167 Wahpeton Hill Rd · Hardy, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.7/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.1/10.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- 1% rule +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$196,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Unique 1937 cabin located in the Ozark Mountains on Historic Wahpeton Hill high above and just a short distance to Spring River, Loberg park, the river trails, the Hardy beach river access for swimming, kayaking, floating, world class fishing and downtown Old Hardy! 2 bed, 1.5 bath on 4.34 surveyed acres+/- in the depth of the woods yet minutes away from town amenities. Beautiful rock work all around the home, sit and relax outside while enjoying the fruits of nature. Main level includes living area, 2 bedrooms, large screened in porch, and a warming fireplace. Downstairs includes kitchen, full bath and half bath. Check out the history of this one of a kind property. Includes new roof 2022, new windows 2024, new insulation 2024.
Key facts
- River trails
- Ozark mountains
- Loberg park
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $196k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $13 ($152/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $147k (25.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $147k (25.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#207 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A, crime B+; Watch: housing D, schools D-, amenities F.
- Highland School District (town): math 43% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #66 of 238 in AR (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 131 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Sharp County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $21k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Sharp County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $55k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($193k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1937 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1937 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.75% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.28%
- DSCR
- 1.01
- GRM
- 11.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $116,357
- List price
- $196,000
- Delta
- 68.45%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 160 Wahpeton Hill Rd | 0.06mi | 2/1.5 | 1,460 (-3%) | 13mo | $147,500 | $101 | 79 |
| 55 Hickory Park Dr | 0.48mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,560 (+3%) | 17mo | $105,000 | $67 | 51 |
| 104 E Third St | 0.59mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,288 (-15%) | 15mo | $78,000 | $61 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 24.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.96×
- Total profit
- $107,450
- Equity at exit
- $176,572
- IRR
- 21.6%
- Equity multiple
- 6.75×
- Total profit
- $315,575
- Equity at exit
- $380,785
Cash invested: $54,880 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72542
- Home prices YoY
- 26.5%
- Active inventory
- 131
- Price-to-rent
- 11.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,467 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,028
- Tax from tax record
- −$36 /mo · $436/yr
- Insurance
- −$82
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$308
- Net cashflow
- $13
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,000
- Closing costs
- $5,880
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $196,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $196,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $196,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $196,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $196,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $196,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $196,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-09statusdays on market $196,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $196,000 New Listing 6 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $196,000 New Listing 5 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $196,000 New Listing 4 DOM
-
2026-06-03statusdays on market $196,000 New Listing 1 DOM
-
2026-01-13price $196,000 738-char remark
Show marketing remark (738 chars)
Unique 1937 cabin located in the Ozark Mountains on Historic Wahpeton Hill high above and just a short distance to Spring River, Loberg park, the river trails, the Hardy beach river access for swimming, kayaking, floating, world class fishing and downtown Old Hardy! 2 bed, 1.5 bath on 4.34 surveyed acres+/- in the depth of the woods yet minutes away from town amenities. Beautiful rock work all around the home, sit and relax outside while enjoying the fruits of nature. Main level includes living area, 2 bedrooms, large screened in porch, and a warming fireplace. Downstairs includes kitchen, full bath and half bath. Check out the history of this one of a kind property. Includes new roof 2022, new windows 2024, new insulation 2024.
-
2025-11-25$199,000 New Listing 738-char remark
Show marketing remark (738 chars)
Unique 1937 cabin located in the Ozark Mountains on Historic Wahpeton Hill high above and just a short distance to Spring River, Loberg park, the river trails, the Hardy beach river access for swimming, kayaking, floating, world class fishing and downtown Old Hardy! 2 bed, 1.5 bath on 4.34 surveyed acres+/- in the depth of the woods yet minutes away from town amenities. Beautiful rock work all around the home, sit and relax outside while enjoying the fruits of nature. Main level includes living area, 2 bedrooms, large screened in porch, and a warming fireplace. Downstairs includes kitchen, full bath and half bath. Check out the history of this one of a kind property. Includes new roof 2022, new windows 2024, new insulation 2024.
-
2023-12-11soldstatus $175,000
-
2023-12-08soldstatus $175,000 Sold 688-char remark
Show marketing remark (688 chars)
Unique 1937 cabin located in the Ozark Mountains on Historic Wahpeton Hill high above and just a short distance to Spring River, Loberg park, the river trails, the Hardy beach river access for swimming, kayaking, floating, world class fishing and downtown Old Hardy! 2 bed, 1.5 bath on 5 acres+/- in the depth of the woods yet minutes away from town amenities. Beautiful rock work all around the home, sit and relax outside while enjoying the fruits of nature. Main level includes living area, 2 bedrooms, large screened in porch, and a warming fireplace. Downstairs includes kitchen, full bath and half bath. Check out the history of this one of a kind property. Includes new roof 2022!
-
2023-11-08status Under Contract 688-char remark
Show marketing remark (688 chars)
Unique 1937 cabin located in the Ozark Mountains on Historic Wahpeton Hill high above and just a short distance to Spring River, Loberg park, the river trails, the Hardy beach river access for swimming, kayaking, floating, world class fishing and downtown Old Hardy! 2 bed, 1.5 bath on 5 acres+/- in the depth of the woods yet minutes away from town amenities. Beautiful rock work all around the home, sit and relax outside while enjoying the fruits of nature. Main level includes living area, 2 bedrooms, large screened in porch, and a warming fireplace. Downstairs includes kitchen, full bath and half bath. Check out the history of this one of a kind property. Includes new roof 2022!
-
2023-09-06status Back on Market 688-char remark
Show marketing remark (688 chars)
Unique 1937 cabin located in the Ozark Mountains on Historic Wahpeton Hill high above and just a short distance to Spring River, Loberg park, the river trails, the Hardy beach river access for swimming, kayaking, floating, world class fishing and downtown Old Hardy! 2 bed, 1.5 bath on 5 acres+/- in the depth of the woods yet minutes away from town amenities. Beautiful rock work all around the home, sit and relax outside while enjoying the fruits of nature. Main level includes living area, 2 bedrooms, large screened in porch, and a warming fireplace. Downstairs includes kitchen, full bath and half bath. Check out the history of this one of a kind property. Includes new roof 2022!
-
2023-08-18status Under Contract 688-char remark
Show marketing remark (688 chars)
Unique 1937 cabin located in the Ozark Mountains on Historic Wahpeton Hill high above and just a short distance to Spring River, Loberg park, the river trails, the Hardy beach river access for swimming, kayaking, floating, world class fishing and downtown Old Hardy! 2 bed, 1.5 bath on 5 acres+/- in the depth of the woods yet minutes away from town amenities. Beautiful rock work all around the home, sit and relax outside while enjoying the fruits of nature. Main level includes living area, 2 bedrooms, large screened in porch, and a warming fireplace. Downstairs includes kitchen, full bath and half bath. Check out the history of this one of a kind property. Includes new roof 2022!
-
2023-07-06$199,900 New Listing 688-char remark
Show marketing remark (688 chars)
Unique 1937 cabin located in the Ozark Mountains on Historic Wahpeton Hill high above and just a short distance to Spring River, Loberg park, the river trails, the Hardy beach river access for swimming, kayaking, floating, world class fishing and downtown Old Hardy! 2 bed, 1.5 bath on 5 acres+/- in the depth of the woods yet minutes away from town amenities. Beautiful rock work all around the home, sit and relax outside while enjoying the fruits of nature. Main level includes living area, 2 bedrooms, large screened in porch, and a warming fireplace. Downstairs includes kitchen, full bath and half bath. Check out the history of this one of a kind property. Includes new roof 2022!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $436 · $36/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,254 · $105/mo
- Expected delta
- +$818/yr (+$68/mo · 187.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,599
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,979
- − Property taxes
- −$436
- − Insurance
- −$980
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,408
- − Management
- −$1,408
- − Depreciation
- −$5,702
- Taxable loss
- −$3,314
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$795
- After-tax cash flow
- $948/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Highland School District
- NCES district ID
- 0507770
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,066
- Composite
- 33.63/100
- National rank
- #5400
- State rank
- #66 of 238 in AR
Livability — Hardy
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #207
- US rank
- #16276
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hardy, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,829
Population outlook (Sharp County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 16,170 people
- By 2030
- 15,711 · -2.8%
- By 2040
- 14,974 · -7.4%
- By 2050
- 14,420 · -10.8%
- By 2075
- 13,235 · -18.2%
- By 2100
- 11,492 · -28.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Two or more races 9% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 9% Slovak 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Sharp
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+62.7) · D 17.7% · R 80.4% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -33.7pp toward R · 2008: -28.9pp · 2024: -62.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+62.7 2020: R+60.0 2016: R+54.7 2012: R+38.8 2008: R+28.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 40.05%
- Current HPI
- 191.38
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
||
| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
||
| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
|
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Price history
-2.0% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-13 Price Changed $196,000 CARMLS
- 2025-11-25 Listed $199,000 CARMLS
- 2023-12-11 Sold (Public Records) $175,000 Public Records
- 2023-12-08 Sold (MLS) $175,000 CARMLS
- 2023-11-08 Pending — CARMLS
- 2023-09-06 Relisted — CARMLS
- 2023-08-18 Pending — CARMLS
- 2023-07-06 Listed $199,900 CARMLS
Property tax history
+2.9%/yrLatest (2023): $436 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…