25051 SW 129th Ct · Princeton, FL
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 33 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.4/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.5/10.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$286,888
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
2 STORY SINGLE FAMILY HOME WITH 3 BEDROOMS-ALL UPSTAIRS, 2.5 BATHROOMS, FAMILY ROOM, FORMAL DINING ROOM, LIVING ROOM, SCREENED REAR COVERED TERRACE. TILED 1ST FLOOR & 2ND FLOOR ALL CARPETED-(REPLACED 2012), DISHWASHER REPLACED 2013, REFRIGERATOR REPLACED IN 2012, AC UNIT REPLACED 2012, ROOF REPLACED IN 2006. 1 CAR GARAGE. FENCED LOT. THIS IS A GOOD SOLID HOME.
Key facts
- Covered terrace
- Spacious kitchen
- Private yard
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Association fee $33 monthly
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; Garage door opener; 1-car garage (covered)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: 2-story home; Faces west
- Construction: Block construction; Shingle roof; Resale property
- Exterior features: Exterior lighting; Paved road access; Less than quarter acre lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: Upper-level primary
- Flooring: Hardwood; Tile; Wood
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: First floor entry; Upper-level primary bedroom; Family room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $287k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $372 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $287k).
- Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 3.1% in Princeton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#468 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime B+, health & safety B+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F.
- Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.0%/yr); 586 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,103/mo this rent would consume 51% of the median local household income ($73k/yr) (locally 3351% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $158k; list at $287k implies a 82% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→33/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.55%
- DSCR
- 1.25
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $575,092
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24965 SW 128th Pl | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,565 (-12%) | 11mo | $470,000 | $300 | 66 |
| 13241 SW 251st Ln | 0.33mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,785 (-0%) | 22mo | $575,000 | $322 | 57 |
| 25355 SW 135th Ct | 0.71mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,789 (+0%) | 6mo | $514,000 | $287 | 57 |
| 24950 SW 127th Ct | 0.22mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,590 (-11%) | 12mo | $530,000 | $333 | 57 |
| 13432 SW 255th Ter | 0.65mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,685 (-6%) | 18mo | $548,900 | $326 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.60×
- Total profit
- $-31,803
- Equity at exit
- $42,776
- IRR
- -7.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.60×
- Total profit
- $-31,923
- Equity at exit
- $24,805
Cash invested: $80,329 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33032
- Home prices YoY
- -29.8%
- Rents YoY
- -1.0%
- Active inventory
- 586
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,103 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,504
- Tax from tax record
- −$423 /mo · $5,074/yr
- Insurance
- −$120
- HOA
- −$33
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$652
- Net cashflow
- $372
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $71,722
- Closing costs
- $8,607
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24700 SW 129th Ave Homestead, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1895 | $2,680 | $1.41 | 20d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 12762 SW 248th St Homestead, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1686 | $2,800 | $1.66 | 24d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 13344 Tropical Ave Princeton, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1463 | $3,000 | $2.05 | 24d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 13344 Tropical Ave Princeton, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1463 | $2,650 | $1.81 | 2d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 12875 SW 243rd Ter Homestead, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1548 | $2,700 | $1.74 | 24d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 13063 SW 256th St Homestead, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1527 | $3,600 | $2.36 | 24d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 12846 SW 243rd St Homestead, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1872 | $3,200 | $1.71 | 24d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 12838 SW 243rd St Unit 12838 Princeton, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1648 | $2,650 | $1.61 | 7d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 13381 SW 251st Ter Unit 201 Homestead, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1327 | $1,950 | $1.47 | 24d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 12476 SW 248th St Unit 7 Princeton, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1416 | $2,800 | $1.98 | 24d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 23503 SW 129th Path Unit 23503 Princeton, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1331 | $2,900 | $2.18 | 7d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 12841 SW 243rd St Unit 12841 Homestead, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1892 | $3,100 | $1.64 | 22d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 12841 SW 243rd St Unit 12841 Homestead, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1892 | $3,200 | $1.69 | 18d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 25265 SW 134th Ave #4 Homestead, FL | 4.0 | 3.5 | 1600 | $2,800 | $1.75 | 24d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 12476 SW 248th St #5 Princeton, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1416 | $2,800 | $1.98 | 7d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 12476 SW 248th St #5 Princeton, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1416 | $2,800 | $1.98 | 15d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 12460 SW 248th St #8 Princeton, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1323 | $2,599 | $1.96 | 4d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 12460 SW 248th St #8 Princeton, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1323 | $2,599 | $1.96 | 12d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 12328 SW 251st Ter Homestead, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1896 | $3,900 | $2.06 | 24d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 12328 SW 251st Ter Homestead, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1896 | $4,100 | $2.16 | 12d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 12344 SW 255th Ter Homestead, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1766 | $3,250 | $1.84 | 20d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 12344 SW 255th Ter Homestead, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1766 | $3,250 | $1.84 | 24d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 13452 SW 256th Ter Homestead, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1510 | $3,800 | $2.52 | 24d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 25912 SW 133rd Pl Homestead, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1289 | $3,999 | $3.10 | 24d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 13869 SW 261st Ter Unit 13835 Princeton, FL | 4.0 | 3.5 | 1436 | $3,900 | $2.72 | 18d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 26161 SW 130th Ave Homestead, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1602 | $4,100 | $2.56 | 24d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 13040 SW 262nd Ln Homestead, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1666 | $3,100 | $1.86 | 24d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 26205 SW 133rd Ct Homestead, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1602 | $3,200 | $2.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 13867 SW 261st Ter Princeton, FL | 4.0 | 3.5 | 1436 | $3,750 | $2.61 | 24d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 13875 SW 261st Ter Princeton, FL | 4.0 | 3.5 | 1436 | $3,750 | $2.61 | 24d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 24705 SW 129th Ave Unit 114 Princeton, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1466 | $2,500 | $1.71 | 24d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 25450 SW 137th Ave Homestead, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2000 | $2,900 | $1.45 | 24d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 23464 SW 129th Ave Unit 23464 Goulds, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1331 | $2,800 | $2.10 | 5d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 23440 SW 129th Ave Homestead, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1331 | $2,450 | $1.84 | 24d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 11962 SW 247th Ter Unit 11962 Homestead, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1820 | $2,900 | $1.59 | 24d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 26508 SW 128th Ct Homestead, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1363 | $2,800 | $2.05 | 5d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 26508 SW 128th Ct Homestead, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1363 | $2,800 | $2.05 | 10d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 24600 SW 119th Pl Homestead, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1697 | $3,200 | $1.89 | 15d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 24600 SW 119th Pl Princeton, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1697 | $3,200 | $1.89 | 16d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 11934 SW 247th Ter Unit 11934 Princeton, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1695 | $2,700 | $1.59 | 24d | 1 | 0.98mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $33 · $396/yr
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-05-16status Pending
-
2026-05-13status Active
-
2026-04-30status Active
-
2026-03-15status Pending
-
2026-03-09$286,888 Active
-
2022-02-15status Pending
-
2022-02-15historical
-
2022-02-11$420,000 Active
-
2015-01-05soldstatus $158,000
-
2015-01-05soldstatus $158,000
-
2014-11-12soldstatus $158,000 Sold 369-char remark
Show marketing remark (369 chars)
2 STORY SINGLE FAMILY HOME WITH 3 BEDROOMS-ALL UPSTAIRS, 2.5 BATHROOMS, FAMILY ROOM, FORMAL DINING ROOM, LIVING ROOM, SCREENED REAR COVERED TERRACE. TILED 1ST FLOOR & 2ND FLOOR ALL CARPETED-(REPLACED 2012), DISHWASHER REPLACED 2013, REFRIGERATOR REPLACED IN 2012, AC UNIT REPLACED 2012, ROOF REPLACED IN 2006. 1 CAR GARAGE. FENCED LOT. THIS IS A GOOD SOLID HOME.
-
2014-07-28status Pending 369-char remark
Show marketing remark (369 chars)
2 STORY SINGLE FAMILY HOME WITH 3 BEDROOMS-ALL UPSTAIRS, 2.5 BATHROOMS, FAMILY ROOM, FORMAL DINING ROOM, LIVING ROOM, SCREENED REAR COVERED TERRACE. TILED 1ST FLOOR & 2ND FLOOR ALL CARPETED-(REPLACED 2012), DISHWASHER REPLACED 2013, REFRIGERATOR REPLACED IN 2012, AC UNIT REPLACED 2012, ROOF REPLACED IN 2006. 1 CAR GARAGE. FENCED LOT. THIS IS A GOOD SOLID HOME.
-
2014-06-24$179,900 Active 369-char remark
Show marketing remark (369 chars)
2 STORY SINGLE FAMILY HOME WITH 3 BEDROOMS-ALL UPSTAIRS, 2.5 BATHROOMS, FAMILY ROOM, FORMAL DINING ROOM, LIVING ROOM, SCREENED REAR COVERED TERRACE. TILED 1ST FLOOR & 2ND FLOOR ALL CARPETED-(REPLACED 2012), DISHWASHER REPLACED 2013, REFRIGERATOR REPLACED IN 2012, AC UNIT REPLACED 2012, ROOF REPLACED IN 2006. 1 CAR GARAGE. FENCED LOT. THIS IS A GOOD SOLID HOME.
-
2001-08-16soldstatus $113,000
-
1998-05-11soldstatus $81,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $5,074 · $423/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,074 · $423/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 33 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $37,238
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,070
- − Property taxes
- −$5,074
- − Insurance
- −$1,434
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,979
- − Management
- −$2,979
- − HOA
- −$396
- − Depreciation
- −$8,346
- Taxable loss
- −$40
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$10
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,470/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Miami-Dade
- NCES district ID
- 1200390
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,928
- Composite
- 41.76/100
- National rank
- #3397
- State rank
- #40 of 73 in FL
Livability — Princeton
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #468
- US rank
- #8462
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Princeton, FL
- County
- Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
- City population
- 62,021
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 65,132
- Household income
- $73,429
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3351.0
Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,126,439 people
- By 2030
- 3,325,765 · +6.4%
- By 2040
- 3,697,561 · +18.3%
- By 2050
- 4,012,134 · +28.3%
- By 2075
- 4,605,612 · +47.3%
- By 2100
- 4,866,598 · +55.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 68% Two or more races 35% Black 20% White 10%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 5% Cuban 31% Dominican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 3%
- Foreign-born
- 45% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 33% English-only · Spanish 64% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -176.52%
- Current HPI
- 415.9508
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.99%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+254.2% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-16 Pending — MARMLS
- 2026-05-13 Relisted — MARMLS
- 2026-04-30 Relisted — MARMLS
- 2026-03-15 Pending — MARMLS
- 2026-03-09 Listed $286,888 MARMLS
- 2022-02-15 Pending — MARMLS
- 2022-02-15 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2022-02-11 Listed $420,000 MARMLS
- 2015-01-05 Sold (Public Records) $158,000 Public Records
- 2015-01-05 Sold (Public Records) $158,000 Public Records
- 2014-11-12 Sold (MLS) $158,000 MARMLS
- 2014-07-28 Pending — MARMLS
- 2014-06-24 Listed $179,900 MARMLS
- 2001-08-16 Sold (Public Records) $113,000 Public Records
- 1998-05-11 Sold (Public Records) $81,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.2%/yrLatest (2025): $5,074 · +8.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…