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826 Williams St
B Composite 74.33
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$127,000

826 Williams St · Calumet City, IL 60409
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,070 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1975 7,501 sqft lot Est $173k · 27% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Nice property

Key facts

  • 7,501 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1975

Tags

DETACHED 2-CAR GARAGE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Fee simple ownership; Not currently leased; Possession at closing
  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (owned); Approximately 1.5 garage/total parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story
  • Construction: Brick construction; Built 41–50 years ago; Property built before 1978
  • Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 52 x 150; Lot less than 0.25 acre; Asphalt and concrete surfaces

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator; Range hood
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on main level); Bedroom dimensions include 13 x 9 (master), 12 x 10, and 12 x 9
  • Flooring: Carpet in living room; Other flooring in dining area
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating
  • Interior features: 5 total rooms; Crawl space basement; Kitchen/Dining combo
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry (9 x 5)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $127k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $467 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $127k).
  • Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 8.2% in Calumet City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#330 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, crime D-.
  • Thornton Fractional Twp Hsd 215 (suburban): math 9% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #563 of 620 in IL (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.2%/yr); 198 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $878 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.2% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 8 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $45k (26%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $27k; list at $127k implies a 370% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $127,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.34%
Cap rate
10.70%
Cash-on-cash
15.75%
DSCR
1.70
GRM
6.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$173,340
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1261 Balmoral Ave 0.14mi 3/1.5 1,055 (-1%) 2mo $172,000 $163 88
1263 Mackinaw Ave 0.24mi 3/1.5 1,102 (+3%) 1mo $175,900 $160 81
1269 Arthur St 0.13mi 3/1.5 999 (-7%) 2mo $168,000 $168 79
1262 Greenbay Ave 0.27mi 3/1.5 1,102 (+3%) 6mo $160,000 $145 76
1216 Balmoral Ave 0.13mi 3/1.5 1,177 (+10%) 0mo $135,000 $115 75
1272 Burnham Ave 0.33mi 3/1.5 1,147 (+7%) 3mo $186,000 $162 68
910 163rd St 0.40mi 3/1.5 1,160 (+8%) 1mo $150,000 $129 65
1278 Balmoral Ave 0.20mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,177 (+10%) 3mo $199,000 $169 64
1382 Burnham Ave 0.51mi 3/1.5 1,147 (+7%) 1mo $105,000 $92 62
1295 Hirsch Ave 0.44mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,166 (+9%) 3mo $265,000 $227 53
866 Greenbay Ave 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,163 (+9%) 3mo $200,000 $172 48
1395 Freeland Ave 0.72mi 3/1.0 1,180 (+10%) 6mo $76,500 $65 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.17% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.1%
Equity multiple
1.42×
Total profit
$14,769
Equity at exit
$18,936
10-year hold
IRR
21.7%
Equity multiple
3.13×
Total profit
$75,764
Equity at exit
$10,981

Cash invested: $35,560 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60409

Home prices YoY
-27.6%
Rents YoY
6.2%
Active inventory
198
Price-to-rent
6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,702 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$666
Tax est. 1.5%
$159 /mo · $1,905/yr
Insurance
$53
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$357
Net cashflow
$467

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,111
Max offer price $127,000
Occupancy floor 68%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,750
Closing costs
$3,810
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 15 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1312 Gordon Ave Calumet City, IL 2.0 1.0 1134 $1,600 $1.41 7d 1 0.56mi
1338 Wentworth Ave Unit 1338 Calumet City, IL 2.0 1.0 800 $1,430 $1.79 24d 1 0.87mi
34 Elizabeth St Calumet City, IL 3.0 1.0 1246 $2,400 $1.93 1d 1 1.05mi
1539 Wentworth Ave Unit 3W Calumet City, IL 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,700 $1.55 12d 1 1.15mi
115 157th St Unit 3 Calumet City, IL 3.0 1.0 800 $1,350 $1.69 24d 1 1.16mi
3 Waltham St Hammond, IN 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,095 $0.91 24d 1 1.17mi
5 Ruth St Unit 2W Hammond, IN 2.0 1.0 900 $1,250 $1.39 12d 1 1.19mi
3 Ruth St Hammond, IN 2.0 1.0 900 $1,250 $1.39 24d 1 1.19mi
671 Saginaw Ave Calumet City, IL 3.0 2.0 1250 $2,276 $1.82 10d 1 1.27mi
407 Kenwood St Hammond, IN 2.0 1.0 920 $1,495 $1.62 17d 1 1.45mi
407 Kenwood St Hammond, IN 2.0 1.0 920 $1,495 $1.62 24d 1 1.45mi
3023 Bernice Rd Apt 2S Lansing, IL 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,600 $1.60 1d 1 1.45mi
323 Memorial Dr Unit 2 Calumet City, IL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,600 $1.60 24d 1 1.46mi
3069 Bernice Rd Apt 2S Lansing, IL 3.0 1.0 950 $1,535 $1.62 3d 1 1.46mi
3069 Bernice Rd Apt 2N Lansing, IL 3.0 1.0 950 $1,535 $1.62 20d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $127,000 Active 6 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $127,000 Active 5 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $127,000 Active 4 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $127,000 Active 3 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on marketlisting id $127,000 Active 1 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $127,000 Active 265 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $127,000 Active 264 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $127,000 Active 263 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $127,000 Active 260 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $127,000 Active 259 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $127,000 Active 258 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $127,000 Active 257 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $127,000 Active 256 DOM
  14. 2026-05-05
    status Active
  15. 2026-05-03
    historical Contingent - Continue to Show
  16. 2026-04-17
    price $127,000
  17. 2026-03-27
    price $132,000
  18. 2026-02-27
    price $136,000
  19. 2026-02-06
    price $142,000
  20. 2026-01-16
    price $146,000
  21. 2025-12-19
    price $151,000
  22. 2025-11-21
    price $155,000
  23. 2025-10-31
    price $160,000
  24. 2025-10-03
    price $165,000
  25. 2025-09-18
    listed $172,000 Active
  26. 2024-01-22
    historical $1,295
  27. 2024-01-20
    historical $1,295
  28. 2024-01-10
    price $1,295
  29. 2023-12-28
    price $1,320
  30. 2023-12-28
    price $1,320
  31. 2023-12-25
    price $1,495
  32. 2023-12-23
    price $1,495
  33. 2023-12-21
    price $1,575
  34. 2023-12-19
    price $1,575
  35. 2023-12-15
    price $1,625
  36. 2023-12-14
    price $1,625
  37. 2023-12-14
    listed $1,685
  38. 2023-12-09
    listed $1,685
  39. 2023-06-14
    historical
  40. 2023-06-12
    historical
  41. 2013-05-03
    soldstatus $27,000 Closed Sale 13-char remark
    Show marketing remark (13 chars)

    Nice property

  42. 2013-03-25
    historical Contingent 13-char remark
    Show marketing remark (13 chars)

    Nice property

  43. 2013-02-14
    price $35,000 Price Change 13-char remark
    Show marketing remark (13 chars)

    Nice property

  44. 2013-02-04
    listed $42,500 New 13-char remark
    Show marketing remark (13 chars)

    Nice property

  45. 2013-02-03
    historical
  46. 2013-01-02
    price Reactivated
  47. 2013-01-02
    status Reactivated
  48. 2012-11-26
    historical
  49. 2012-11-02
    listed New
  50. 2012-11-02
    historical

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,420
− Mortgage interest
−$7,114
− Property taxes
−$1,905
− Insurance
−$635
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,634
− Management
−$1,634
− Depreciation
−$3,695
Taxable income
$3,805
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$913
After-tax cash flow
$4,687/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Thornton Fractional Twp Hsd 215
NCES district ID
1738940
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
13% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$48,207
Composite
10.27/100
National rank
#9793
State rank
#563 of 620 in IL

Livability — Calumet City

Score
71/100
State rank
#330
US rank
#6552

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Calumet City, IL
County
Cook County · 4,486,803 people
City population
35,100
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
35,100
Household income
$55,369
Rent vs Own
44.3% rent · 55.7% own
Severe rent burden
2415.0

Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,347,519 people
By 2030
5,357,703 · +0.2%
By 2040
5,324,924 · -0.4%
By 2050
5,230,762 · -2.2%
By 2075
4,785,735 · -10.5%
By 2100
4,188,836 · -21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (74%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 74% Hispanic / Latino 15% White 7% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 14%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
83% English-only · Spanish 14%

Political lean MEDSL · Cook

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -75.01%
Current HPI
197.2137
Rent YoY
▲ 6.17%
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+154.0% since first listed
43 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-03 Contingent MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-17 Price Changed $127,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-27 Price Changed $132,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-27 Price Changed $136,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-06 Price Changed $142,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-16 Price Changed $146,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-19 Price Changed $151,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-21 Price Changed $155,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-31 Price Changed $160,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-03 Price Changed $165,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-18 Listed $172,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-01-22 Rental Removed $1,295 RENTLY
  • 2024-01-20 Rental Removed $1,295 RENT.
  • 2024-01-10 Price Changed $1,295 RENTLY
  • 2023-12-28 Price Changed $1,320 RENTLY
  • 2023-12-28 Price Changed $1,320 RENT.
  • 2023-12-25 Price Changed $1,495 RENTLY
  • 2023-12-23 Price Changed $1,495 RENT.
  • 2023-12-21 Price Changed $1,575 RENTLY
  • 2023-12-19 Price Changed $1,575 RENT.
  • 2023-12-15 Price Changed $1,625 RENTLY
  • 2023-12-14 Price Changed $1,625 RENT.
  • 2023-12-14 Listed for Rent $1,685 RENTLY
  • 2023-12-09 Listed for Rent $1,685 RENT.
  • 2023-06-14 Rental Removed RENTLY
  • 2023-06-12 Rental Removed RENT.
  • 2013-05-03 Sold (MLS) $27,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-03-25 Contingent MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-02-14 Price Changed $35,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-02-04 Listed $42,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-02-03 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-01-02 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-01-02 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-11-26 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-11-02 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-11-02 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-10-13 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-07-17 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-04-07 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2004-08-16 Sold (Public Records) $83,000 Public Records
  • 1990-11-13 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
  • 1980-01-09 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.5%/yr

Latest (2023): $7,233 · +39.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…