🌊 Lakefront
5 Mountain Village Ln #26 · Meadows of Dan, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.8/30.0
- Appreciation +8.2/10.0
- DSCR +6.3/10.0
- Schools +6.1/10.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$229,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Cabin #26 at Blue Ridge Passage Resort offers the perfect blend of relaxation, convenience, and mountain charm. Located just minutes from the scenic Blue Ridge Parkway, historic Mabry Mill, luxury destination Primland Resort, and soon-to-open brewery & restaurant at Cockram Mill, this fully furnished mountain getaway is ideal as a personal retreat, weekend escape, or income-producing rental property. The cabin comes completely furnished, including furniture, linens, and even cleaning supplies, making it truly move-in or rental-ready from day one. Enjoy a spacious covered back deck with long distance views & community walking trail. Owners also enjoy low-maintenance living thanks to HOA services that cover water service from the community well, septic maintenance & repairs, road maintenance, trash, mowing, & flower bed maintenance — allowing you to spend more time enjoying the mountains and less time worrying about upkeep. This beautiful cabin is being sold AS IS.
Key facts
- Hoa services
- $75 HOA
- 2 parking spots
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Directions: From the main intersection in Meadows of Dan where the Blue Ridge Parkway crosses US-58, head east on US-58 for 0.3 miles. Turn left onto Mountain Village Lane. Pass the mill and pond, continue up the hill. Cabin on the left.
- Financial info:
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with $75 monthly fee
Exterior
- Parking: 2 open parking spaces; Off-street parking
- Security:
- Utilities: Electric heat pump
- Home design: Residential property; Built in 2006
- Construction:
- Exterior features: Trail access
Interior
- Kitchen: Built-in microwave
- Bedrooms: 1 bedroom
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Wood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump (electric) for heating and cooling
- Interior features: Built-in microwave oven; Fiberglass door(s); Insulated and screened windows; Storage space; 5 total rooms
- Laundry & utility:
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $230k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $272 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $230k).
- Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 1.1% in Meadows of Dan — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Patrick County Public School District (rural): math 69% / reading 77% proficiency, ranked #18 of 131 in VA (top 14%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Zoned schools: Meadows of Dan Elementary (math 67% / reading 82%, grade A, #220 of 1,108 statewide, top 22%, 401 students, 21% FRL); Patrick County High (math 66% / reading 76%, grade B+, #146 of 319 statewide, top 47%, 851 students, 82% FRL).
- Market conditions: 53 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 28 units permitted in Patrick County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $16k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (6.5% local appreciation)).
- Patrick County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (6.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $64k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
- What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
- Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.71%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.07%
- DSCR
- 1.23
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $188,756
- List price
- $229,900
- Delta
- 21.80%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64 Mountain Village Ln | 0.06mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 975 (0%) | 13mo | $250,000 | $256 | 81 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
6.47% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.40×
- Total profit
- $90,283
- Equity at exit
- $151,457
- IRR
- 19.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.89×
- Total profit
- $250,640
- Equity at exit
- $280,853
Cash invested: $64,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24120
- Home prices YoY
- 3.9%
- Active inventory
- 53
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,450 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,206
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$287 /mo · $3,448/yr
- Insurance
- −$96
- HOA
- −$75
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$514
- Net cashflow
- $272
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $57,475
- Closing costs
- $6,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Mountain Village Ln Unit 13 Meadows of Dan, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $2,450 | $2.33 | 43d | 1 | 0.03mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $75 · $900/yr
- Likely covers
- watertrash
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $229,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $229,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $229,900 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $229,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $229,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $229,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $229,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $229,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $229,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $229,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $229,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $229,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $229,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $229,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $229,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $229,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-05-08$229,900 Active 1006-char remark
Show marketing remark (1006 chars)
Cabin #26 at Blue Ridge Passage Resort offers the perfect blend of relaxation, convenience, and mountain charm. Located just minutes from the scenic Blue Ridge Parkway, historic Mabry Mill, luxury destination Primland Resort, and soon-to-open brewery & restaurant at Cockram Mill, this fully furnished mountain getaway is ideal as a personal retreat, weekend escape, or income-producing rental property. The cabin comes completely furnished, including furniture, linens, and even cleaning supplies, making it truly move-in or rental-ready from day one. Enjoy a spacious covered back deck with long distance views & community walking trail. Owners also enjoy low-maintenance living thanks to HOA services that cover water service from the community well, septic maintenance & repairs, road maintenance, trash, mowing, & flower bed maintenance — allowing you to spend more time enjoying the mountains and less time worrying about upkeep. This beautiful cabin is being sold AS IS.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,400
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,878
- − Property taxes
- −$3,448
- − Insurance
- −$1,150
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,352
- − Management
- −$2,352
- − HOA
- −$900
- − Depreciation
- −$6,688
- Taxable loss
- −$368
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$88
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,349/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 19 photos
This cabin is in good condition with a good condition score of 75. It is move-in ready and offers a great rental opportunity.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Replace worn-out carpet — Improves comfort and appearance
- Both Upgrade kitchen appliances — Modernizes the space and increases appeal
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Replace worn-out carpet — Improves comfort and appearance ↑
- Both Upgrade kitchen appliances — Modernizes the space and increases appeal ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Patrick County Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5102880
- Math proficiency
- 69% ▼ -23.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 77% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,331
- Composite
- 60.52/100
- National rank
- #842
- State rank
- #18 of 131 in VA
Livability — Meadows of Dan
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,608
Population outlook (Patrick County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 16,918 people
- By 2030
- 16,097 · -4.9%
- By 2040
- 14,317 · -15.4%
- By 2050
- 12,476 · -26.3%
- By 2075
- 9,051 · -46.5%
- By 2100
- 6,138 · -63.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (97%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 97% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Serbian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Patrick
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+60.4) · D 19.4% · R 79.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.8pp toward R · 2008: -30.6pp · 2024: -60.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+60.4 2020: R+58.0 2016: R+55.2 2012: R+38.9 2008: R+30.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 6.47%
- Current HPI
- 172.7689
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Listed $229,900 MLSRV
- 2026-05-08 Listed $229,900 NRVMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…