826 Williams St · Calumet City, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.4/10.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$127,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Nice property
Key facts
- 7,501 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1975
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Fee simple ownership; Not currently leased; Possession at closing
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (owned); Approximately 1.5 garage/total parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story
- Construction: Brick construction; Built 41–50 years ago; Property built before 1978
- Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 52 x 150; Lot less than 0.25 acre; Asphalt and concrete surfaces
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator; Range hood
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on main level); Bedroom dimensions include 13 x 9 (master), 12 x 10, and 12 x 9
- Flooring: Carpet in living room; Other flooring in dining area
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: 5 total rooms; Crawl space basement; Kitchen/Dining combo
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry (9 x 5)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $127k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $467 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $127k).
- Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 8.2% in Calumet City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#330 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, crime D-.
- Thornton Fractional Twp Hsd 215 (suburban): math 9% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #563 of 620 in IL (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.2%/yr); 198 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $878 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.2% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 8 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $45k (26%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $27k; list at $127k implies a 370% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.34% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.75%
- DSCR
- 1.70
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $173,340
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1261 Balmoral Ave | 0.14mi | 3/1.5 | 1,055 (-1%) | 2mo | $172,000 | $163 | 88 |
| 1263 Mackinaw Ave | 0.24mi | 3/1.5 | 1,102 (+3%) | 1mo | $175,900 | $160 | 81 |
| 1269 Arthur St | 0.13mi | 3/1.5 | 999 (-7%) | 2mo | $168,000 | $168 | 79 |
| 1262 Greenbay Ave | 0.27mi | 3/1.5 | 1,102 (+3%) | 6mo | $160,000 | $145 | 76 |
| 1216 Balmoral Ave | 0.13mi | 3/1.5 | 1,177 (+10%) | 0mo | $135,000 | $115 | 75 |
| 1272 Burnham Ave | 0.33mi | 3/1.5 | 1,147 (+7%) | 3mo | $186,000 | $162 | 68 |
| 910 163rd St | 0.40mi | 3/1.5 | 1,160 (+8%) | 1mo | $150,000 | $129 | 65 |
| 1278 Balmoral Ave | 0.20mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,177 (+10%) | 3mo | $199,000 | $169 | 64 |
| 1382 Burnham Ave | 0.51mi | 3/1.5 | 1,147 (+7%) | 1mo | $105,000 | $92 | 62 |
| 1295 Hirsch Ave | 0.44mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,166 (+9%) | 3mo | $265,000 | $227 | 53 |
| 866 Greenbay Ave | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,163 (+9%) | 3mo | $200,000 | $172 | 48 |
| 1395 Freeland Ave | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 1,180 (+10%) | 6mo | $76,500 | $65 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.17% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.42×
- Total profit
- $14,769
- Equity at exit
- $18,936
- IRR
- 21.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.13×
- Total profit
- $75,764
- Equity at exit
- $10,981
Cash invested: $35,560 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60409
- Home prices YoY
- -27.6%
- Rents YoY
- 6.2%
- Active inventory
- 198
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,702 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$666
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$159 /mo · $1,905/yr
- Insurance
- −$53
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$357
- Net cashflow
- $467
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,750
- Closing costs
- $3,810
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1312 Gordon Ave Calumet City, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1134 | $1,600 | $1.41 | 7d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 1338 Wentworth Ave Unit 1338 Calumet City, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,430 | $1.79 | 24d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 34 Elizabeth St Calumet City, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1246 | $2,400 | $1.93 | 1d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1539 Wentworth Ave Unit 3W Calumet City, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,700 | $1.55 | 12d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 115 157th St Unit 3 Calumet City, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,350 | $1.69 | 24d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 3 Waltham St Hammond, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,095 | $0.91 | 24d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 5 Ruth St Unit 2W Hammond, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,250 | $1.39 | 12d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 3 Ruth St Hammond, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,250 | $1.39 | 24d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 671 Saginaw Ave Calumet City, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $2,276 | $1.82 | 10d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 407 Kenwood St Hammond, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $1,495 | $1.62 | 17d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 407 Kenwood St Hammond, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $1,495 | $1.62 | 24d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 3023 Bernice Rd Apt 2S Lansing, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,600 | $1.60 | 1d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 323 Memorial Dr Unit 2 Calumet City, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,600 | $1.60 | 24d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 3069 Bernice Rd Apt 2S Lansing, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,535 | $1.62 | 3d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 3069 Bernice Rd Apt 2N Lansing, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,535 | $1.62 | 20d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $127,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $127,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $127,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $127,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $127,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $127,000 Active 265 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $127,000 Active 264 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $127,000 Active 263 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $127,000 Active 260 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $127,000 Active 259 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $127,000 Active 258 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $127,000 Active 257 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $127,000 Active 256 DOM
-
2026-05-05status Active
-
2026-05-03historical Contingent - Continue to Show
-
2026-04-17price $127,000
-
2026-03-27price $132,000
-
2026-02-27price $136,000
-
2026-02-06price $142,000
-
2026-01-16price $146,000
-
2025-12-19price $151,000
-
2025-11-21price $155,000
-
2025-10-31price $160,000
-
2025-10-03price $165,000
-
2025-09-18$172,000 Active
-
2024-01-22historical $1,295
-
2024-01-20historical $1,295
-
2024-01-10price $1,295
-
2023-12-28price $1,320
-
2023-12-28price $1,320
-
2023-12-25price $1,495
-
2023-12-23price $1,495
-
2023-12-21price $1,575
-
2023-12-19price $1,575
-
2023-12-15price $1,625
-
2023-12-14price $1,625
-
2023-12-14$1,685
-
2023-12-09$1,685
-
2023-06-14historical
-
2023-06-12historical
-
2013-05-03soldstatus $27,000 Closed Sale 13-char remark
Show marketing remark (13 chars)
Nice property
-
2013-03-25historical Contingent 13-char remark
Show marketing remark (13 chars)
Nice property
-
2013-02-14price $35,000 Price Change 13-char remark
Show marketing remark (13 chars)
Nice property
-
2013-02-04$42,500 New 13-char remark
Show marketing remark (13 chars)
Nice property
-
2013-02-03historical
-
2013-01-02price Reactivated
-
2013-01-02status Reactivated
-
2012-11-26historical
-
2012-11-02New
-
2012-11-02historical
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,420
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,114
- − Property taxes
- −$1,905
- − Insurance
- −$635
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,634
- − Management
- −$1,634
- − Depreciation
- −$3,695
- Taxable income
- $3,805
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$913
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,687/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Thornton Fractional Twp Hsd 215
- NCES district ID
- 1738940
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 13% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,207
- Composite
- 10.27/100
- National rank
- #9793
- State rank
- #563 of 620 in IL
Livability — Calumet City
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #330
- US rank
- #6552
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Calumet City, IL
- County
- Cook County · 4,486,803 people
- City population
- 35,100
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,100
- Household income
- $55,369
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2415.0
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 74% Hispanic / Latino 15% White 7% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 14%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -75.01%
- Current HPI
- 197.2137
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.17%
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
||
Price history
+154.0% since first listed43 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-03 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-17 Price Changed $127,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-27 Price Changed $132,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-27 Price Changed $136,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-06 Price Changed $142,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-16 Price Changed $146,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-19 Price Changed $151,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-21 Price Changed $155,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-31 Price Changed $160,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-03 Price Changed $165,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-18 Listed $172,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-01-22 Rental Removed $1,295 RENTLY
- 2024-01-20 Rental Removed $1,295 RENT.
- 2024-01-10 Price Changed $1,295 RENTLY
- 2023-12-28 Price Changed $1,320 RENTLY
- 2023-12-28 Price Changed $1,320 RENT.
- 2023-12-25 Price Changed $1,495 RENTLY
- 2023-12-23 Price Changed $1,495 RENT.
- 2023-12-21 Price Changed $1,575 RENTLY
- 2023-12-19 Price Changed $1,575 RENT.
- 2023-12-15 Price Changed $1,625 RENTLY
- 2023-12-14 Price Changed $1,625 RENT.
- 2023-12-14 Listed for Rent $1,685 RENTLY
- 2023-12-09 Listed for Rent $1,685 RENT.
- 2023-06-14 Rental Removed — RENTLY
- 2023-06-12 Rental Removed — RENT.
- 2013-05-03 Sold (MLS) $27,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-03-25 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-02-14 Price Changed $35,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-02-04 Listed $42,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-02-03 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-01-02 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-01-02 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-11-26 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-11-02 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-11-02 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-10-13 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-07-17 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-04-07 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-08-16 Sold (Public Records) $83,000 Public Records
- 1990-11-13 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
- 1980-01-09 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.5%/yrLatest (2023): $7,233 · +39.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…