Duplex
717 Mulberry St · Lockland, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$179,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Large Duplex, plenty of room for all of your personl belongings. Two entries into the units.
Key facts
- Multi-family duplex
- Full basement
- Separate entrances
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Total buildings: 1
- Financial info: Semi-annual taxes listed
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas
- Home design: Duplex; Two levels
- Construction: Shingle roof; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Aluminum windows; Vinyl siding
Interior
- Bedrooms: Two 3-bedroom units (each unit has 3 bedrooms)
- Bathrooms: Unit 1: 2 full bathrooms; Unit 2: 1 full bathroom and 1 partial bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Crawl space basement; No fireplace
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.8-bath units multifamily listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($18k/yr) — positive. Per door: $737/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $180k).
- Recommended offer: $175k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#510 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Lockland Local (suburban): math 16% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #632 of 656 in OH (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.0%/yr); 47 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 801 units permitted in Hamilton County in 2024 (190 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,238/mo this rent would consume 56% of the median local household income ($69k/yr) (locally 1529% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($175k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $23k; list at $180k implies a 686% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1912 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1912 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.80% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.12%
- Cash-on-cash
- 35.10%
- DSCR
- 2.56
- GRM
- 4.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $240,000
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 414 N Wayne Ave | 0.16mi | 6/2.0 | 2,552 (+6%) | 14mo | $120,000 | $47 | 64 |
| 230 S Wayne Ave | 0.39mi | 6/4.0 | 2,700 (+12%) | 15mo | $271,000 | $100 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 35.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.62×
- Total profit
- $81,748
- Equity at exit
- $26,824
- IRR
- 45.0%
- Equity multiple
- 6.35×
- Total profit
- $269,701
- Equity at exit
- $15,554
Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45215
- Rents YoY
- 8.0%
- Active inventory
- 47
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,238 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$943
- Tax from tax record
- −$66 /mo · $796/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$680
- Net cashflow
- $1,473
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 1.8 | $3,238 |
| #1 | 3 | 1.8 | $1,619 |
| #2 | 3 | 1.8 | $1,619 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,238 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,975
- Closing costs
- $5,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 439 Hidden Valley Ln Cincinnati, OH | 5.0 | 3.5 | 2861 | $4,000 | $1.40 | 43d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 32 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $179,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $179,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $179,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $179,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $179,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $179,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $179,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $179,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $179,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $179,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $179,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $179,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $179,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-05-16$179,900 Active
-
2018-07-27soldstatus $22,900
-
2011-11-28soldstatus $25,000 92-char remark
Show marketing remark (92 chars)
Large Duplex, plenty of room for all of your personl belongings. Two entries into the units.
-
2011-08-23$29,900 92-char remark
Show marketing remark (92 chars)
Large Duplex, plenty of room for all of your personl belongings. Two entries into the units.
-
2010-07-15historical
-
2010-04-19$24,900
-
2006-01-04historical
-
2005-10-03$114,900
-
2005-07-01historical
-
2005-03-30$117,900
-
2005-03-30historical
-
2004-09-23$117,900
-
2003-12-26historical
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2003-06-25$119,500
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2001-10-14historical
-
2001-07-13$129,900
-
1999-01-26soldstatus $30,000
-
1997-02-05soldstatus $110,000
-
1987-08-04soldstatus $115,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $796 · $66/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,801 · $150/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,005/yr (+$84/mo · 126.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $38,856
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,077
- − Property taxes
- −$796
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,108
- − Management
- −$3,108
- − Depreciation
- −$5,233
- Taxable income
- $15,633
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,752
- After-tax cash flow
- $13,928/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lockland Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904423
- Math proficiency
- 16% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 23% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,458
- Composite
- 15.89/100
- National rank
- #9256
- State rank
- #632 of 656 in OH
Livability — Lockland
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #510
- US rank
- #8694
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lockland, OH
- County
- Hamilton County · 701,295 people
- City population
- 30,586
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,586
- Household income
- $69,372
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1529.0
Population outlook (Hamilton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 826,054 people
- By 2030
- 830,947 · +0.6%
- By 2040
- 832,319 · +0.8%
- By 2050
- 822,428 · -0.4%
- By 2075
- 788,688 · -4.5%
- By 2100
- 710,674 · -14.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (63%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 63% Black 26% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hamilton
- 2024 margin
- D (+14.9) · D 57.0% · R 42.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.9pp toward D · 2008: 7.0pp · 2024: 14.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+14.9 2020: D+15.9 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+7.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -263.50%
- Current HPI
- 217.3319
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.02%
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+56.4% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-16 Listed $179,900 Cincy MLS
- 2018-07-27 Sold (Public Records) $22,900 Public Records
- 2011-11-28 Sold (MLS) $25,000 Cincy MLS
- 2011-08-23 Listed $29,900 Cincy MLS
- 2010-07-15 Listing Removed — Cincy MLS
- 2010-04-19 Listed $24,900 Cincy MLS
- 2006-01-04 Listing Removed — Cincy MLS
- 2005-10-03 Listed $114,900 Cincy MLS
- 2005-07-01 Listing Removed — Cincy MLS
- 2005-03-30 Listing Removed — Cincy MLS
- 2005-03-30 Listed $117,900 Cincy MLS
- 2004-09-23 Listed $117,900 Cincy MLS
- 2003-12-26 Listing Removed — Cincy MLS
- 2003-06-25 Listed $119,500 Cincy MLS
- 2001-10-14 Listing Removed — Cincy MLS
- 2001-07-13 Listed $129,900 Cincy MLS
- 1999-01-26 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
- 1997-02-05 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
- 1987-08-04 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.8%/yrLatest (2025): $796 · -1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…