Duplex
57 Island Pkwy · Island Park, NY
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $2,026 – $9,024
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.1/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.4/10.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$750,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Great Income Home - Each Apartment Pays Owns Electric.
Key facts
- Front porch
- Two family property
- Rental income
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity available and connected; Water available and connected; Sewer available and connected; Public trash collection
- Home design: Duplex
- Construction: Frame construction
- Exterior features: Back yard fencing; Shed(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: One 1-bedroom unit; One 2-bedroom unit
- Flooring: Combination of carpet, ceramic tile, and wood
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric forced-air heating; Central air; Ductless cooling
- Interior features: First-floor bedroom; First-floor full bathroom; Eat-in kitchen; Storage; Finished full basement with storage space and walk-out access; Attic crawl space with storage; Patio and porch
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $750k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $882 ($11k/yr) — positive. Per door: $441/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($8k rent vs $750k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#160 in NY, #2,453 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: cost of living F.
- Island Park Union Free School District (suburban): math 43% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #300 of 590 in NY (top 51%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Francis X Hegarty Elementary School (math 42% / reading 72%, grade C+, #842 of 2,108 statewide, top 43%, 415 students, 34% FRL); Island Park Lincoln Orens Middle School (math 42% / reading 57%, grade C, #280 of 729 statewide, top 40%, 271 students, 44% FRL).
- Market conditions: 43 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 824 units permitted in Nassau County in 2024 (153 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $7,925/mo this rent would consume 86% of the median local household income ($111k/yr) (locally 371% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $22k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Nassau County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $600k; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $460/mo; built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.67%
- DSCR
- 1.34
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.69×
- Total profit
- $-65,119
- Equity at exit
- $111,827
- IRR
- 1.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.08×
- Total profit
- $16,603
- Equity at exit
- $64,846
Cash invested: $210,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 11558
- Home prices YoY
- -24.6%
- Active inventory
- 43
- Price-to-rent
- 15.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $7,925 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,933
- Tax from tax record
- −$673 /mo · $8,073/yr
- Insurance
- −$312
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$460 /mo · $5,525/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,664
- Net cashflow
- $882
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,307 | -5% $1,094 | +0% $882 | +5% $670 | +10% $457 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $256 | -5% $569 | +0% $882 | +5% $1,195 | +10% $1,508 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,260 | -0.5pp $1,073 | base $882 | +0.5pp $688 | +1.0pp $490 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 2 | $7,926 |
| #1 | 3 | 2 | $3,963 |
| #2 | 3 | 2 | $3,963 |
| Total (2 units) | $7,925 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $187,500
- Closing costs
- $22,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $750,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $750,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $750,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $750,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $750,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 693-char remark
-
2026-06-13$750,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $8,073 · $673/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $10,374 · $865/mo
- Expected delta
- +$2,301/yr (+$192/mo · 28.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $95,100
- − Mortgage interest
- −$42,012
- − Property taxes
- −$8,073
- − Insurance
- −$9,275
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$7,608
- − Management
- −$7,608
- − Depreciation
- −$21,818
- Taxable loss
- −$1,294
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$311
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,894/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Island Park Union Free School District
- NCES district ID
- 3615480
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 62% ▲ 12.00%
- Median HH income
- $78,138
- Composite
- 47.47/100
- National rank
- #2279
- State rank
- #300 of 590 in NY
Livability — Island Park
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #160
- US rank
- #2453
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Island Park, NY
- County
- Nassau County · 653,051 people
- City population
- 8,454
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,454
- Household income
- $111,032
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 371.0
Population outlook (Nassau County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,409,302 people
- By 2030
- 1,431,482 · +1.6%
- By 2040
- 1,471,607 · +4.4%
- By 2050
- 1,502,845 · +6.6%
- By 2075
- 1,575,403 · +11.8%
- By 2100
- 1,554,356 · +10.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 8% Asian 5% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% American 4% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 20% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 75% English-only · Spanish 12% Russian/Polish/Slavic 6% Other Indo-European 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Nassau
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.9% · R 52.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.4pp · 2024: -4.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+4.2 2020: D+9.5 2016: D+5.3 2012: D+6.7 2008: D+8.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -106.33%
- Current HPI
- 326.289
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+150.8% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Listed $750,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-13 Rental Removed $3,700 ONEKEY
- 2025-07-12 Listed for Rent $3,700 ONEKEY
- 2024-04-27 Rental Removed $3,650 ONEKEY
- 2024-04-18 Listed for Rent $3,650 ONEKEY
- 2022-09-28 Sold (Public Records) $600,000 Public Records
- 2015-04-24 Sold (Public Records) $290,000 Public Records
- 2015-04-07 Sold (MLS) $290,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-04-07 Sold (MLS) $290,000 MLSLI
- 2015-03-14 Pending — MLSLI
- 2015-01-30 Relisted — MLSLI
- 2014-12-05 Pending — MLSLI
- 2014-09-11 Listed $299,000 MLSLI
- 2014-09-11 Listed $299,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+2.7%/yrLatest (2024): $8,073 · +5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…