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2004 Collins Blvd
B Composite 70.65
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$115,000

2004 Collins Blvd · Gulfport, MS 39507
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,503 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1959 0.25 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Brick Three Bedroom, 1.5 Bath Home close to the Sunny Gulf Coast Beach, Casinos, Shopping, Anniston Elementary School. Large Fenced Back Yd with Shade Trees. Single Carport. Open Floor Plan. Living Rm, Dining Area, Kitchen, & Den with Fireplace. This is a Fannie Mae Homepath property. Come See It!

Key facts

  • Desirable location
  • Gulf coast beaches
  • Investment property

Tags

GULF COAST BEACHESINVESTMENT PROPERTYRENOVATION PROJECTDESIRABLE LOCATIONSHOPPING DINING ENTERTAINMENT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot approximately 0.25 acre (about 10,890 sq ft) with dimensions ~75 x 149

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 1-car garage; 1-car carport; Driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Electricity connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single family residence (house); One level; Fixer condition; Living area reported as 1,656 (per appraiser)
  • Construction: Brick construction; Slab foundation; Year built reported from public records
  • Exterior features: Asphalt shingle roof; Other exterior features

Interior

  • Kitchen: Oven; Refrigerator; Additional kitchen details noted as 'See Remarks'
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom (1.5 total)
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning; Window unit(s); Additional heating/cooling details noted as 'See Remarks'
  • Interior features: Oven; Refrigerator; Fireplace in den; Additional interior features noted as 'See Remarks'

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $822 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).
  • Cap rate 14.9% vs local median 4.9% in Gulfport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#15 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Gulfport School District (urban): math 41% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #37 of 130 in MS (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 301 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 59% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,194 units permitted in Harrison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,071/mo this rent would consume 45% of the median local household income ($55k/yr) (locally 1059% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Harrison County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.3% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $47k; list at $115k implies a 145% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $115,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.80%
Cap rate
14.88%
Cash-on-cash
30.65%
DSCR
2.36
GRM
4.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$232,965
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1311 Redfish Dr 0.25mi 3/2.0 1,561 (+4%) 1mo $291,620 $187 77
1057 Flounder Way 0.25mi 3/2.0 1,561 (+4%) 3mo $293,695 $188 75
2305 Anniston Oaks Dr 0.32mi 3/2.0 1,489 (-1%) 6mo $224,999 $151 75
1085 Township Rd 0.23mi 3/2.5 1,425 (-5%) 1mo $350,000 $246 74
1304 Redfish Dr 0.23mi 3/2.0 1,561 (+4%) 7mo $290,560 $186 72
494 Northeast Ave 0.18mi 3/2.0 1,367 (-9%) 7mo $170,000 $124 67
1300 Redfish Dr 0.24mi 3/2.0 1,656 (+10%) 6mo $293,871 $177 63
2106 Boardman Blvd 0.55mi 3/1.5 1,428 (-5%) 6mo $177,500 $124 59
492 Weaver Ave 0.23mi 3/2.0 1,285 (-14%) 4mo $199,000 $155 58
1419 Georgia Pl 0.13mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,297 (-14%) 9mo $179,000 $138 53
2407 Collins Blvd 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,410 (-6%) 10mo $175,000 $124 51
2207 Gregory Blvd 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,643 (+9%) 8mo $209,000 $127 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.26% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.8%
Equity multiple
2.13×
Total profit
$36,451
Equity at exit
$17,147
10-year hold
IRR
35.2%
Equity multiple
4.43×
Total profit
$110,561
Equity at exit
$9,943

Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39507

Home prices YoY
-27.1%
Rents YoY
4.3%
Active inventory
301
Price-to-rent
4.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,071 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax from tax record
$163 /mo · $1,950/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$435
Net cashflow
$822

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,030
Max offer price $115,000
Occupancy floor 55%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,750
Closing costs
$3,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 22 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1276 Century Oaks Dr Gulfport, MS 3.0 3.0 1283 $2,100 $1.64 44d 1 0.19mi
1270 Century Oaks Dr Gulfport, MS 3.0 3.0 1158 $1,950 $1.68 44d 1 0.21mi
1229 Century Oaks Dr Gulfport, MS 3.0 3.0 1200 $2,600 $2.17 21d 1 0.23mi
1100 Century Oaks Dr Unit A Gulfport, MS 3.0 3.0 1156 $2,200 $1.90 44d 1 0.25mi
1215 Ocean View Dr Gulfport, MS 3.0 2.0 1710 $2,895 $1.69 21d 1 0.26mi
1131 Century Oaks Dr Gulfport, MS 3.0 3.0 1156 $1,800 $1.56 44d 1 0.26mi
1101 Century Oaks Dr Gulfport, MS 3.0 3.0 1330 $1,700 $1.28 44d 1 0.27mi
153 Markham Dr Gulfport, MS 3.0 2.0 1650 $3,000 $1.82 44d 1 0.59mi
477 Tegarden Rd Unit D Gulfport, MS 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,300 $1.00 14d 1 0.64mi
1525 E Pass Rd Gulfport, MS 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1070 $1,519 $1.42 21d 1 0.76mi
954 Old Towne St Gulfport, MS 3.0 2.0 1533 $1,900 $1.24 14d 1 0.96mi
1114 Washington Ave Gulfport, MS 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,350 $1.12 21d 1 1.06mi
2420 Demaret Dr Gulfport, MS 4.0 2.0 1600 $1,800 $1.12 44d 1 1.14mi
1339 Foxwood Pl Gulfport, MS 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,375 $1.25 44d 1 1.28mi
980 Courthouse Rd Unit 1605 Gulfport, MS 2.0 2.0 1227 $1,355 $1.10 21d 1 1.33mi
2228 Beach Dr #506 Gulfport, MS 2.0 2.0 1164 $2,995 $2.57 44d 1 1.35mi
2228 Beach Dr Gulfport, MS 2.0 2.0 1279 $2,895 $2.26 21d 1 1.35mi
2610 Demaret Dr Gulfport, MS 4.0 1.5 1700 $1,995 $1.17 44d 1 1.35mi
2230 Beach Dr Gulfport, MS 3.0 3.0 1852 $3,195 $1.73 44d 1 1.35mi
2252 Beach Dr Gulfport, MS 3.0 2.0 1691 $2,800 $1.66 44d 1 1.36mi
1400 Mill Rd Gulfport, MS 2.0 2.5 1290 $2,550 $1.98 44d 1 1.42mi
3503 Hancock Ave Gulfport, MS 2.0 2.5 1100 $1,100 $1.00 21d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-09
    status $115,000 Pending 6 DOM
  2. 2026-06-08
    days on market $115,000 Active 6 DOM
  3. 2026-06-07
    days on market $115,000 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-05
    days on market $115,000 Active 2 DOM
  5. 2026-06-03
    remarks 593-char remark
  6. 2026-06-03
    listed $115,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,950 · $163/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,950 · $163/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,851
− Mortgage interest
−$6,442
− Property taxes
−$1,950
− Insurance
−$575
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,988
− Management
−$1,988
− Depreciation
−$3,345
Taxable income
$8,562
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,055
After-tax cash flow
$7,815/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gulfport School District
NCES district ID
2801710
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$35,712
Composite
34.38/100
National rank
#5213
State rank
#37 of 130 in MS

Livability — Gulfport

Score
73/100
State rank
#15
US rank
#5010

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Gulfport, MS
County
Harrison County · 178,171 people
City population
96,188
Metro
Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
Population (ZIP)
18,564
Household income
$54,657
Rent vs Own
44.3% rent · 55.7% own
Severe rent burden
1059.0

Population outlook (Harrison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
228,444 people
By 2030
241,942 · +5.9%
By 2040
267,531 · +17.1%
By 2050
291,062 · +27.4%
By 2075
346,711 · +51.8%
By 2100
378,165 · +65.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Black 24% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Lithuanian 4% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Harrison

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.9) · D 35.0% · R 63.9% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-2.9pp toward R · 2008: -26.0pp · 2024: -28.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.9 2020: R+25.2 2016: R+30.7 2012: R+26.6 2008: R+26.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -67.48%
Current HPI
181.6606
Rent YoY
▲ 4.26%
Metro
Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+105.7% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-02 Listed $115,000 MLSU
  • 2021-09-15 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2015-01-15 Sold (Public Records) $47,000 Public Records
  • 2015-01-12 Sold (MLS) MLSU
  • 2014-11-16 Listed $54,900 MLSU
  • 2012-03-27 Listed $55,900 MLSU
  • 2004-06-11 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+2.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,950 · +32.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…