32 Alder Way Unit 4C · Whitefish, MT
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.74%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $918 – $1,706
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 88°F)
- 3 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 8/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 15 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.9/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$19,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Turnkey opportunity
- $158 HOA
- Community pool
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Building name: Sawtooth
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with annual fee; Annual association fee $1,900 (about $158.33/month); Association amenities: indoor pool, outdoor pool, spa/hot tub, playground, picnic area, laundry, security; Association fee includes insurance, grounds maintenance, sewer, snow removal, trash, water
Exterior
- Home design: Residential condominium; Multi/split levels
- Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Patio/porch details: see remarks
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 three-quarter bathroom
- Interior features: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator; Crawl space basement with concrete
- Laundry & utility: Community/association laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $20k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($21k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $20k).
- Recommended offer: $20k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 113.3% vs local median 0.4% in Whitefish — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#3 in MT, #951 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, health & safety A+, schools A; Watch: employment C-, cost of living F.
- Whitefish H S (town): math 50% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #41 of 339 in MT (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 410 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 281 units permitted in Flathead County in 2024 (80 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $138 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $597 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Flathead County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.5% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($20k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (22%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 13.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 113.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- 382.09%
- DSCR
- 18.00
- GRM
- 0.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.46% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 21.92×
- Total profit
- $116,552
- Equity at exit
- $2,967
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 50.57×
- Total profit
- $276,220
- Equity at exit
- $1,721
Cash invested: $5,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Montana
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 59937
- Rents YoY
- 5.5%
- Active inventory
- 410
- Price-to-rent
- 0.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,620 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$104
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$25 /mo · $298/yr
- Insurance
- −$8
- HOA
- −$158
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$550
- Net cashflow
- $1,774
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $4,975
- Closing costs
- $597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $158 · $1,896/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 33 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $19,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $19,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $19,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $19,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $19,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $19,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $19,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $19,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $19,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $19,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $19,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-05pricedays on market $19,900 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $23,000 Active 265 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $23,000 Active 264 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $23,000 Active 263 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $23,000 Active 262 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $23,000 Active 261 DOM
-
2026-04-10status Active
-
2026-04-09price $23,000
-
2026-03-23price $21,500
-
2025-11-14price $24,000
-
2025-09-08$25,500 Active
-
2025-08-20price $26,000
-
2025-05-13$28,000 Active
-
2024-11-22$32,000 Active
-
2024-09-20soldstatus Closed
-
2024-09-20soldstatus
-
2024-08-26historical Active Under Contract
-
2024-07-15$30,000 Active
-
2021-06-07soldstatus
-
2021-04-08soldstatus
-
2019-11-14soldstatus
-
2005-02-24soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 74% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 1/10 Low 3 d/yr ≥88°F today · 6 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 8/10 Severe 15 unhealthy d/yr today · 18 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,438
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,115
- − Property taxes
- −$298
- − Insurance
- −$100
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,515
- − Management
- −$2,515
- − HOA
- −$1,896
- − Depreciation
- −$579
- Taxable income
- $22,420
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$5,381
- After-tax cash flow
- $15,909/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Whitefish H S
- NCES district ID
- 3027790
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▲ 15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▲ 10.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,706
- Composite
- 48.7/100
- National rank
- #4559
- State rank
- #41 of 339 in MT
Livability — Whitefish
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #3
- US rank
- #951
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Flathead County · 94,027 people
- City population
- 15,114
- Metro
- Kalispell, MT
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,114
- Household income
- $75,428
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 518.0
Population outlook (Flathead County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 108,002 people
- By 2030
- 113,362 · +5.0%
- By 2040
- 122,245 · +13.2%
- By 2050
- 129,517 · +19.9%
- By 2075
- 146,737 · +35.9%
- By 2100
- 155,045 · +43.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 8% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Flathead
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.8) · D 31.8% · R 65.5% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.2pp toward R · 2008: -21.6pp · 2024: -33.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.8 2020: R+29.9 2016: R+36.5 2012: R+33.4 2008: R+21.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -300.57%
- Current HPI
- 256.7041
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.46%
- Metro
- Kalispell, MT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.41%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology / Analytics | 1 | $2B |
|
||
Price history
-23.3% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-10 Relisted — MRMLS
- 2026-04-09 Price Changed $23,000 MRMLS
- 2026-03-23 Price Changed $21,500 MRMLS
- 2025-11-14 Price Changed $24,000 MRMLS
- 2025-09-08 Listed $25,500 MRMLS
- 2025-08-20 Price Changed $26,000 MRMLS
- 2025-05-13 Listed $28,000 MRMLS
- 2024-11-22 Listed $32,000 MRMLS
- 2024-09-20 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2024-09-20 Sold (MLS) — MRMLS
- 2024-08-26 Contingent — MRMLS
- 2024-07-15 Listed $30,000 MRMLS
- 2021-06-07 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2021-04-08 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2019-11-14 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2005-02-24 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+3.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,825 · -14.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…