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805 Pastern Ct Unit Cul-de-sac
B- Composite 68.6
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.5/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +8.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.7/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • ARV discount +2.8/15.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0

$315,000

805 Pastern Ct Unit Cul-de-sac · Hemlock Farms, PA 18428
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,688 sqft · SingleFamily · 91 Days on market
Built 1988 Good condition 1.19 ac lot Est $285k · 10% over $250/mo HOA · 6% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Every day feels like a vacation in Hemlock Farms! Located on a quiet cul-de-sac, this modern home sits on a generous 1.19 acre lot and features a split level design with 2 bedrooms and a full bath on each level. The bright and airy open concept main floor hosts the kitchen and living area perfect for entertaining with sliding glass doors leading out to a private back yard!The unfinished basement provides room to increase living space and value!Zoned heating and ceiling fans in every room and a wood burning fireplace in the living room insure your year-round comfort. One of the bedrooms on the lower level has sliding glass doors leading to a private deck making it perfect to double as a home

Key facts

  • Private deck
  • Private back yard
  • Unfinished basement

Tags

PRIVATE BACK YARDUNFINISHED BASEMENTZONED HEATINGCEILING FANSWOOD BURNING FIREPLACEPRIVATE DECK

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located in Hemlock Farms gated community; Private maintained, paved road and private road frontage
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with amenities; Association amenities include: pool (indoor and outdoor), basketball court, tennis courts, recreation room, security, park, playground, golf course, fitness center, clubhouse; Annual association fee (amount provided)

Exterior

  • Parking: Gravel parking
  • Security: 24-hour security; Gated community
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer and holding tank; 200+ amp electric service; Cable available; Water and electricity connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single-family house; Residential property
  • Construction: Asphalt roof; Block foundation; Block basement with French drain and concrete
  • Exterior features: Deck; Shed(s); Property has a view; Located on a cul-de-sac; Wooded lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Free-standing range; Range hood; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Stainless steel appliances; Stone counters
  • Bedrooms: Total of 7 rooms (bedroom counts not specified)
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring; Tile flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating with zoned controls; Ceiling fans for cooling
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Stone countertops; Recessed lighting; Open floor plan; Insulated windows; Living room wood-burning fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry in basement; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $315k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $737 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $315k).
  • Recommended offer: $287k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 7.1% in Hemlock Farms — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#884 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Wallenpaupack Area SD (rural): math 39% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #192 of 539 in PA (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 371 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 213 units permitted in Pike County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $34k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $32k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Pike County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $88k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$54k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($287k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $286,650 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.27%
Cap rate
9.10%
Cash-on-cash
10.03%
DSCR
1.45
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$285,272
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
145 Gaskin Dr 0.11mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,720 (+2%) 15mo $290,000 $169 75
128 Horseshoe Ln 0.14mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,485 (-12%) 1mo $190,000 $128 68
130 Canterbrook Dr #130 0.26mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,550 (-8%) 1mo $260,000 $168 67
130 Canterbrook Dr 0.26mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,550 (-8%) 1mo $260,000 $168 67
126 Eisenhower Dr 0.34mi 4/2.0 1,940 (+15%) 6mo $175,000 $90 54
115 Jackson Dr 0.48mi 4/2.0 1,496 (-11%) 6mo $355,000 $237 54
121 Canterbrook Dr 0.43mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,892 (+12%) 1mo $285,000 $151 52
805 Jefferson Ct 0.56mi 4/2.0 1,540 (-9%) 12mo $295,000 $192 50
103 Fairway Ln 0.55mi 4/2.0 1,548 (-8%) 14mo $249,000 $161 49
109 Canterbrook Dr 0.49mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,536 (-9%) 11mo $275,000 $179 48
107 Canterbrook Dr 0.51mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,860 (+10%) 20mo $329,000 $177 38
202 Waterview Dr 0.68mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,882 (+12%) 18mo $360,000 $191 27

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
31.6%
Equity multiple
3.48×
Total profit
$218,715
Equity at exit
$283,777
10-year hold
IRR
27.4%
Equity multiple
7.89×
Total profit
$607,589
Equity at exit
$611,976

Cash invested: $88,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18428

Home prices YoY
9.2%
Active inventory
371
Price-to-rent
6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,005 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,652
Tax est. 1.5%
$394 /mo · $4,725/yr
Insurance
$131
HOA
$250
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$841
Net cashflow
$737

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,072
Max offer price $315,000
Occupancy floor 77%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$78,750
Closing costs
$9,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
113 Portage Ln Milford, PA 3.0 2.0 1400 $4,000 $2.86 1d 1 0.95mi
101 Pommel Dr Hawley, PA 3.0 2.0 1691 $4,400 $2.60 1d 1 1.13mi
402 Canoe Brook Dr Hawley, PA 3.0 2.0 2055 $3,500 $1.70 1d 1 1.20mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$250 · $3,000/yr

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $315,000 Active 91 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $315,000 Active 90 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $315,000 Active 89 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $315,000 Active 88 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $315,000 Active 86 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $315,000 Active 85 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $315,000 Active 82 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $315,000 Active 81 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $315,000 Active 80 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $315,000 Active 77 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $315,000 Active 76 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $315,000 Active 75 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $315,000 Active 74 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $315,000 Active 73 DOM
  15. 2026-03-18
    listed $335,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$48,060
− Mortgage interest
−$17,645
− Property taxes
−$4,725
− Insurance
−$1,575
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,845
− Management
−$3,845
− HOA
−$3,000
− Depreciation
−$9,164
Taxable income
$4,262
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,023
After-tax cash flow
$7,822/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This modern, well-maintained single-family home on a quiet cul-de-sac offers a split-level design with 2 bedrooms and a full bath on each level. The open concept main floor is perfect for entertaining, and the unfinished basement provides room to increase living space and value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and outdoor living space
  • Rental furniture — improves rental readiness and appeal

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and outdoor living space
  • Rental furniture — improves rental readiness and appeal

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wallenpaupack Area SD
NCES district ID
4224750
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
59% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$51,027
Composite
41.97/100
National rank
#3345
State rank
#192 of 539 in PA

Livability — Hemlock Farms

Score
68/100
State rank
#884
US rank
#9421

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B+ Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hemlock Farms, PA
Population (ZIP)
12,446

Population outlook (Pike County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
53,548 people
By 2030
51,622 · -3.6%
By 2040
46,490 · -13.2%
By 2050
40,372 · -24.6%
By 2075
31,951 · -40.3%
By 2100
26,821 · -49.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6% Black 1% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Portuguese 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pike

2024 margin
Strong R (+24.1) · D 37.6% · R 61.6%
2008→2024 swing
-19.8pp toward R · 2008: -4.2pp · 2024: -24.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+24.1 2020: R+19.0 2016: R+26.0 2012: R+11.0 2008: R+4.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 28.60%
Current HPI
340.8254
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-03-18 Listed $335,000 PWMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…