Kitchen, Formal Dining, Split Bedroom Plan, Ceramic Tile & Laminate Flooring, Carport, Screen Enclosed Porch, Association $200.00 YEAR which includes Pool, Recreation & Clubhouse, 55+ Community, Close to All Conveniences.
-
2018-03-23status Pending 318-char remark
Show marketing remark (318 chars)
Ponderosa Park - Superb 2 Bedroom, 2 Bath, New Roof-2017, Cathedral Ceilings, Eat-In-Kitchen, Formal Dining, Split Bedroom Plan, Ceramic Tile & Laminate Flooring, Carport, Screen Enclosed Porch, Association $200.00 YEAR which includes Pool, Recreation & Clubhouse, 55+ Community, Close to All Conveniences.
-
2018-03-23status Pending 318-char remark
Show marketing remark (318 chars)
Ponderosa Park - Superb 2 Bedroom, 2 Bath, New Roof-2017, Cathedral Ceilings, Eat-In-Kitchen, Formal Dining, Split Bedroom Plan, Ceramic Tile & Laminate Flooring, Carport, Screen Enclosed Porch, Association $200.00 YEAR which includes Pool, Recreation & Clubhouse, 55+ Community, Close to All Conveniences.
-
2018-03-23status Pending 318-char remark
Show marketing remark (318 chars)
Ponderosa Park - Superb 2 Bedroom, 2 Bath, New Roof-2017, Cathedral Ceilings, Eat-In-Kitchen, Formal Dining, Split Bedroom Plan, Ceramic Tile & Laminate Flooring, Carport, Screen Enclosed Porch, Association $200.00 YEAR which includes Pool, Recreation & Clubhouse, 55+ Community, Close to All Conveniences.
-
2018-02-15price $67,900 318-char remark
Show marketing remark (318 chars)
Ponderosa Park - Superb 2 Bedroom, 2 Bath, New Roof-2017, Cathedral Ceilings, Eat-In-Kitchen, Formal Dining, Split Bedroom Plan, Ceramic Tile & Laminate Flooring, Carport, Screen Enclosed Porch, Association $200.00 YEAR which includes Pool, Recreation & Clubhouse, 55+ Community, Close to All Conveniences.
-
2018-02-15status Active 318-char remark
Show marketing remark (318 chars)
Ponderosa Park - Superb 2 Bedroom, 2 Bath, New Roof-2017, Cathedral Ceilings, Eat-In-Kitchen, Formal Dining, Split Bedroom Plan, Ceramic Tile & Laminate Flooring, Carport, Screen Enclosed Porch, Association $200.00 YEAR which includes Pool, Recreation & Clubhouse, 55+ Community, Close to All Conveniences.
-
2018-02-02status Pending 318-char remark
Show marketing remark (318 chars)
Ponderosa Park - Superb 2 Bedroom, 2 Bath, New Roof-2017, Cathedral Ceilings, Eat-In-Kitchen, Formal Dining, Split Bedroom Plan, Ceramic Tile & Laminate Flooring, Carport, Screen Enclosed Porch, Association $200.00 YEAR which includes Pool, Recreation & Clubhouse, 55+ Community, Close to All Conveniences.
-
2018-01-10$69,900 Active 318-char remark
Show marketing remark (318 chars)
Ponderosa Park - Superb 2 Bedroom, 2 Bath, New Roof-2017, Cathedral Ceilings, Eat-In-Kitchen, Formal Dining, Split Bedroom Plan, Ceramic Tile & Laminate Flooring, Carport, Screen Enclosed Porch, Association $200.00 YEAR which includes Pool, Recreation & Clubhouse, 55+ Community, Close to All Conveniences.
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2018-01-08historical
-
2017-12-05status Active
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2017-12-01status Pending
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2017-10-27$69,900 Active
-
2017-09-21historical
-
2017-07-15price $68,000
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2017-06-15price $69,000
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2017-04-23price $70,000
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2017-03-27$75,000 Active
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2004-08-20soldstatus $68,000
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2004-08-16soldstatus $68,000
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2004-06-16$72,900
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2004-03-23$69,900
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2004-01-06$72,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,893 · $158/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,893 · $158/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥114°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,426
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,677
- − Property taxes
- −$1,893
- − Insurance
- −$774
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,634
- − Management
- −$1,634
- − HOA
- −$240
- − Depreciation
- −$4,506
- Taxable income
- $1,067
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$256
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,225/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pasco
- NCES district ID
- 1201530
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,039
- Composite
- 43.14/100
- National rank
- #3074
- State rank
- #32 of 73 in FL
Livability — Bayonet Point
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #485
- US rank
- #8934
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bayonet Point, FL
- County
- Pasco County · 524,098 people
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,689
- Household income
- $51,280
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 946.0
Population outlook (Pasco County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 570,045 people
- By 2030
- 605,844 · +6.3%
- By 2040
- 674,806 · +18.4%
- By 2050
- 736,022 · +29.1%
- By 2075
- 862,900 · +51.4%
- By 2100
- 906,364 · +59.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Black 2% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Pasco
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.2) · D 36.9% · R 62.1% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.6pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -25.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.2 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+6.7 2008: R+3.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -183.96%
- Current HPI
- 307.5552
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.26%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+112.5% since first listed27 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-05 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-23 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-06 Price Changed $154,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-02 Listed $159,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-04-09 Sold (Public Records) $63,000 Public Records
- 2018-04-04 Sold (MLS) $63,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-03-23 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-03-23 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-03-23 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-02-15 Price Changed $67,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-02-15 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-02-02 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-01-10 Listed $69,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-01-08 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-12-05 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-12-01 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-10-27 Listed $69,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-09-21 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-07-15 Price Changed $68,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-06-15 Price Changed $69,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-04-23 Price Changed $70,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-03-27 Listed $75,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-08-20 Sold (Public Records) $68,000 Public Records
- 2004-08-16 Sold (MLS) $68,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-06-16 Listed $72,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-03-23 Listed $69,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-01-06 Listed $72,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+12.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,893 · +6.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…