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565 Water Springs Rd
B- Composite 69.25
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +1.0/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$48,500

565 Water Springs Rd · Brookdale, SC 29118
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 840 sqft · Manufactured · 53 Days on market
Built 1994 Poor condition 1.08 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investor Special on 1.08 Acres – Endless Potential in Orangeburg County!Discover the possibilities with this beautiful 1.08-acre property nestled in Orangeburg County. Surrounded by mature trees, this spacious lot provides privacy and plenty of room for outdoor living, gardening, or future expansion. The property includes an older mobile home full of potential, making it a true fixer-upper—perfect for investors, renovators, or those ready to create something special from the ground up. Conveniently located just minutes from I-26 and the town of St. Matthews, you’ll enjoy the balance of peaceful country living with easy access to nearby amenities. Property is being sold as-

Key facts

  • Future expansion
  • 1.08 acres
  • Outdoor living

Tags

1.08 ACRESMATURE TREESOUTDOOR LIVINGFUTURE EXPANSIONFIXER-UPPERPEACEFUL COUNTRY LIVING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Well water; Septic sewer
  • Home design: Single-story home
  • Construction: Crawlspace foundation
  • Exterior features: Vinyl exterior; Paved road access

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the main level
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Interior features: Total heated area 840

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $48k. Condition is rated poor.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $777 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $48k).
  • Recommended offer: $47k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 25.5% vs local median 3.4% in Brookdale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#144 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-, health & safety B; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Zoned schools: Marshall Elementary (math 24%, 651 students, 100% FRL); Orangeburg Wilkinson High (math 22%, 1,073 students, 100% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 163 active listings in the ZIP; 87 units permitted in Orangeburg County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $335 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Orangeburg County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($47k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $47,045 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.90%
Cap rate
25.51%
Cash-on-cash
68.63%
DSCR
4.05
GRM
2.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
68.1%
Equity multiple
4.07×
Total profit
$41,627
Equity at exit
$7,232
10-year hold
IRR
72.2%
Equity multiple
8.37×
Total profit
$100,029
Equity at exit
$4,193

Cash invested: $13,580 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State South Carolina
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 29118

Home prices YoY
-28.9%
Active inventory
163
Price-to-rent
2.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,407 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$254
Tax est. 1.5%
$61 /mo · $728/yr
Insurance
$20
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$296
Net cashflow
$777

Break-even live

Break-even rent $424
Max offer price $48,500
Occupancy floor 40%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,125
Closing costs
$1,455
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-05-15
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-23
    listed $48,500 Active
  3. 2026-02-24
    price $55,000
  4. 2026-01-30
    status Active
  5. 2026-01-26
    status Pending
  6. 2026-01-23
    status Active
  7. 2026-01-23
    status Pending
  8. 2026-01-16
    listed $48,500 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,888
− Mortgage interest
−$2,717
− Property taxes
−$728
− Insurance
−$242
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,351
− Management
−$1,351
− Depreciation
−$1,411
Taxable income
$9,089
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,181
After-tax cash flow
$7,139/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 4 photos

Poor 20/100 Extensive rehab

This 1.08-acre property with an older mobile home presents significant opportunities for renovation and improvement. The mobile home requires extensive exterior and interior work, along with HVAC upgrades, and the property needs landscaping to enhance curb appeal. With proper investment, this property has substantial potential for increased value.

Repairs flagged

  • Major Mobile home exterior — Significant rust and peeling paint indicate extensive structural damage.
  • Major Mobile home roof — Old mobile home may have structural issues that require inspection.
  • Major Mobile home flooring — Old mobile home may have structural issues that require inspection.
  • Major Mobile home interior walls/paint — Old mobile home may have structural issues that require inspection.
  • Major Mobile home HVAC/mechanicals — Old mobile home may have structural issues that require inspection.
  • Major Landscaping — Overgrown vegetation and unkempt appearance suggest significant maintenance needs.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Mobile home exterior renovation — A fresh exterior will improve both resale and rental value.
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal — A well-maintained exterior will improve both resale and rental value.
  • Both Mobile home interior renovation — A fresh interior will improve both resale and rental value.
  • Both Mobile home HVAC/mechanicals upgrade — Upgrading HVAC will improve comfort and energy efficiency, enhancing both resale and rental value.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Mobile home exterior · Significant rust and peeling paint indicate extensive structural damage. Major $15,000–50,000
Mobile home roof · Old mobile home may have structural issues that require inspection. Major $15,000–50,000
Mobile home flooring · Old mobile home may have structural issues that require inspection. Major $15,000–50,000
Mobile home interior walls/paint · Old mobile home may have structural issues that require inspection. Major $15,000–50,000
Mobile home HVAC/mechanicals · Old mobile home may have structural issues that require inspection. Major $15,000–50,000
Landscaping · Overgrown vegetation and unkempt appearance suggest significant maintenance needs. Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 6 items $90,000–300,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Mobile home exterior renovation — A fresh exterior will improve both resale and rental value.
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal — A well-maintained exterior will improve both resale and rental value.
  • Both Mobile home interior renovation — A fresh interior will improve both resale and rental value.
  • Both Mobile home HVAC/mechanicals upgrade — Upgrading HVAC will improve comfort and energy efficiency, enhancing both resale and rental value.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — Brookdale

Score
65/100
State rank
#144
US rank
#13512

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment F Housing A- Health & safety B User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Orangeburg County · 15,135 people
Metro
Orangeburg, SC
Population (ZIP)
15,135
Household income
$64,167
Rent vs Own
35.6% rent · 64.4% own
Severe rent burden
253.0

Population outlook (Orangeburg County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
82,698 people
By 2030
78,615 · -4.9%
By 2040
69,308 · -16.2%
By 2050
60,629 · -26.7%
By 2075
42,678 · -48.4%
By 2100
28,136 · -66.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (63%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 63% White 28% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 2% Two or more races 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Orangeburg

2024 margin
Strong D (+24.6) · D 61.8% · R 37.2% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-13.5pp toward R · 2008: 38.1pp · 2024: 24.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+24.6 2020: D+33.2 2016: D+37.0 2012: D+43.5 2008: D+38.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -71.45%
Current HPI
176.0101
Rent YoY
Metro
Orangeburg, SC
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.51%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Pending Consolidated MLS
  • 2026-03-23 Listed $48,500 Consolidated MLS
  • 2026-02-24 Price Changed $55,000 Consolidated MLS
  • 2026-01-30 Relisted Consolidated MLS
  • 2026-01-26 Pending Consolidated MLS
  • 2026-01-23 Relisted Consolidated MLS
  • 2026-01-23 Pending Consolidated MLS
  • 2026-01-16 Listed $48,500 Consolidated MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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