14 N 3rd · Herington, KS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,154 – $2,142
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.1/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$25,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Project space
- Storage building
- Versatile shop
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 4-car garage
- Utilities: Sewer available
- Home design: Single-family onsite built
- Construction: Slab foundation
- Exterior features: One level; Composition roof
Interior
- Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling
- Interior features: No basement; No central heating or cooling
- Laundry & utility: No laundry facilities indicated
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/?-bath single-family listed at $25k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $414 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($765 rent vs $25k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#170 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Herington (rural): math 28% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #100 of 169 in KS (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Herington Elem (math 42% / reading 42%, grade F, #273 of 684 statewide, top 45%, 187 students, 74% FRL); Herington Middle Sch (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #110 of 219 statewide, top 55%, 112 students, 74% FRL); Herington High (math 5% / reading 15%, grade F, #289 of 327 statewide, top 93%, 151 students, 60% FRL) — zoned schools average 70% FRL vs 49% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP; 26 units permitted in Dickinson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $221 of equity ($173 loan paydown + $48 appreciation (0.2% local appreciation)).
- Dickinson County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (0.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 26.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- 70.97%
- DSCR
- 4.16
- GRM
- 2.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.19% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 73.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.70×
- Total profit
- $25,887
- Equity at exit
- $7,501
- IRR
- 74.8%
- Equity multiple
- 9.59×
- Total profit
- $60,124
- Equity at exit
- $9,212
Cash invested: $7,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kansas
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 67449
- Home prices YoY
- 0.1%
- Active inventory
- 29
- Price-to-rent
- 2.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $765 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$131
- Tax from tax record
- −$48 /mo · $582/yr
- Insurance
- −$10
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$161
- Net cashflow
- $414
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $6,250
- Closing costs
- $750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $25,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $25,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $25,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $25,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $25,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $25,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $25,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-08$25,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $582 · $48/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $582 · $48/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,175
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,400
- − Property taxes
- −$582
- − Insurance
- −$125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$734
- − Management
- −$734
- − Depreciation
- −$727
- Taxable income
- $4,872
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,169
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,799/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Herington
- NCES district ID
- 2007110
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,012
- Composite
- 25.55/100
- National rank
- #7429
- State rank
- #100 of 169 in KS
Livability — Herington
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #170
- US rank
- #8052
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Herington, KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,756
Population outlook (Dickinson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 18,727 people
- By 2030
- 18,312 · -2.2%
- By 2040
- 17,433 · -6.9%
- By 2050
- 16,493 · -11.9%
- By 2075
- 14,441 · -22.9%
- By 2100
- 11,707 · -37.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Dickinson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+55.0) · D 21.8% · R 76.7% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.8pp toward R · 2008: -42.2pp · 2024: -55.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+55.0 2020: R+54.1 2016: R+54.0 2012: R+47.7 2008: R+42.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.19%
- Current HPI
- 146.5368
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-07 Listed $25,000 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+3.1%/yrLatest (2025): $582 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…