Triplex
6367 Us-9 · Chestertown, NY
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +9.9/10.0
- DSCR +8.3/10.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$235,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
This is a Multi-family 3-unit rental in the heart of Chestertown! Walking distance to everything in town- shops, restaurants, etc. Main level is a commercial space (currently the Chiropractor office) 2nd level- 1 bed/1bath apartment. Basement level- studio apartment 1bed/1bath. New septic installed 5 years ago- building painted in 2021! All units currently rented- must have 24-48 hr notice for ALL showings!
Key facts
- Multi-family rental
- New septic installed
- Commercial space
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1×2bd/1ba + 2×1bd/1ba units multifamily listed at $235k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $530 ($6k/yr) — positive. Per door: $177/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $235k).
- Recommended offer: $221k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 1.3% in Chestertown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#1,052 in NY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A-, cost of living B; Watch: schools C-, crime F, amenities F.
- North Warren Central School District (rural): math 48% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #352 of 590 in NY (top 60%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 61 active listings in the ZIP; 180 units permitted in Warren County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $25k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $23k appreciation (9.9% local appreciation)).
- Warren County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (9.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $66k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$40k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 72 days — a 6% lower offer ($221k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 72 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.00%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.66%
- DSCR
- 1.43
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $286,810
- List price
- $235,000
- Delta
- -18.06%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 97 Riverside Dr | 0.05mi | 2/2.0 | 2,016 (+5%) | 8mo | $145,000 | $72 | 82 |
| 6376 US Route 9 | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,764 (-8%) | 10mo | $185,000 | $105 | 68 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
9.88% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 31.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.43×
- Total profit
- $159,841
- Equity at exit
- $209,727
- IRR
- 27.0%
- Equity multiple
- 7.74×
- Total profit
- $443,630
- Equity at exit
- $450,194
Cash invested: $65,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12817
- Home prices YoY
- 2.8%
- Active inventory
- 61
- Price-to-rent
- 21.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,598 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,232
- Tax from tax record
- −$192 /mo · $2,309/yr
- Insurance
- −$98
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$546
- Net cashflow
- $530
Break-even live
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1× unit | 2 | 1 | $930 |
| 2× units | 1 | 1 | $1,668 |
| #2 | 1 | 1 | $834 |
| #3 | 1 | 1 | $834 |
| Total (3 units) | $2,598 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $58,750
- Closing costs
- $7,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $235,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $235,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $235,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $235,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $235,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $235,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $235,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $235,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $235,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $235,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $235,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $235,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $235,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $235,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-04-06$235,000 Active 410-char remark
Show marketing remark (410 chars)
This is a Multi-family 3-unit rental in the heart of Chestertown! Walking distance to everything in town- shops, restaurants, etc. Main level is a commercial space (currently the Chiropractor office) 2nd level- 1 bed/1bath apartment. Basement level- studio apartment 1bed/1bath. New septic installed 5 years ago- building painted in 2021! All units currently rented- must have 24-48 hr notice for ALL showings!
-
2026-02-14status Active
-
2025-10-06status Pending
-
2025-07-22historical Contingent
-
2025-07-22historical
-
2025-04-23$235,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,309 · $192/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,140 · $262/mo
- Expected delta
- +$831/yr (+$69/mo · 36.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,176
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,164
- − Property taxes
- −$2,309
- − Insurance
- −$1,175
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,494
- − Management
- −$2,494
- − Depreciation
- −$6,836
- Taxable income
- $2,704
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$649
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,708/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- North Warren Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3616960
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▲ 6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,309
- Composite
- 44.32/100
- National rank
- #2829
- State rank
- #352 of 590 in NY
Livability — Chestertown
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #1052
- US rank
- #20860
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Chestertown, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,023
Population outlook (Warren County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 62,372 people
- By 2030
- 60,491 · -3.0%
- By 2040
- 55,616 · -10.8%
- By 2050
- 50,437 · -19.1%
- By 2075
- 40,843 · -34.5%
- By 2100
- 31,159 · -50.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Asian 3% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · China, Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Chinese 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Warren
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.9% · R 52.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.9pp toward R · 2008: 2.6pp · 2024: -4.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+4.2 2020: R+0.2 2016: R+10.6 2012: D+2.1 2008: D+2.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 9.88%
- Current HPI
- 360.499
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
+0.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-06 Listed $235,000 Global MLS
- 2026-02-14 Relisted — Global MLS
- 2025-10-06 Pending — Global MLS
- 2025-07-22 Contingent — Global MLS
- 2025-07-22 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2025-04-23 Listed $235,000 Global MLS
Property tax history
+1.2%/yrLatest (2025): $2,309 · +8.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…