3806 W Martin · San Antonio, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 77.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.3/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.0/15.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- Rent growth +4.4/5.0
- DSCR +4.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
$93,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Cozy 2 bedroom home on the city's west side. This home features a very nice driveway. Brand new cabinets. The inside was completely redone and move in ready.
Key facts
- Hvac mini-split unit
- Single story
- 4,617 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $93k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $0 ($3/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $90k (2.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $90k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 3.8% in San Antonio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
- San Antonio ISD (urban): math 12% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #805 of 826 in TX (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Ogden El (math 4% / reading 9%, grade F, #4,313 of 4,322 statewide, top 100%, 384 students, 97% FRL, charter); Fox Technical H S (math 8% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,260 of 1,632 statewide, top 77%, 499 students, 87% FRL, charter).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.7%/yr); 154 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $10k of equity ($643 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 7.7% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($90k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 77% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.01%
- DSCR
- 1.00
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $92,064
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3806 W Martin | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (0%) | 1mo | $93,000 | $138 | 99 |
| 223 SW 19th St | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 | 680 (+1%) | 13mo | $72,000 | $106 | 69 |
| 1418 Rivas | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 | 696 (+4%) | 2mo | $139,900 | $201 | 68 |
| 511 N Spring St | 0.36mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 658 (-2%) | 10mo | $90,000 | $137 | 67 |
| 2039 Lyons | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (0%) | 10mo | $65,000 | $97 | 64 |
| 919 Monclova Aly | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 650 (-3%) | 8mo | $94,900 | $146 | 62 |
| 1524 Delgado | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (+7%) | 16mo | $75,000 | $104 | 54 |
| 1809 Arbor | 0.42mi | 2/1.0 | 576 (-14%) | 4mo | $99,000 | $172 | 53 |
| 1414 Rivas | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 | 600 (-11%) | 9mo | $85,000 | $142 | 49 |
| 1710 Ruiz St | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 | 757 (+13%) | 18mo | $90,000 | $119 | 43 |
| 2230 Poplar | 0.69mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 587 (-13%) | 8mo | $49,900 | $85 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 7.73% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 26.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.12×
- Total profit
- $55,229
- Equity at exit
- $83,782
- IRR
- 24.4%
- Equity multiple
- 7.67×
- Total profit
- $173,787
- Equity at exit
- $180,679
Cash invested: $26,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78207
- Home prices YoY
- 15.2%
- Rents YoY
- 7.7%
- Active inventory
- 154
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $904 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$488
- Tax from tax record
- −$187 /mo · $2,246/yr
- Insurance
- −$39
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$190
- Net cashflow
- $0
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,250
- Closing costs
- $2,790
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1820 Ruiz St San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 504 | $750 | $1.49 | 2d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 2503 Arbor Pl San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $800 | $1.07 | 43d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 1218 NW 23rd St Unit 2 San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 10.5 | 548 | $950 | $1.73 | 23d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 321 N Chupaderas St Unit 101 San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 410 | $790 | $1.93 | 43d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1033 Rivas St #301 San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 640 | $895 | $1.40 | 10d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 1033 Rivas St #301 San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 640 | $925 | $1.45 | 43d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 3017 Colima St San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 480 | $800 | $1.67 | 43d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 2721 Colima St San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,250 | $1.79 | 14d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 816 Rivas St Unit C San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $750 | $1.50 | 43d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 816 Rivas St San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $750 | $1.50 | 4d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 816 Rivas St San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $750 | $1.50 | 16d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 816 Rivas St Unit A San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $799 | $1.23 | 23d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 107 Beso Ln Unit 107-BL San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 528 | $850 | $1.61 | 23d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 107 Jesus Aly Unit 4 San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 400 | $800 | $2.00 | 4d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 107 Jesus Aly Unit 1 San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 450 | $700 | $1.56 | 17d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 1750 W Craig Pl San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 420 | $990 | $2.36 | 43d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-04-14status Pending
-
2026-04-04historical Active Option
-
2026-02-13$93,000 New
-
2018-05-09soldstatus
-
2018-05-08soldstatus Sold 157-char remark
Show marketing remark (157 chars)
Cozy 2 bedroom home on the city's west side. This home features a very nice driveway. Brand new cabinets. The inside was completely redone and move in ready.
-
2018-04-20status Pending 157-char remark
Show marketing remark (157 chars)
Cozy 2 bedroom home on the city's west side. This home features a very nice driveway. Brand new cabinets. The inside was completely redone and move in ready.
-
2018-04-02historical Active Option 157-char remark
Show marketing remark (157 chars)
Cozy 2 bedroom home on the city's west side. This home features a very nice driveway. Brand new cabinets. The inside was completely redone and move in ready.
-
2018-03-07$74,000 New 157-char remark
Show marketing remark (157 chars)
Cozy 2 bedroom home on the city's west side. This home features a very nice driveway. Brand new cabinets. The inside was completely redone and move in ready.
-
2012-12-12soldstatus
-
2012-12-11soldstatus 269-char remark
Show marketing remark (269 chars)
CALL CSS FOR INSTRUCTIONS: Please Use First American Title Company: Rita Desselle | Escrow Officer | Escrow Asst.: Kim Aplet | Request Seller's Disclosure Notice. Will be in Associated Docs. APPOINTMENT REQUIRED. Easy to show. Proof of funds required with all offers.
-
2012-11-20$30,000 269-char remark
Show marketing remark (269 chars)
CALL CSS FOR INSTRUCTIONS: Please Use First American Title Company: Rita Desselle | Escrow Officer | Escrow Asst.: Kim Aplet | Request Seller's Disclosure Notice. Will be in Associated Docs. APPOINTMENT REQUIRED. Easy to show. Proof of funds required with all offers.
-
2012-11-20historical 269-char remark
Show marketing remark (269 chars)
CALL CSS FOR INSTRUCTIONS: Please Use First American Title Company: Rita Desselle | Escrow Officer | Escrow Asst.: Kim Aplet | Request Seller's Disclosure Notice. Will be in Associated Docs. APPOINTMENT REQUIRED. Easy to show. Proof of funds required with all offers.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,246 · $187/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,246 · $187/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 77% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,844
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,209
- − Property taxes
- −$2,246
- − Insurance
- −$465
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$868
- − Management
- −$868
- − Depreciation
- −$2,705
- Taxable loss
- −$1,517
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$364
- After-tax cash flow
- $367/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- San Antonio ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4838730
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 22% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,952
- Composite
- 13.57/100
- National rank
- #9512
- State rank
- #805 of 826 in TX
Livability — San Antonio
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #31
- US rank
- #1616
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- San Antonio, TX
- County
- Bexar County · 1,990,555 people
- City population
- 1,806,925
- Metro
- San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 55,474
- Household income
- $32,472
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2789.0
Population outlook (Bexar County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,336,851 people
- By 2030
- 2,560,728 · +9.6%
- By 2040
- 3,020,569 · +29.3%
- By 2050
- 3,493,522 · +49.5%
- By 2075
- 4,668,459 · +99.8%
- By 2100
- 5,533,242 · +136.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 88% Two or more races 41% White 6% Black 5% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 79%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 39% English-only · Spanish 60%
Political lean MEDSL · Bexar
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.8) · D 54.3% · R 44.6% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.2pp toward D · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: 9.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.8 2020: D+18.2 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+5.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 34.92%
- Current HPI
- 264.7559
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.73%
- Metro
- San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+210.0% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-14 Pending — LERA
- 2026-04-04 Contingent — LERA
- 2026-02-13 Listed $93,000 LERA
- 2018-05-09 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2018-05-08 Sold (MLS) — LERA
- 2018-04-20 Pending — LERA
- 2018-04-02 Contingent — LERA
- 2018-03-07 Listed $74,000 LERA
- 2012-12-12 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2012-12-11 Sold (MLS) — LERA
- 2012-11-20 Listing Removed — LERA
- 2012-11-20 Listed $30,000 LERA
Property tax history
+7.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,246 · -7.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…