3021 SW Westwood Dr · Topeka, KS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,154 – $2,142
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +12.6/15.0
- Cash flow +7.7/30.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.3/10.0
- DSCR +1.8/10.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$204,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Conveniently located is this 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath split level with basement and 1 car garage. Home features an electric cooktop, hardwood floors and big deck off the back. Some updating is needed. Close to shopping, interstate and restaurants. This is a Fannie Mae HomePath Property!
Key facts
- Entertaining deck
- Large rec room
- Fenced backyard
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Brick and vinyl siding exterior; Partially finished concrete basement
- Exterior features: Chain link fence; Deck
Interior
- Flooring: Hardwood flooring; Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Storm windows; Deck
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $204k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-237 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $163k (20.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $149k (27.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $149k (27.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#195 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, commute F.
- Topeka Public Schools (urban): math 17% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #158 of 169 in KS (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Jardine Elementary (math 18% / reading 24%, grade F, #583 of 684 statewide, top 85%, 743 students, 79% FRL); Jardine Middle School (math 13% / reading 23%, grade F, #164 of 219 statewide, top 76%, 542 students, 79% FRL); Topeka West High (math 13% / reading 20%, grade F, #244 of 327 statewide, top 75%, 1,085 students, 59% FRL) — zoned schools at 72% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.9%/yr); 142 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 219 units permitted in Shawnee County in 2024 (25 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Shawnee County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $76k; list at $204k implies a 169% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.73% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.96%
- DSCR
- 0.78
- GRM
- 11.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $230,688
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4212 SW 28th Ter | 0.59mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,508 (-6%) | 0mo | $225,000 | $149 | 58 |
| 4413 SW Twilight Dr | 0.72mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,695 (+6%) | 3mo | $244,900 | $144 | 47 |
| 4200 29th St | 0.55mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,792 (+12%) | 9mo | $110,000 | $61 | 42 |
| 3500 SW Oak Pkwy | 0.61mi | 3/2.5 | 1,769 (+10%) | 12mo | $240,000 | $136 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -19.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.30×
- Total profit
- $-40,327
- Equity at exit
- $30,492
- IRR
- -4.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.67×
- Total profit
- $-18,676
- Equity at exit
- $17,681
Cash invested: $57,260 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kansas
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 66614
- Rents YoY
- 9.9%
- Active inventory
- 142
- Price-to-rent
- 11.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,486 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,072
- Tax from tax record
- −$253 /mo · $3,039/yr
- Insurance
- −$85
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$312
- Net cashflow
- $-237
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-121 | -5% $-179 | +0% $-237 | +5% $-294 | +10% $-352 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-354 | -5% $-295 | +0% $-237 | +5% $-178 | +10% $-119 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-134 | -0.5pp $-185 | base $-237 | +0.5pp $-290 | +1.0pp $-343 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $51,125
- Closing costs
- $6,135
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3211 SW Twilight Ct Topeka, KS | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 965 | $1,245 | $1.29 | 23d | 6 | 0.35mi |
| 4110 SW Twilight Dr Topeka, KS | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1746 | $1,150 | $0.66 | 23d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 3630 SW Plass Ave Topeka, KS | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1080 | $1,250 | $1.16 | 23d | 3 | 1.13mi |
| 3640 SW Plass Ave Topeka, KS | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1180 | $1,300 | $1.10 | 23d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 2211 SW Burnett Rd Topeka, KS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1239 | $1,595 | $1.29 | 23d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 2320 SW Valley Brook Ln Topeka, KS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,500 | $1.25 | 23d | 1 | 1.29mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-18status Pending
-
2026-05-13$204,500 Active
-
2017-09-12soldstatus 282-char remark
Show marketing remark (282 chars)
Conveniently located is this 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath split level with basement and 1 car garage. Home features an electric cooktop, hardwood floors and big deck off the back. Some updating is needed. Close to shopping, interstate and restaurants. This is a Fannie Mae HomePath Property!
-
2017-07-11$72,900 282-char remark
Show marketing remark (282 chars)
Conveniently located is this 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath split level with basement and 1 car garage. Home features an electric cooktop, hardwood floors and big deck off the back. Some updating is needed. Close to shopping, interstate and restaurants. This is a Fannie Mae HomePath Property!
-
2014-07-11$82,500
-
1996-07-01soldstatus $76,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,039 · $253/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,039 · $253/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,838
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,455
- − Property taxes
- −$3,039
- − Insurance
- −$1,022
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,427
- − Management
- −$1,427
- − Depreciation
- −$5,949
- Taxable loss
- −$6,482
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,556
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,283/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Topeka Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2012260
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 23% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,405
- Composite
- 16.69/100
- National rank
- #9167
- State rank
- #158 of 169 in KS
Livability — Topeka
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #8848
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Topeka, KS
- County
- Shawnee County · 118,130 people
- City population
- 118,130
- Metro
- Topeka, KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,538
- Household income
- $71,377
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 852.0
Population outlook (Shawnee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 179,277 people
- By 2030
- 177,762 · -0.8%
- By 2040
- 172,341 · -3.9%
- By 2050
- 166,330 · -7.2%
- By 2075
- 152,417 · -15.0%
- By 2100
- 134,782 · -24.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 7% Black 4% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Shawnee
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.3% · R 48.8% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.8pp no change · 2008: -0.3pp · 2024: 0.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.5 2020: D+3.0 2016: R+2.8 2012: R+1.7 2008: R+0.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -160.56%
- Current HPI
- 225.5592
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 9.88%
- Metro
- Topeka, KS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+169.1% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Pending — Sunflower MLS as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2026-05-13 Listed $204,500 Sunflower MLS as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2017-09-12 Sold (MLS) — Sunflower MLS as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2017-07-11 Listed $72,900 Sunflower MLS as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2014-07-11 Listed $82,500 Sunflower MLS as distributed by MLS GRID
- 1996-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $76,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.8%/yrLatest (2025): $3,039 · +9.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…