CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
1224 Chestnut St
B+ Composite 78.01
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.7/10.0

$65,000

1224 Chestnut St · Camden, NJ 08103
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,152 sqft · Townhouse public records · 16 Days on market
Built 1880 1,298 sqft lot Est $115k · 44% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Property being sold in "as-is" condition - Purchaser responsible for all City of Camden and smoke alarm certifications. Easy to show and sell!

Key facts

  • Built 1880
  • Listed 16 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Ownership: Fee simple

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; No septic system
  • Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Brick construction
  • Construction: Concrete perimeter foundation; Above-grade and below-grade structures
  • Exterior features: Not in a federal flood zone; Ground rent paid annually

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen (appliances not specified)
  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the first upper level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Interior features: Full basement; Living room; Dining room; Kitchen
  • Laundry & utility: Hot water: Other

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $791 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $64k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 22.1% vs local median 7.1% in Camden — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#262 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Camden City School District (urban): math 3% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #472 of 472 in NJ (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 86% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 64 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,018 units permitted in Camden County in 2024 (509 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,634/mo this rent would consume 53% of the median local household income ($37k/yr) (locally 1141% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-2.4%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Camden County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-2.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $14k; list at $65k implies a 364% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $64,025 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.51%
Cap rate
22.12%
Cash-on-cash
56.54%
DSCR
3.52
GRM
3.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$115,200
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1010 Kenwood Ave 0.20mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,088 (-6%) 1mo $75,000 $69 76
1211 Thurman St 0.43mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,173 (+2%) 1mo $86,458 $74 71
1623 Pulaski St 0.62mi 2/1.0 1,117 (-3%) 2mo $145,000 $130 65
1246 Everett St 0.42mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,081 (-6%) 1mo $108,333 $100 64
1248 Everett St 0.42mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,081 (-6%) 1mo $108,333 $100 64
1235 Thurman St 0.44mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,084 (-6%) 1mo $108,333 $100 64
636 Spruce St 0.54mi 2/1.0 1,078 (-6%) 2mo $67,500 $63 62
718 Spruce St 0.50mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,200 (+4%) 1mo $185,000 $154 62
1154 Thurman St 0.44mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,255 (+9%) 1mo $108,333 $86 59
1154 Lansdowne Ave 0.30mi 3/1.0 (+1) 995 (-14%) 1mo $86,458 $87 57
1085 Morton St 0.50mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,280 (+11%) 1mo $83,000 $65 53
806 Princeton Ave 0.51mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,272 (+10%) 2mo $226,000 $178 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-2.36% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
50.9%
Equity multiple
3.29×
Total profit
$41,667
Equity at exit
$11,567
10-year hold
IRR
55.7%
Equity multiple
6.66×
Total profit
$102,927
Equity at exit
$8,895

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08103

Home prices YoY
-1.4%
Active inventory
64
Price-to-rent
3.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,634 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax from tax record
$65 /mo · $782/yr
Insurance
$27
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$343
Net cashflow
$791

Break-even live

Break-even rent $632
Max offer price $65,000
Occupancy floor 47%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 28 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1455 Wildwood Ave Camden, NJ 3.0 1.5 1353 $1,900 $1.40 10d 1 0.24mi
1364 Kaighn Ave Camden, NJ 2.0 1.0 912 $1,485 $1.63 3d 1 0.30mi
1245 Empire Ave Unit 1 Camden, NJ 1.0 1.0 825 $1,500 $1.82 24d 1 0.31mi
1509 Park Blvd Camden, NJ 1.0–2.0 1.0 1075 $1,650 $1.53 24d 1 0.32mi
1502 S 9th St Camden, NJ 2.0 1.0 1050 $1,475 $1.40 20d 1 0.48mi
537 Newton Ave Camden, NJ 2.0 1.0 1092 $1,500 $1.37 19d 1 0.59mi
537 Newton Ave Camden, NJ 2.0 1.0 1092 $1,500 $1.37 13d 1 0.59mi
1532 Bradley Ave Unit A Camden, NJ 1.0 1.0 900 $1,175 $1.31 17d 1 0.59mi
708 Royden St Camden, NJ 3.0 1.0 1113 $1,595 $1.43 17d 1 0.60mi
727 Berkley St Camden, NJ 2.0 1.5 1008 $1,660 $1.65 24d 1 0.63mi
700 New St #102 Camden, NJ 1.0 1.0 820 $1,850 $2.26 3d 1 0.66mi
457 Mechanic St Camden, NJ 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,950 $1.62 19d 1 0.79mi
435 Mechanic St Camden, NJ 1.0 1.0 980 $1,350 $1.38 19d 1 0.82mi
609 Henry St Camden, NJ 3.0 1.0 1290 $1,600 $1.24 24d 1 0.89mi
697 Ferry Ave Camden, NJ 1.0 1.0 700 $1,120 $1.60 24d 1 0.92mi
440 Henry St Camden, NJ 3.0 1.5 1224 $2,200 $1.80 24d 1 0.95mi
951 S 3rd St Unit F2 Camden, NJ 1.0 1.0 800 $1,050 $1.31 24d 1 0.98mi
1759 S 4th St Unit B Camden, NJ 2.0 1.0 800 $1,500 $1.88 24d 1 1.11mi
141 Cooper Ave Oaklyn, NJ 2.0 1.0 850 $1,725 $2.03 24d 1 1.15mi
145 Cooper Ave Unit 1N Woodlynne, NJ 2.0 1.0 850 $1,725 $2.03 18d 1 1.16mi
209 Cedar Ave Oaklyn, NJ 2.0 1.0 1400 $1,800 $1.29 5d 1 1.17mi
209 Cedar Ave Oaklyn, NJ 2.0 1.0 1400 $1,500 $1.07 17d 1 1.17mi
527 Penn St Unit 1A Camden, NJ 2.0 1.0 800 $1,500 $1.88 19d 1 1.25mi
324 S 27th St Camden, NJ 3.0 1.0 1152 $1,900 $1.65 24d 1 1.37mi
2752 Mickle St Camden, NJ 3.0 1.0 1450 $1,850 $1.28 17d 1 1.40mi
196 White Horse Pike Collingswood, NJ 1.0 1.0 754 $1,488 $1.97 22d 1 1.46mi
1 Market St Camden, NJ 3.0 1.0–2.0 1190 $2,187 $1.84 2d 15 1.48mi
225 Haddon Ave Collingswood, NJ 2.0 2.0 1211 $3,372 $2.78 1d 6 1.48mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-05-19
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-19
    status Active
  3. 2026-05-19
    historical
  4. 2026-05-04
    listed $65,000 Active
  5. 2023-10-04
    status Pending
  6. 2023-10-04
    historical
  7. 2023-09-25
    price $45,000
  8. 2023-09-25
    status Active
  9. 2023-08-19
    historical Active Under Contract
  10. 2023-07-29
    listed $60,000 Active
  11. 2023-07-26
    historical
  12. 2018-11-05
    soldstatus $14,000 Closed 152-char remark
    Show marketing remark (152 chars)

    Property being sold in "as-is" condition - Purchaser responsible for all City of Camden and smoke alarm certifications. Easy to show and sell!

  13. 2018-10-12
    status Pending 152-char remark
    Show marketing remark (152 chars)

    Property being sold in "as-is" condition - Purchaser responsible for all City of Camden and smoke alarm certifications. Easy to show and sell!

  14. 2018-10-10
    listed $14,000 Active 152-char remark
    Show marketing remark (152 chars)

    Property being sold in "as-is" condition - Purchaser responsible for all City of Camden and smoke alarm certifications. Easy to show and sell!

  15. 2018-10-03
    historical
  16. 2018-07-19
    price $14,500
  17. 2018-04-03
    listed $24,500 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$782 · $65/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,200 · $100/mo
Expected delta
+$418/yr (+$35/mo · 53.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,604
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$782
− Insurance
−$1,122
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,568
− Management
−$1,568
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$9,031
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,167
After-tax cash flow
$7,325/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Camden City School District
NCES district ID
3402640
Math proficiency
3% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$25,845
Composite
6.85/100
National rank
#9981
State rank
#472 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Camden

Score
70/100
State rank
#262
US rank
#7721

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety A User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Camden, NJ
County
Camden County · 407,624 people
City population
20,865
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
Population (ZIP)
12,573
Household income
$36,793
Rent vs Own
65.2% rent · 34.8% own
Severe rent burden
1141.0

Population outlook (Camden County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
507,964 people
By 2030
502,182 · -1.1%
By 2040
485,602 · -4.4%
By 2050
465,630 · -8.3%
By 2075
419,986 · -17.3%
By 2100
369,492 · -27.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
Black 54% Hispanic / Latino 36% Two or more races 9% White 5% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 19% Dominican 4%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 1%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
75% English-only · Spanish 22% Tagalog/Filipino 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Camden

2024 margin
Strong D (+27.4) · D 63.0% · R 35.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-8.8pp toward R · 2008: 36.2pp · 2024: 27.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+27.4 2020: D+33.5 2016: D+32.4 2012: D+36.6 2008: D+36.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -2.36%
Current HPI
162.557
Rent YoY
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+165.3% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-19 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-19 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-04 Listed $65,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-10-04 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-10-04 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-09-25 Price Changed $45,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-09-25 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-08-19 Contingent BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-07-29 Listed $60,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-07-26 Coming Soon BRIGHT MLS
  • 2018-11-05 Sold (MLS) $14,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2018-10-12 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2018-10-10 Listed $14,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2018-10-03 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2018-07-19 Price Changed $14,500 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2018-04-03 Listed $24,500 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

-0.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $782 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…