312 S Oleana Dr · Gonzales, LA
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.61%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.3/30.0
- ARV discount +6.1/15.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- DSCR +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.2/10.0
$246,999
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3 bedroom, 2 bath home that is move-in ready! This property features a spacious kitchen with a corner sink, plenty of cabinet space, and double pantries for extra storage. The large primary bedroom includes a recessed ceiling and a private bath for added comfort. All bedrooms offer walk-in closets, providing great storage throughout. Outside, enjoy a fenced backyard along with a 2-car rear carport and additional parking space for a boat or motorhome. Conveniently connected to city utilities.
Key facts
- Spacious kitchen
- Rear carport
- Corner sink
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $247k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-133 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $223k (9.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $178k (28.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $178k (28.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 4.5% in Gonzales — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#135 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
- Ascension Parish (suburban): math 48% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #7 of 98 in LA (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 579 units permitted in Ascension Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $9k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $7k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Ascension County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($232k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $172k; 44% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.72% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.64%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.31%
- DSCR
- 0.90
- GRM
- 11.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $239,500
- List price
- $246,999
- Delta
- 3.13%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 216 S Marchand Ave | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,259 (-3%) | 1mo | $214,000 | $170 | 76 |
| 628 S Oleana Dr | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,436 (+10%) | 0mo | $240,000 | $167 | 72 |
| 1020 S Stacy Ave | 0.52mi | 3/1.5 | 1,335 (+3%) | 2mo | $204,900 | $153 | 68 |
| 1026 S Arceneaux Ave | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 | 1,250 (-4%) | 2mo | $155,000 | $124 | 64 |
| 318 W Ascension St | 0.67mi | 3/1.5 | 1,337 (+3%) | 1mo | $128,000 | $96 | 61 |
| 926 Meadow Crossing Dr | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,424 (+10%) | 2mo | $273,865 | $192 | 54 |
| 926 Meadow Crossing Dr | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,424 (+10%) | 2mo | $273,865 | $192 | 54 |
| 1033 S Darla Ave | 0.63mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,398 (+8%) | 1mo | $205,000 | $147 | 52 |
| 1124 S Stacy Ave | 0.58mi | 3/1.5 | 1,171 (-10%) | 4mo | $199,900 | $171 | 52 |
| 931 N Anita St | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 1,192 (-8%) | 2mo | $175,000 | $147 | 51 |
| 1437 Cypress Grove Ave | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,424 (+10%) | 1mo | $269,320 | $189 | 50 |
| 1437 Cypress Grove Ave | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,424 (+10%) | 1mo | $269,320 | $189 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.31×
- Total profit
- $21,181
- Equity at exit
- $111,061
- IRR
- 8.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.26×
- Total profit
- $87,245
- Equity at exit
- $171,159
Cash invested: $69,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70707
- Active inventory
- 1
- Price-to-rent
- 11.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,779 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,295
- Tax from tax record
- −$141 /mo · $1,690/yr
- Insurance
- −$103
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$374
- Net cashflow
- $-133
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $61,750
- Closing costs
- $7,410
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39511 Auster Ln Gonzales, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1461 | $2,150 | $1.47 | 14d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 1018 S Mire Ave Gonzales, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1106 | $1,350 | $1.22 | 43d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 2137 S Commerce Ave #113 Gonzales, LA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1800 | $1,650 | $0.92 | 43d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 12375 E Landry Rd Unit 20 Gonzales, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,193 | $0.99 | 43d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 2020 S Veterans Blvd Gonzales, LA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 895 | $1,653 | $1.85 | 14d | 14 | 1.30mi |
| 2009 S Veterans Blvd Gonzales, LA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1191 | $2,397 | $2.01 | 14d | 13 | 1.34mi |
| 808 S Audubon Place Ave Gonzales, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1223 | $2,000 | $1.64 | 43d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 2419 W Orice Roth Rd Gonzales, LA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1084 | $1,613 | $1.49 | 14d | 19 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 35 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $246,999 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $246,999 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $246,999 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-15price $246,999 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $247,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $247,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $247,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $247,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $247,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $247,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $247,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $247,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $247,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $247,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $247,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $247,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-05-15price $247,000 496-char remark
Show marketing remark (496 chars)
3 bedroom, 2 bath home that is move-in ready! This property features a spacious kitchen with a corner sink, plenty of cabinet space, and double pantries for extra storage. The large primary bedroom includes a recessed ceiling and a private bath for added comfort. All bedrooms offer walk-in closets, providing great storage throughout. Outside, enjoy a fenced backyard along with a 2-car rear carport and additional parking space for a boat or motorhome. Conveniently connected to city utilities.
-
2026-05-15price $247,000 496-char remark
Show marketing remark (496 chars)
3 bedroom, 2 bath home that is move-in ready! This property features a spacious kitchen with a corner sink, plenty of cabinet space, and double pantries for extra storage. The large primary bedroom includes a recessed ceiling and a private bath for added comfort. All bedrooms offer walk-in closets, providing great storage throughout. Outside, enjoy a fenced backyard along with a 2-car rear carport and additional parking space for a boat or motorhome. Conveniently connected to city utilities.
-
2026-05-05price $251,000 496-char remark
Show marketing remark (496 chars)
3 bedroom, 2 bath home that is move-in ready! This property features a spacious kitchen with a corner sink, plenty of cabinet space, and double pantries for extra storage. The large primary bedroom includes a recessed ceiling and a private bath for added comfort. All bedrooms offer walk-in closets, providing great storage throughout. Outside, enjoy a fenced backyard along with a 2-car rear carport and additional parking space for a boat or motorhome. Conveniently connected to city utilities.
-
2026-05-05price $251,000 496-char remark
Show marketing remark (496 chars)
3 bedroom, 2 bath home that is move-in ready! This property features a spacious kitchen with a corner sink, plenty of cabinet space, and double pantries for extra storage. The large primary bedroom includes a recessed ceiling and a private bath for added comfort. All bedrooms offer walk-in closets, providing great storage throughout. Outside, enjoy a fenced backyard along with a 2-car rear carport and additional parking space for a boat or motorhome. Conveniently connected to city utilities.
-
2026-04-01$255,000 Active 496-char remark
Show marketing remark (496 chars)
3 bedroom, 2 bath home that is move-in ready! This property features a spacious kitchen with a corner sink, plenty of cabinet space, and double pantries for extra storage. The large primary bedroom includes a recessed ceiling and a private bath for added comfort. All bedrooms offer walk-in closets, providing great storage throughout. Outside, enjoy a fenced backyard along with a 2-car rear carport and additional parking space for a boat or motorhome. Conveniently connected to city utilities.
-
2026-04-01$255,000 Active 496-char remark
Show marketing remark (496 chars)
3 bedroom, 2 bath home that is move-in ready! This property features a spacious kitchen with a corner sink, plenty of cabinet space, and double pantries for extra storage. The large primary bedroom includes a recessed ceiling and a private bath for added comfort. All bedrooms offer walk-in closets, providing great storage throughout. Outside, enjoy a fenced backyard along with a 2-car rear carport and additional parking space for a boat or motorhome. Conveniently connected to city utilities.
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2019-09-19soldstatus $171,900
-
2019-09-16soldstatus Sold
-
2019-08-02status Pending
-
2019-07-29$169,900 Active
-
2019-07-29$169,900
-
2013-04-19soldstatus $145,000
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2013-04-18soldstatus
-
2013-01-18$149,900
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2013-01-18$149,900
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2003-03-24soldstatus $111,900
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2002-09-27soldstatus
-
2001-05-31$111,900
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2001-05-31$111,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,690 · $141/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,690 · $141/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X · 61% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,352
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,836
- − Property taxes
- −$1,690
- − Insurance
- −$1,235
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,708
- − Management
- −$1,708
- − Depreciation
- −$7,185
- Taxable loss
- −$6,011
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,443
- After-tax cash flow
- $-158/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ascension Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200090
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -31.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -25.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,423
- Composite
- 47.0/100
- National rank
- #2347
- State rank
- #7 of 98 in LA
Livability — Gonzales
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #135
- US rank
- #12429
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gonzales, LA
Population outlook (Ascension County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 145,480 people
- By 2030
- 158,329 · +8.8%
- By 2040
- 183,741 · +26.3%
- By 2050
- 207,615 · +42.7%
- By 2075
- 260,244 · +78.9%
- By 2100
- 289,576 · +99.0%
Not yet ingested
- Political lean
- —
- Race & ethnicity
- —
- Common origin
- —
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
+120.7% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $247,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $247,000 GSREIN
- 2026-05-05 Price Changed $251,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-05-05 Price Changed $251,000 GSREIN
- 2026-04-01 Listed $255,000 GSREIN
- 2026-04-01 Listed $255,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2019-09-19 Sold (Public Records) $171,900 Public Records
- 2019-09-16 Sold (MLS) — GBRMLS
- 2019-08-02 Pending — GBRMLS
- 2019-07-29 Listed $169,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2019-07-29 Listed $169,900 GBRMLS
- 2013-04-19 Sold (Public Records) $145,000 Public Records
- 2013-04-18 Sold (MLS) — GBRMLS
- 2013-01-18 Listed $149,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2013-01-18 Listed $149,900 GBRMLS
- 2003-03-24 Sold (Public Records) $111,900 Public Records
- 2002-09-27 Sold (MLS) — GBRMLS
- 2001-05-31 Listed $111,900 GBRMLS
- 2001-05-31 Listed $111,900 AcadianaMLS
Property tax history
+2.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,690 · -1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…