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167 Wahpeton Hill Rd
D+ Composite 49.22
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.7/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.1/10.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$196,000

167 Wahpeton Hill Rd · Hardy, AR 72542
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,512 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 17 Days on market
Built 1937 4.34 ac lot $130/sqft · 68% above area ↓ 2% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Unique 1937 cabin located in the Ozark Mountains on Historic Wahpeton Hill high above and just a short distance to Spring River, Loberg park, the river trails, the Hardy beach river access for swimming, kayaking, floating, world class fishing and downtown Old Hardy! 2 bed, 1.5 bath on 4.34 surveyed acres+/- in the depth of the woods yet minutes away from town amenities. Beautiful rock work all around the home, sit and relax outside while enjoying the fruits of nature. Main level includes living area, 2 bedrooms, large screened in porch, and a warming fireplace. Downstairs includes kitchen, full bath and half bath. Check out the history of this one of a kind property. Includes new roof 2022, new windows 2024, new insulation 2024.

Key facts

  • River trails
  • Ozark mountains
  • Loberg park

Tags

1937 CABINOZARK MOUNTAINSHISTORIC WAHPETON HILLSPRING RIVERLOBERG PARKRIVER TRAILS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $196k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $13 ($152/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $147k (25.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $147k (25.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#207 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A, crime B+; Watch: housing D, schools D-, amenities F.
  • Highland School District (town): math 43% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #66 of 238 in AR (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 131 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Sharp County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $21k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Sharp County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $55k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($193k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1937 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $146,655 (25.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1937 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.75%
Cap rate
6.37%
Cash-on-cash
0.28%
DSCR
1.01
GRM
11.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$116,357
List price
$196,000
Delta
68.45%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
160 Wahpeton Hill Rd 0.06mi 2/1.5 1,460 (-3%) 13mo $147,500 $101 79
55 Hickory Park Dr 0.48mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,560 (+3%) 17mo $105,000 $67 51
104 E Third St 0.59mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,288 (-15%) 15mo $78,000 $61 28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
24.5%
Equity multiple
2.96×
Total profit
$107,450
Equity at exit
$176,572
10-year hold
IRR
21.6%
Equity multiple
6.75×
Total profit
$315,575
Equity at exit
$380,785

Cash invested: $54,880 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72542

Home prices YoY
26.5%
Active inventory
131
Price-to-rent
11.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,467 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,028
Tax from tax record
$36 /mo · $436/yr
Insurance
$82
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$308
Net cashflow
$13

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,450
Max offer price $196,000
Occupancy floor 94%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,000
Closing costs
$5,880
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $196,000 Active 17 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $196,000 Active 16 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $196,000 Active 15 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $196,000 Active 14 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $196,000 Active 13 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $196,000 Active 11 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $196,000 Active 10 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    statusdays on market $196,000 Active 7 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $196,000 New Listing 6 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $196,000 New Listing 5 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $196,000 New Listing 4 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    statusdays on marketlisting id $196,000 New Listing 1 DOM
  13. 2026-01-13
    price $196,000 738-char remark
    Show marketing remark (738 chars)

    Unique 1937 cabin located in the Ozark Mountains on Historic Wahpeton Hill high above and just a short distance to Spring River, Loberg park, the river trails, the Hardy beach river access for swimming, kayaking, floating, world class fishing and downtown Old Hardy! 2 bed, 1.5 bath on 4.34 surveyed acres+/- in the depth of the woods yet minutes away from town amenities. Beautiful rock work all around the home, sit and relax outside while enjoying the fruits of nature. Main level includes living area, 2 bedrooms, large screened in porch, and a warming fireplace. Downstairs includes kitchen, full bath and half bath. Check out the history of this one of a kind property. Includes new roof 2022, new windows 2024, new insulation 2024.

  14. 2025-11-25
    listed $199,000 New Listing 738-char remark
    Show marketing remark (738 chars)

    Unique 1937 cabin located in the Ozark Mountains on Historic Wahpeton Hill high above and just a short distance to Spring River, Loberg park, the river trails, the Hardy beach river access for swimming, kayaking, floating, world class fishing and downtown Old Hardy! 2 bed, 1.5 bath on 4.34 surveyed acres+/- in the depth of the woods yet minutes away from town amenities. Beautiful rock work all around the home, sit and relax outside while enjoying the fruits of nature. Main level includes living area, 2 bedrooms, large screened in porch, and a warming fireplace. Downstairs includes kitchen, full bath and half bath. Check out the history of this one of a kind property. Includes new roof 2022, new windows 2024, new insulation 2024.

  15. 2023-12-11
    soldstatus $175,000
  16. 2023-12-08
    soldstatus $175,000 Sold 688-char remark
    Show marketing remark (688 chars)

    Unique 1937 cabin located in the Ozark Mountains on Historic Wahpeton Hill high above and just a short distance to Spring River, Loberg park, the river trails, the Hardy beach river access for swimming, kayaking, floating, world class fishing and downtown Old Hardy! 2 bed, 1.5 bath on 5 acres+/- in the depth of the woods yet minutes away from town amenities. Beautiful rock work all around the home, sit and relax outside while enjoying the fruits of nature. Main level includes living area, 2 bedrooms, large screened in porch, and a warming fireplace. Downstairs includes kitchen, full bath and half bath. Check out the history of this one of a kind property. Includes new roof 2022!

  17. 2023-11-08
    status Under Contract 688-char remark
    Show marketing remark (688 chars)

    Unique 1937 cabin located in the Ozark Mountains on Historic Wahpeton Hill high above and just a short distance to Spring River, Loberg park, the river trails, the Hardy beach river access for swimming, kayaking, floating, world class fishing and downtown Old Hardy! 2 bed, 1.5 bath on 5 acres+/- in the depth of the woods yet minutes away from town amenities. Beautiful rock work all around the home, sit and relax outside while enjoying the fruits of nature. Main level includes living area, 2 bedrooms, large screened in porch, and a warming fireplace. Downstairs includes kitchen, full bath and half bath. Check out the history of this one of a kind property. Includes new roof 2022!

  18. 2023-09-06
    status Back on Market 688-char remark
    Show marketing remark (688 chars)

    Unique 1937 cabin located in the Ozark Mountains on Historic Wahpeton Hill high above and just a short distance to Spring River, Loberg park, the river trails, the Hardy beach river access for swimming, kayaking, floating, world class fishing and downtown Old Hardy! 2 bed, 1.5 bath on 5 acres+/- in the depth of the woods yet minutes away from town amenities. Beautiful rock work all around the home, sit and relax outside while enjoying the fruits of nature. Main level includes living area, 2 bedrooms, large screened in porch, and a warming fireplace. Downstairs includes kitchen, full bath and half bath. Check out the history of this one of a kind property. Includes new roof 2022!

  19. 2023-08-18
    status Under Contract 688-char remark
    Show marketing remark (688 chars)

    Unique 1937 cabin located in the Ozark Mountains on Historic Wahpeton Hill high above and just a short distance to Spring River, Loberg park, the river trails, the Hardy beach river access for swimming, kayaking, floating, world class fishing and downtown Old Hardy! 2 bed, 1.5 bath on 5 acres+/- in the depth of the woods yet minutes away from town amenities. Beautiful rock work all around the home, sit and relax outside while enjoying the fruits of nature. Main level includes living area, 2 bedrooms, large screened in porch, and a warming fireplace. Downstairs includes kitchen, full bath and half bath. Check out the history of this one of a kind property. Includes new roof 2022!

  20. 2023-07-06
    listed $199,900 New Listing 688-char remark
    Show marketing remark (688 chars)

    Unique 1937 cabin located in the Ozark Mountains on Historic Wahpeton Hill high above and just a short distance to Spring River, Loberg park, the river trails, the Hardy beach river access for swimming, kayaking, floating, world class fishing and downtown Old Hardy! 2 bed, 1.5 bath on 5 acres+/- in the depth of the woods yet minutes away from town amenities. Beautiful rock work all around the home, sit and relax outside while enjoying the fruits of nature. Main level includes living area, 2 bedrooms, large screened in porch, and a warming fireplace. Downstairs includes kitchen, full bath and half bath. Check out the history of this one of a kind property. Includes new roof 2022!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$436 · $36/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,254 · $105/mo
Expected delta
+$818/yr (+$68/mo · 187.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,599
− Mortgage interest
−$10,979
− Property taxes
−$436
− Insurance
−$980
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,408
− Management
−$1,408
− Depreciation
−$5,702
Taxable loss
−$3,314
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$795
After-tax cash flow
$948/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Highland School District
NCES district ID
0507770
Math proficiency
43% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$32,066
Composite
33.63/100
National rank
#5400
State rank
#66 of 238 in AR

Livability — Hardy

Score
62/100
State rank
#207
US rank
#16276

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment F Housing D Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hardy, AR
Population (ZIP)
3,829

Population outlook (Sharp County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
16,170 people
By 2030
15,711 · -2.8%
By 2040
14,974 · -7.4%
By 2050
14,420 · -10.8%
By 2075
13,235 · -18.2%
By 2100
11,492 · -28.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Two or more races 9% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 9% Slovak 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Sharp

2024 margin
Solid R (+62.7) · D 17.7% · R 80.4% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-33.7pp toward R · 2008: -28.9pp · 2024: -62.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+62.7 2020: R+60.0 2016: R+54.7 2012: R+38.8 2008: R+28.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 40.05%
Current HPI
191.38
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-2.0% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-13 Price Changed $196,000 CARMLS
  • 2025-11-25 Listed $199,000 CARMLS
  • 2023-12-11 Sold (Public Records) $175,000 Public Records
  • 2023-12-08 Sold (MLS) $175,000 CARMLS
  • 2023-11-08 Pending CARMLS
  • 2023-09-06 Relisted CARMLS
  • 2023-08-18 Pending CARMLS
  • 2023-07-06 Listed $199,900 CARMLS

Property tax history

+2.9%/yr

Latest (2023): $436 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…