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418 Pecan St
B+ Composite 76.98
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,900

418 Pecan St · Clyde, TX 79510
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,224 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 42 Days on market
Built 1955 0.34 ac lot Est $160k · 38% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

418 Pecan St in Clyde offers a solid opportunity with 3 bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms, featuring spacious rooms and classic built-ins that add character throughout the home. The layout includes generous living areas and ample storage. Outside, enjoy a large RV carport and a big backyard with plenty of space for parking, projects, or outdoor entertaining. A great option for buyers looking for space, functionality, and potential in an established neighborhood.

Key facts

  • Big backyard
  • Large rv carport
  • Classic built-ins

Tags

LARGE RV CARPORTBIG BACKYARDGENEROUS LIVING AREASAMPLE STORAGECLASSIC BUILT-INS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $772 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $97k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 15.6% vs local median 3.2% in Clyde — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#498 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety D+, amenities F.
  • Clyde CISD (town): math 42% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #341 of 826 in TX (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Clyde El (366 students, 58% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 132 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 11 units permitted in Callahan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Callahan County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $96,903 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.98%
Cap rate
15.56%
Cash-on-cash
33.10%
DSCR
2.47
GRM
4.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$160,344
Comps found
10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
418 Pecan St 0.00mi 3/1.5 1,224 (0%) 0mo $99,900 $82 100
504 Oak St 0.17mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,284 (+5%) 0mo $129,000 $100 77
204 Bowie St 0.34mi 3/1.5 1,308 (+7%) 9mo $80,000 $61 65
201 Pine St 0.27mi 3/2.0 1,280 (+5%) 15mo $199,000 $155 65
741 Cherry Hts 0.51mi 3/2.0 1,244 (+2%) 10mo $195,000 $157 63
214 Cherry St 0.38mi 3/1.0 1,256 (+3%) 19mo $39,900 $32 60
402 Private Road 6210 0.28mi 3/2.0 1,357 (+11%) 10mo $275,000 $203 59
518 Reeves St 0.33mi 3/1.5 1,296 (+6%) 22mo $169,900 $131 56
205 Field St 0.68mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,107 (-10%) 2mo $174,900 $158 44
811 S 1st St W 0.53mi 3/2.0 1,092 (-11%) 15mo $127,500 $117 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
28.3%
Equity multiple
2.18×
Total profit
$33,050
Equity at exit
$14,895
10-year hold
IRR
35.8%
Equity multiple
4.30×
Total profit
$92,437
Equity at exit
$8,638

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 79510

Home prices YoY
-21.6%
Active inventory
132
Price-to-rent
4.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,980 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$227 /mo · $2,725/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$416
Net cashflow
$772

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,003
Max offer price $99,900
Occupancy floor 56%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,975
Closing costs
$2,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
613 Marlin St Clyde, TX 4.0 1.0 1218 $1,980 $1.63 21d 1 0.84mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-03-23
    status Pending
  2. 2026-02-06
    listed $99,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,725 · $227/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,725 · $227/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,760
− Mortgage interest
−$5,596
− Property taxes
−$2,725
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,901
− Management
−$1,901
− Depreciation
−$2,906
Taxable income
$8,232
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,976
After-tax cash flow
$7,284/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Clyde CISD
NCES district ID
4814450
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$46,614
Composite
35.84/100
National rank
#4824
State rank
#341 of 826 in TX

Livability — Clyde

Score
68/100
State rank
#498
US rank
#9935

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Clyde, TX
Population (ZIP)
8,135

Population outlook (Callahan County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
13,664 people
By 2030
13,578 · -0.6%
By 2040
13,283 · -2.8%
By 2050
13,008 · -4.8%
By 2075
12,354 · -9.6%
By 2100
11,326 · -17.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 12% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 13%
Common ancestry
Italian 8% Slovak 3% Serbian 3%
Foreign-born
1% · China
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 5% German/W. Germanic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Callahan

2024 margin
Solid R (+77.6) · D 10.9% · R 88.5%
2008→2024 swing
-15.9pp toward R · 2008: -61.7pp · 2024: -77.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+77.6 2020: R+77.3 2016: R+77.2 2012: R+69.8 2008: R+61.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -51.42%
Current HPI
186.6326
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-23 Pending NTREIS
  • 2026-02-06 Listed $99,900 NTREIS

Property tax history

+7.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,725 · +14.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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