204 W Coal St · Buckner, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.7/30.0
- DSCR +8.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Livability +2.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
$97,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Cozy and well loved home, right in front of the Veterans Park in Buckner. It's a 2 BR 1 bath home with a 2nd Living Space that this family used as a Family Room, but could also be a 3rd BR. Outside the wrap around deck and fenced yard allows ample entertaining space, plus worry free play for your kids or pets. The Attached 2 Car Garage for cars and your belongings, and the 2nd 2 car garage was used as a shop, but imagine buying that car you've always dreamed of having that car you had back in high school. This home also has a 1 BR Mother In Law Suite at the back of the 2nd garage, that has a LR, kitchen, BR, and bath.
Key facts
- Fenced yard
- Wrap around deck
- 2nd living space
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Living area per appraiser; Lot size recorded as 0.25–0.49 acre; Parcel number 0720365004
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: Attached heated garage; 4 total parking spaces (4 in garage)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer (also lists septic tank); 200+ amp electric service
- Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story; Fee simple ownership; Property over 100 years old; Built before 1978
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Deck; Porch; Chain link fencing; Corner, level lot (approx. 119 x 99)
Interior
- Kitchen: Main-level kitchen
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level)
- Flooring: Carpet throughout primary living areas; Vinyl flooring in some rooms; Linoleum in laundry
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating with baseboard units; Central air plus wall air unit(s)
- Interior features: First-floor bedroom; 8 total rooms; Window treatments and drapes; Pull-down attic stair; Unfinished partial block basement
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry (common area)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $97k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $231 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $97k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 51/100 on livability (#1,323 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Christopher USD 99 (town): math 9% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #520 of 620 in IL (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 17 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($671 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Franklin County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $26k; list at $97k implies a 273% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.22%
- DSCR
- 1.45
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $59,787
- List price
- $97,000
- Delta
- 62.24%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 12 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 215 W Buckner St | 0.26mi | 2/1.0 | 1,323 (+10%) | 7mo | $51,546 | $39 | 66 |
| 215 W Buckner St | 0.26mi | 2/1.0 | 1,323 (+10%) | 7mo | $51,546 | $39 | 66 |
| 108 N Newton St | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 | 1,100 (-9%) | 9mo | $35,000 | $32 | 60 |
| 6984 Washington St | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,170 (-3%) | 11mo | $220,000 | $188 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.97×
- Total profit
- $26,375
- Equity at exit
- $43,615
- IRR
- 18.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.70×
- Total profit
- $73,204
- Equity at exit
- $67,217
Cash invested: $27,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62819
- Active inventory
- 3
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,023 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$509
- Tax from tax record
- −$28 /mo · $334/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$215
- Net cashflow
- $231
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,250
- Closing costs
- $2,910
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 6 events
-
2021-08-06historical
-
2021-08-06historical
-
2002-09-27soldstatus $26,000
-
2002-04-02$30,000
-
2002-01-17historical
-
2000-10-30historical
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $334 · $28/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,268 · $106/mo
- Expected delta
- +$934/yr (+$78/mo · 279.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,277
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,434
- − Property taxes
- −$334
- − Insurance
- −$485
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$982
- − Management
- −$982
- − Depreciation
- −$2,822
- Taxable income
- $1,238
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$297
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,478/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Christopher USD 99
- NCES district ID
- 1700217
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,947
- Composite
- 12.67/100
- National rank
- #9606
- State rank
- #520 of 620 in IL
Livability — Buckner
- Score
- 51/100
- State rank
- #1323
- US rank
- #25265
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Buckner, IL
- City population
- 290
- Population (ZIP)
- 290
Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 37,954 people
- By 2030
- 36,828 · -3.0%
- By 2040
- 34,452 · -9.2%
- By 2050
- 31,855 · -16.1%
- By 2075
- 25,171 · -33.7%
- By 2100
- 18,462 · -51.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (97%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 97% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 10% Romanian 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Franklin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+50.6) · D 24.1% · R 74.6% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -47.8pp toward R · 2008: -2.8pp · 2024: -50.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+50.6 2020: R+47.5 2016: R+45.3 2012: R+16.8 2008: R+2.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
-13.3% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-08-06 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-08-06 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2002-09-27 Sold (MLS) $26,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2002-04-02 Listed $30,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2002-01-17 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2000-10-30 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-3.0%/yrLatest (2024): $334 · -8.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…