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3498 Mackin Rd
B- Composite 66.35
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +6.4/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$123,500

3498 Mackin Rd · Flint, MI 48504
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,976 sqft · SingleFamily · 6 Days on market
Built 1976 0.76 ac lot Est $121k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 3498 Mackin in Flint! This 4-bedroom, 2-bath ranch was remodeled in 2022 and offers a functional single-level layout with plenty of space to spread out. Whether you're looking for your next home or a smart addition to your portfolio, this property is priced to sell with a motivated seller ready to move. Convenient location close to everyday amenities and main roads. Schedule your showing today - opportunities like this don't last long. BATVAI

Key facts

  • Remodeled in 2022
  • Convenient location
  • 0.76 acre lot

Tags

REMODELED IN 2022FUNCTIONAL SINGLE-LEVEL LAYOUTCONVENIENT LOCATION

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $124k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $515 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $124k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Carman-Ainsworth Community Schools (suburban): math 12% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #468 of 540 in MI (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 131 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $854 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 9 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $6k; list at $124k implies a 1958% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $123,500

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.46%
Cap rate
11.30%
Cash-on-cash
17.87%
DSCR
1.80
GRM
5.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$120,536
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3498 Mackin Rd 0.00mi 4/2.0 1,976 (0%) 1mo $120,000 $61 99
2040 Lavelle Rd 0.28mi 5/2.0 (+1) 1,687 (-15%) 24mo $41,000 $24 38
3235 Prospect St 0.68mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,764 (-11%) 18mo $111,000 $63 28
1719 Seneca St 0.74mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,864 (-6%) 23mo $75,000 $40 28
1417 Eldorado Dr 0.59mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,700 (-14%) 22mo $110,000 $65 24

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
9.4%
Equity multiple
1.37×
Total profit
$12,851
Equity at exit
$18,414
10-year hold
IRR
18.6%
Equity multiple
2.55×
Total profit
$53,673
Equity at exit
$10,678

Cash invested: $34,580 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48504

Active inventory
131
Price-to-rent
5.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,800 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$648
Tax from tax record
$208 /mo · $2,494/yr
Insurance
$51
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$378
Net cashflow
$515

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,148
Max offer price $123,500
Occupancy floor 66%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,875
Closing costs
$3,705
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1510 Forest Hill Ave Flint, MI 4.0 2.0 2441 $1,800 $0.74 21d 1 1.39mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-04-22
    status Pending 457-char remark
    Show marketing remark (457 chars)

    Welcome to 3498 Mackin in Flint! This 4-bedroom, 2-bath ranch was remodeled in 2022 and offers a functional single-level layout with plenty of space to spread out. Whether you're looking for your next home or a smart addition to your portfolio, this property is priced to sell with a motivated seller ready to move. Convenient location close to everyday amenities and main roads. Schedule your showing today - opportunities like this don't last long. BATVAI

  2. 2026-04-22
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (457 chars)

    Welcome to 3498 Mackin in Flint! This 4-bedroom, 2-bath ranch was remodeled in 2022 and offers a functional single-level layout with plenty of space to spread out. Whether you're looking for your next home or a smart addition to your portfolio, this property is priced to sell with a motivated seller ready to move. Convenient location close to everyday amenities and main roads. Schedule your showing today - opportunities like this don't last long. BATVAI

  3. 2026-04-16
    listed $123,500 Active
    Show marketing remark (457 chars)

    Welcome to 3498 Mackin in Flint! This 4-bedroom, 2-bath ranch was remodeled in 2022 and offers a functional single-level layout with plenty of space to spread out. Whether you're looking for your next home or a smart addition to your portfolio, this property is priced to sell with a motivated seller ready to move. Convenient location close to everyday amenities and main roads. Schedule your showing today - opportunities like this don't last long. BATVAI

  4. 2026-04-16
    listed $123,500 Active 457-char remark
    Show marketing remark (457 chars)

    Welcome to 3498 Mackin in Flint! This 4-bedroom, 2-bath ranch was remodeled in 2022 and offers a functional single-level layout with plenty of space to spread out. Whether you're looking for your next home or a smart addition to your portfolio, this property is priced to sell with a motivated seller ready to move. Convenient location close to everyday amenities and main roads. Schedule your showing today - opportunities like this don't last long. BATVAI

  5. 2022-04-15
    historical
  6. 2022-02-22
    status Pending
  7. 2022-02-22
    status Pending
  8. 2022-02-21
    historical
  9. 2022-02-19
    listed $115,000 Active
  10. 2022-02-19
    listed $115,000 Active
  11. 2010-02-17
    soldstatus $6,000
  12. 2009-07-06
    listed $11,900
  13. 2009-02-12
    historical
  14. 2009-02-12
    historical
  15. 2008-04-25
    listed $13,900
  16. 2008-04-25
    listed $13,900
  17. 2000-12-15
    soldstatus $9,000
  18. 2000-05-23
    historical
  19. 1999-12-30
    listed $8,900
  20. 1999-08-19
    historical
  21. 1999-02-23
    listed $16,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,494 · $208/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,494 · $208/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,600
− Mortgage interest
−$6,918
− Property taxes
−$2,494
− Insurance
−$618
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,728
− Management
−$1,728
− Depreciation
−$3,593
Taxable income
$4,522
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,085
After-tax cash flow
$5,095/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Carman-Ainsworth Community Schools
NCES district ID
2607890
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$39,394
Composite
16.84/100
National rank
#9149
State rank
#468 of 540 in MI

Livability — Flint

Score
74/100
State rank
#196
US rank
#4946

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
93,814
Population (ZIP)
23,873

Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
381,312 people
By 2030
362,731 · -4.9%
By 2040
321,550 · -15.7%
By 2050
279,212 · -26.8%
By 2075
193,336 · -49.3%
By 2100
128,118 · -66.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (66%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 66% White 24% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, China
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Genesee

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -101.67%
Current HPI
94.3111
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+671.9% since first listed
21 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-22 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-22 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-16 Listed $123,500 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-16 Listed $123,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-04-15 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2022-02-22 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-02-22 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2022-02-21 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-02-19 Listed $115,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-02-19 Listed $115,000 REALCOMP
  • 2010-02-17 Sold (MLS) $6,000 REALCOMP
  • 2009-07-06 Listed $11,900 REALCOMP
  • 2009-02-12 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2009-02-12 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2008-04-25 Listed $13,900 REALCOMP
  • 2008-04-25 Listed $13,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2000-12-15 Sold (Public Records) $9,000 Public Records
  • 2000-05-23 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1999-12-30 Listed $8,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1999-08-19 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1999-02-23 Listed $16,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+3.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,494 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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